True, and there should be caution, of course. No one's advocating trading high picks--unless someone like Garrett becomes available. Trading 6ths for guys that might help the pass rush is doing nothing to overextend.
I don't think that it is a fluke result. We were in a lot of close games last year and didn't figure out how to win them. This year we are. That shows more progress IMO than it being a fluke.
Actually, that might simply be a matter of how the opponents were perceived at the time. The Cards have lost only to teams with 6 wins, and defeated every team with 4 or fewer wins.
I guess. This season we're 3-2 in games decided by seven points or less (essentially random results). Last year we were 2-5 in games decided by seven points or less. The signal that we're improving is that we're in more games that come down to the final drive on one side of the ball or the other. It shows that we're approaching being an average NFL team (we're 20th in DVOA right now).
Shaheed is out for the season
I guess you don't put any stock in actual wins either...
I mean, sure. But did anyone really expect SF (on the bad side) or Washington (on the good) to be where they are now?
Nah. It's actually just luck, a bounce of the ball, a call from an official, etc., etc.
San Franciso is 4-4. They're 1-3 in games decided by a TD or less, despite their long list of injuries.
Who's claiming this team is really good? 4-4 probably should be considered average.
The point is that no one is “good at this” and so you work to be involved in fewer one-score games.
If he thinks that he is totally out of touch. Teams are turning around in one season.
From 2020 - 2022: It's a really good sample size as well, because 30 teams out of the 32 played in exactly 51 games in that time span.The point is that no one is “good at this” and so you work to be involved in fewer one-score games.
Um... why are you leaving out 2023 and 2024? I wonder if because that doesn't support your thesis??
Because I couldn't readily find the data on it. If you do, let me know.
You couldn't find wins and losses for the 2023 and 2024 seasons? Did you try looking here?
Why you gotta be like this? I couldn't easily find the records factoring in one score losses.
You just… count them?
I could, sure. I also provided enough data and context to prove that teams can be good at it and it is important.
From a gambling aspect, you do tend to look at teams records in one score games and bet against those that had outlier records. Anything outside of the 40%-60% tends to regress to the mean.
