Likelihood that Dbacks Players are gone in 2025

[Chris_Sanders]

Posted in another thread but I figured I would make this super easy for the 98.7 writers

For sure gone:

Nobody

Possibly gone:

Walker - Will make a truckload of money

Joc Pederson - 14 million mutual option. The Dbacks will run to sign this. Will Joc?

Josh Bell - probably cheaper than Walker. If Joc opts out I think we resign him. Only Doctor Strange would see an outcome where we keep Bell, Pederson, and Walker

Kevin Newman - They will elevate one of their INF options rather than pay him a million. Still he is cheap which is why he isn't in the for sure gone.

Grichuk - 6 million mutual option. Do the Dbacks pay that for a lefty DH?

Merrill Kelly - Shocking right? Well see Jordan Montgomery. Both Kelly and Gallen are UFA in 2026. Kelly is 35 so you sell while there is value. I doubt Hazen has he stones to do it though.

Alek Thomas - The manager doesn't value the defense. Hazen said Thomas was the most called about player last year but he didn't want to give up on an elite defender on a rookie deal.

Lourdes Gurriel - One of Gurriel and Thomas is gone. There just isn't a spot for both. Gurriel's 13 million is a lot for a 2 WAR player


For Sure Not Gone:

Scott McGough. What imbecile gave this dude a 4 million mutual option? McGough will laugh to the bank while in Reno.

Jordan Montgomery. What imbecile gave this dude a 25 million mutual option?

Eugenio Suarez. What brilliant executive got this guy for a 15 million team option

Gallen: Last year of arbitration. He should be the #1 priority in the off season even if he costs you Walker. if they don't resign him at the winter meetings he moves to likely gone in 2025 (you trade him while you can and get something. Don't get Ohtani'd and lose one of your best players for nothing)

 

[Chris_Sanders]

Ranking the feelings they will return on scale of 1-10

Scott McGough. 10 - Sad
Jordan Montgomery. 10 - Sad - Montgomery and McGough will be 1/6th of the team salary. Someone absolutely needs to be fired.
Gallen: 9 - You have to sign the best pitcher since Brandon Webb right?
Eugenio Suarez. 8 - You have to sign the best 3B since Matt Williams right?
Josh Bell - 7 Cheap lefty that can DH or play 1B
Merrill Kelly - 6 Super cheap and 35. Moves to a 10 if Gallen doesn't resign at the Winter Meetings.
Joc Pederson - 6 A 3 WAR DH with a .900 OPS. My only concern is he declines his option
Lourdes Gurriel - 5. Overpaid 2 war righty that is basically unplayable against right handed pitchers. He's Randall Grichuk at twice the cost.
Alek Thomas - 5 The exact opposite of Gurriel. He's an elite defender at CF, which smart teams want. I think either Gurriel or Thomas is gone.
Christian Walker 3 - I feel someone over pays here. He would have to love AZ to stay
Grichuk - 2 Hey its better Lourdes Gurriel for less than half the cost. He should be a 7 but I think the team likes selling purple hair so one has to go.
Kevin Newman - 2. You draft a million INF eventually one has to make the team.

 

[RON_IN_OC]

Posted in another thread but I figured I would make this super easy for the 98.7 writers

For sure gone:

Nobody

Possibly gone:

Walker - Will make a truckload of money

Joc Pederson - 14 million mutual option. The Dbacks will run to sign this. Will Joc?

Josh Bell - probably cheaper than Walker. If Joc opts out I think we resign him. Only Doctor Strange would see an outcome where we keep Bell, Pederson, and Walker

Kevin Newman - They will elevate one of their INF options rather than pay him a million. Still he is cheap which is why he isn't in the for sure gone.

Grichuk - 6 million mutual option. Do the Dbacks pay that for a lefty DH?

Merrill Kelly - Shocking right? Well see Jordan Montgomery. Both Kelly and Gallen are UFA in 2026. Kelly is 35 so you sell while there is value. I doubt Hazen has he stones to do it though.

Alek Thomas - The manager doesn't value the defense. Hazen said Thomas was the most called about player last year but he didn't want to give up on an elite defender on a rookie deal.

Lourdes Gurriel - One of Gurriel and Thomas is gone. There just isn't a spot for both. Gurriel's 13 million is a lot for a 2 WAR player


For Sure Not Gone:

Scott McGough. What imbecile gave this dude a 4 million mutual option? McGough will laugh to the bank while in Reno.

Jordan Montgomery. What imbecile gave this dude a 25 million mutual option?

Eugenio Suarez. What brilliant executive got this guy for a 15 million team option

Gallen: Last year of arbitration. He should be the #1 priority in the off season even if he costs you Walker. if they don't resign him at the winter meetings he moves to likely gone in 2025 (you trade him while you can and get something. Don't get Ohtani'd and lose one of your best players for nothing)

The few I have an opinion on:

Grichuk...keep. He's having statistically his best year with limited play. He's a great vet to have around.

Pederson...I think he stays. You can see he's had a lot of fun around the youngsters. It will probably come down to how the season ends and his feelings for the future of the team, though.

Bell...if Walker walks, keep Bell. He'll be cheaper and good enough to play everyday.

Newman...you absolutely keep this guy. They may want to try another youngster, but as I've heard Berthume say, if Blaze could field his position, Newman wouldn't be on the team. He was absolutely invaluable this year and a steal to keep around.

 

[Devilmaycare]

You missed someone

For sure gone:
Paul Sewald - at least I hope that's the case. We can't go into 2025 with him as a closer or major role.

 

[krazy2k]

If the DBacks are playing golf on Monday or Tuesday of next week, after the September swoon, I think Hazen will make quite a few moves in the offseason. The entire pitching staff needs some serious re-tooling. The offense has been near the top of several categories in MLB this season, so missing the playoffs will be a major downer - but I don't expect too many changes on the offense. I suppose the genius Lovullo will still be around, and the team will need to win in spite of his poor in game management. The collapse in the last game of the four game series against Milwaukee was the killer. No way should a major league team blow an 8-0 lead - particularly one in the playoff hunt.

 

[Chris_Sanders]

You missed someone

For sure gone:
Paul Sewald - at least I hope that's the case. We can't go into 2025 with him as a closer or major role.

You are correct I missed him but Sewald would be fine on a cheap deal.

 

[Devilmaycare]

You are correct I missed him but Sewald would be fine on a cheap deal.

I'm not sure even about a cheap deal. He's at the point where I think a change of scenery would be good for both sides.