Commanders' Javon Kinlaw is a 'big overpay' says one analyst

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Free agency has been positive for the Washington Commanders in 2025. The players they have brought in look to be solid fits for the team and provide an opportunity for the Commanders to get the remaining pieces they need in the 2025 NFL draft. As always in free agency, some deals are better than others, and two ESPN analysts are very confused about the Commanders' contract for Javon Kinlaw.

Eric Moody, fantasy football writer: The Commanders signing defensive lineman Javon Kinlaw. The three-year, $45 million contract was surprising, considering the depth of the 2025 draft class at defensive line. The $30 million in guaranteed money is also concerning because of Kinlaw's health and statistical production. He has played in just 58 games since being drafted in 2020, with only 9.5 sacks and 74 pressures.

Ben Solak, NFL analyst: The Commanders signing Kinlaw. It is a big overpay, though it's not surprising why it happened. Commanders general manager Adam Peters drafted Kinlaw with the 49ers, and he remains one of the most physically impressive defensive tackles. Dan Quinn's defense is a good fit for his skill set, too -- simple, upfield responsibilities. But $15 million per year is a huge number for a player who hasn't strung together consistent, starting-caliber play.

It's clear that Adam Peters liked what he saw from Kinlaw in San Francisco, or they wouldn't have gone after him at all. The problem is that Kinlaw's history is muddied with injuries, he spent most of 2021 and 2022 sidelined, appearing in 10 total games over those two seasons. However, he played every single game in 2023 and 2024, so those injuries are obviously healed and not causing any immediate problems.

Last season with the New York Jets, Kinlaw had his best season to date. He recorded 40 tackles (27 solo), 4.5 sacks, two forced fumbles, one fumble recovery, and eight stuffs.

At 6-foot-5 and 319 pounds, Kinlaw is a force to be reckoned with on the field. His athleticism shined with the Jets last season and the Commanders hope he can do it again. They desperately needed help along the line, and Kinlaw can provide that.

Did they overpay? Maybe. But it's probably going to be worth it.

This article originally appeared on Commanders Wire: Commanders' Javon Kinlaw signing continues to be criticized

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