I think there is more (several more) than 4 or 5 that project as potential superstars but even leaving it at your number, that is considered deep for elite players. Things will change between now and draft day but this looks to be one of the best drafts in recent memory for game-changer talents. There are 4 or 5 first year players that are already considered elite and more will come from this freshman class and that's before you get to the sophomores that are poised to explode.
Steve
hard to say. Wiggins is as close to can't miss as it gets. I think beyond that there's no guarantees on anybody else. I love Randle but he seems to fall in love with playing away from the rim too much. Gordon is a great athlete but he's an undersized 4 who thinks he's a 2 and openly tells reporters he wants to be a 1. I think there's going to be a learning curve with him either to get him to play the right position, or for him to develop the skills(shooting and handle) to play the 3.
Andrew(?) Harrison is really good but again he wants to be a 1 and he's not one.
I like Exum but he needs to get stronger. I'm not sold on Parker yet he's good but he's not as athletic as you'd like. Smart is really good but he's a bit of a tweener, I think he's a terrific college player but might not be a great pro, I waffle on him.
I love Wiggins and I think he picked the right college coach. We'll see if Calipari has the right impact on Randle and Harrison or if he just lets them do whatever they want in which case some NBA team is going to have to persuade them, like with Gordon, that their best position is not what they think it is.
McGary is another interesting guy, he's old for his class but he was awfully good at the end of the year and he's a much better shooter than people realize. he might be a very good player.