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  1. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Other updates and reminders: Despite the loss to the Rams, the Cardinals still hold a strong edge over them on tie-breakers. We would clinch the tie-breaker advantage with any of the following: ARI over SEA SEA over LAR SF over LAR DAL over ARI LAR over BAL Also, TB’s win this weekend was...
  2. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Some explanations for those interested. ARI can still clinch with a win/tie at Detroit. Short of that, could also clinch by wiping out TWO of the FOUR “groups” among the lower tier contenders. Given their remaining games and how the tie-breakers shake out, they can be grouped by division. The...
  3. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Week 15 clinching scenarios above. A cleaner version below omitting ties and accounting for the ATL-SF game: ARI win OR MIN loss + SF loss OR MIN loss + NO loss OR ATL loss + NO loss + PHI loss + GB win The official ones should be out from the NFL tomorrow.
  4. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Alright, not much in the way of help this week. Updated scenarios below. Teams that cannot catch us: DET, CHI, NYG, SEA, CRL. Teams hanging on by a thread (as it relates to catching us): NO, ATL, PHI, MIN, WSH, SF. If the Cardinals win against the Rams, we wipe away all the above, clinch a...
  5. TheCardinal

    Other Games December 12th and 13th

    Indeed. If we don’t take it tomorrow, our Week 15 clinching scenarios (other than ARI win/tie at DET) get very convoluted. Will post them later tonight since the GB outcome actually factors into one of the scenarios.
  6. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    No tie in Falcons/Panthers game. Only scenario for Arizona to clinch this week is with a win or tie Monday night.
  7. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    With the Vikings’ win over Pittsburgh, it’s going to be tough for us to clinch the playoffs on Sunday. Would need SF to lose + NO to lose (or tie) + ATL/CRL to tie. Of course, we can still clinch it ourselves with a win (or tie) Monday night, probably as it should be.
  8. TheCardinal

    Wk 14-LA Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Pre Game Thread. 12/6/21-12/12/21

    Yes. If we beat the Rams next week, then any other win by the Cardinals or any other loss by the Rams clinches the division.
  9. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Of course, what we all want to know is how we would fare against the top teams in the NFC. Most of these tie-breakers have not yet been determined. For tied teams, the team with the better AFC record has the *WORSE* NFC record. Easiest to compare AFC records since there are only five such...
  10. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Across divisions: We can also predict tie-breakers for most of the remaining lower tier teams in the conference, should we end up with the same record. New Orleans (5-7): Saints would beat us in all tie-breakers (conference record). Atlanta (5-7): Falcons would beat us in all tie-breakers...
  11. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Within the division: SEA: cannot catch us SF: cannot beat us in any tie-breaker. To pass us, SF would need a better overall record. Our magic number to eliminate SF from the division race is 1 (one ARI win OR one SF loss OR two ties among the teams). LAR: we hold a massive edge in...
  12. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    A few more specifics to include ties. The official NFL scenarios will probably come out after the Monday night game. I believe the Cardinals will clinch a playoff berth with any of the following in week 14: ARI win/tie OR MIN loss/tie + SF loss OR MIN loss/tie + CRL loss/tie + NO loss/tie...
  13. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    I’d love to take credit for the Cardinals’ road success this season, but would have to confess that my record until recently has been absolutely abysmal. Currently, I’m at 31-50 (only one home game, one neutral site, the rest away), but this includes wins in my last seven, and 9 of my last 10...
  14. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    :) Perhaps, but it gives me something to think about on my drives home from the games. About 5 hours from Chicago to get back home to St Louis. Today was road game #6 for me this season (only one I missed was SF) and all by car (including some real long ones to Jax, LA, Seattle)!
  15. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    For the sake completeness, a tie for MIN, ATL, CRL, or NO is as good as a loss as far as we are concerned. For SF, they would need to lose (not tie). An ARI tie also clinches. The scenario specifically requiring an ATL/CRL tie only works if they tie.
  16. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    For the details and explanations for those who care to read: As it stands, there are seven teams that cannot catch us: 1) DET 2) SEA 3) NYG 4) CHI 5) PHI (or WSH, if PHI wins out) 6) & 7) two among ATL/CRL/NO since they play each other and only one team at most can go 10-7 Increase that number...
  17. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    My preliminary Week 14 clinching scenarios (wildcard only, cannot clinch the NFC West in Week 14): ARI win OR MIN loss + SF loss OR MIN loss + CRL loss + NO loss OR SF loss + NO loss + ATL/CRL tie Details and explanations to come later.
  18. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    We wouldn’t need a Washington loss. One more win by the Cardinals, any win, should be sufficient to clinch the playoffs. There should be a way to clinch the playoffs next week even with a loss — driving home from Chicago now, and will work these scenarios out later tonight.
  19. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Looks like even if we beat Chicago and catch ALL the breaks in Week 13, we can still be left out. A WSH losss to Seattle tonight would require a Rams/49ers draw in Week 18. A WSH win over Seattle tonight opens up a few other elimination scenarios without ties. Some of us like to fire off a...
  20. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    In light of the above, I’m going to rework a few things . . . There might be a clinching scenario for next week (Week 13) after all.
  21. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    I’m doing a bit more work on this and now see more fully how your scenario would play out, where winning the next two would clinch the playoffs, at least a wildcard. Short version at the bottom. Should the Cards win the next two, SF and LAR would each have 5 losses and would both lose all...
  22. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    The Niners would have to lose once as well.
  23. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    If we get to 11 wins, WSH, NO, ATL, and MIN could still catch us. I believe we would still need for three of those four to lose once to make it official (or just two of those four to lose if they are ATL and NO — the tie-breaker is more in our favor if it ends up with WSH/ARI/MIN or DAL/ARI/MIN...
  24. TheCardinal

    Playoff Picture 2021

    Yes, I don’t see any clinching scenarios yet for Week 13, even if we get to 10 wins with a win over Chicago and all the other teams behind us lose. If we concede spots for GB, TB, DAL, LAR, and SF, that still leaves two spots. No matter what happens through next week, MIN, ATL, NO, and CRL...
  25. TheCardinal

    Rams vs Green Bay - Who would you rather win?

    With last week’s win over Seattle, the Cardinals are close to clinching tie-breakers over the Rams. I believe we would do so with any of of the following: Cards over Rams (on H2H) Cards over Seahawks (on division record) Seahawks over Rams (on division record) 49ers over Rams (on division...

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