Harry
ASFN Consultant and Senior Writer
Those of you who've read me for a few years know I like to predict results by putting games into 4 categories. This year I find the schedule tricky. The games mostly fall into 2 of the categories. The first category is "Should Win." I put 7 games in that category: Colts, both Niners, both Rams, Bucs and Jags. Usually when this category is this large, a team loses one game. The next catergory is the toss up group, "Might Win." There are only two games this year that I put in this 50/50 category. They are the home game against Seattle and the road game with the Lions. Then comes "Might Lose." This is typically the group where a team wins 25% of the games. This is another big group: Eagles, Texans, Titans, Skins, Giants and Seahawks away. Finally there's the "Should Lose." I put only the Cowboys game as a sure loss. Rounded up that says the Cards are likely to win 9. Maybe they can grab 10 if they take all the Should Wins, but history says 9-7 is the most likely finish.