JeffGollin said:
When you watch Hill on film, he's late to the ball too often and can get beat deep. I wonder why. (Maybe it's because all the smarts and instincts a guy has can only take him so far).
It's not his speed. You're totally overestimating how big a difference 4.45 and 4.6 40's are. Line them up next to each other and have 'em race. When the 4.45 is crossing the line, the 4.6 will be a whole 4 feet behind him. That's a foot of separation per 10 yards. So when you watch Hill, and you're wondering why he's five yards behind the guy, you think it's not because his coverage skills are lacking, but because of a lack of speed? As in, if he were just faster he wouldn't be five yards behind him? Listen man, it's real simple, the slight difference in speed cannot physically account for the 5 yard separation on a 40 yard pass. The separation is from the WR pulling some move and faking Hill out of his jock. Do the math is you don't believe me.
JeffGollin said:
Otherwise, by that logic, a CB who runs a 5.2 could be really good because he's very smart and does other things well.
That's a response I expect on this forum, just not from you. You know very well my point is that functionally, .15 seconds is nothing. Not that speed is meaningless and a difference of .75 is ok.
JeffGollin said:
Numbers are symbols for what takes place in real life. Hill is a step slow (despite his brains, instincts and intangibles). The forty time a short-hand way of explaining why.
No. Totally wrong. Hill lacks the brains, intangibles, instincts whatever. It's the lack of those skills that's letting them get wide open. If you bumped up his speed it would let him recover better but he'd still get torched because it's the coverage skills that lead to most of the separation.
Also, 40 time being a short-hand way of EXPLAINING anything is a joke. A 40 time tells you exactly how fast they can run 40 yards straight ahead in no pads with no adjusting for passes (or even looking up for them for that matter). It does not show acceleration, it doesn't show reaction time, it doesn't not show coverage skill and AGAIN, most separation is not speed, it's reactions in coverage so it most certainly DOES NOT EXPLAIN WHY HILL FAILS IN COVERAGE.
I'm not even going to get into how basic information, like bench reps isn't even consistent across publications let alone 40 times that vary so wildly that one player you may think ran a 40 .1 seconds faster than another actually ran it .1 seconds slower.