Playoff Tie-Breakers (ARI 7-6)

[TheCardinal]

More to come after the late games.

As before, we still control our own destiny for the playoffs. Get to 10-6, and we’re in.

At 9-7, to avoid being caught from behind, we would need one more loss each from MIN, CHI, DET, and SNF. This would include games currently in-action (DET and SNF). We can hand SNF that loss ourselves. MIN still plays CHI and DET. At 9-7, we would lose all tie-breakers to MIN, CHI, DET, and SNF. We do have additional options should a team in front of us totally collapse.

At 8-8, things get messy. Will update later.

At 7-9, not surprisingly, it would be extremely difficult, and would be mathematically impossible if SNF beats WSH, currently in-action.

 

[dscher]

I honestly think this team needs to be 10-6 to have any momentum to make noise in the playoffs anyhow. So yep...win out boys!

 

[SoonerLou]

I honestly think this team needs to be 10-6 to have any momentum to make noise in the playoffs anyhow. So yep...win out boys!

Maybe the Rams have the division locked up/3rd seed and rest come week 17?

 

[HomerPimpson]

We definitely have to run the table.

This thread should be pinned imo with updates when necessary.

 

[BigRedRage]

SNF?

 

[dscher]

Maybe the Rams have the division locked up/3rd seed and rest come week 17?

Nope. No gimmies.

The thought of backups scares me more though.. haha

 

[SoonerLou]

49ers might lose to WFT if this keeps up.

SNF?

San Fran

 

[TheCardinal]

SNF?

My grid uses three-letter abbreviations, so SNF instead of SF.

 

[BigRedRage]

My grid uses three-letter abbreviations, so SNF instead of SF.

Gotcha. 49r

 

[ajcardfan]

We definitely have to run the table.

This thread should be pinned imo with updates when necessary.

No, we don't. Min and Chi play each other. Chi has a game against Green Bay with Green Bay likely needing to win for bye and #1 seed. Min plays Saints who will need win for a bye.

Min and Chi will definitely lose at least one each. SF will lose today and we should beat them.

Win 2, we are in.

 

[mjb21aztd]

Eagles are more than likely the next toughest opponent and hurts balling....

That gm gonna be nerve racking....

 

[speedy]

SNF?

saturday night fever...

If you wanna use a 3-letter, use SFO. That’s the airport code... I’ve had to fly into the heart of communist occupied commiefornia many times...

 

[TheCardinal]

Another way to look at it:

If we are destined to finish 9-7, we would need four of the following:

MIN loses 1

CHI loses 1

DET loses 1 (down 28-14)

SF loses 1 (down 23-7)

TB loses 2

SEA loses 3 (up 40-3)

LA loses 3

GB loses 4 with MIN winning 3 and other things happening (up 28-14)

 

[TheCardinal]

Falcons lose. I believe this mathematically eliminates them from playoff contention (I know, shocking). First in the NFC, I think

 

[ajcardfan]

Another way to look at it:

If we are destined to finish 9-7, we would need four of the following:

MIN loses 1

CHI loses 1

DET loses 1 (down 28-14)

SF loses 1 (down 23-7)

TB loses 2

SEA loses 3 (up 40-3)

LA loses 3

GB loses 4 with MIN winning 3 and other things happening (up 28-14)

That is why I am focused on CHI and MIN.

It's not going to matter what TB, Seattle, etc, do. DET and SF are not in my picture. CHI and MIN play next week, there is one of those losses. Then, the other team losing one of their last two. Chi plays JAX and GB, MIN, NO and Det. I think MIN winning next week is better for us.

 

[TheCardinal]

Lions lose. They can’t catch us at 9-7. Satisfies one of the four.

 

[TheCardinal]

49ers lose. There goes another one. Updated — We now need 2 of the following if we finish 9-7:

MIN loses 1

CHI loses 1

TB loses 2

SEA loses 3

LA loses 3

The Vikings and Bears still play each other. If we’re getting greedy, a tie would satisfy both requirements.

 

[TheCardinal]

That is why I am focused on CHI and MIN.

It's not going to matter what TB, Seattle, etc, do. DET and SF are not in my picture. CHI and MIN play next week, there is one of those losses. Then, the other team losing one of their last two. Chi plays JAX and GB, MIN, NO and Det. I think MIN winning next week is better for us.

I’m thinking you’re right. Outside of a tie, a Vikings win over Chicago may actually be better. We also have additional outs against MIN in a tie at 8-8, but not against CHI.

 

[juza76]

49ers lose. There goes another one. Updated — We now need 2 of the following if we finish 9-7:

MIN loses 1

CHI loses 1

TB loses 2

SEA loses 3

LA loses 3

The Vikings and Bears still play each other. If we’re getting greedy, a tie would satisfy both requirements.

Going 9-7 basically we are in the playoff

 

[dscher]

The life of a cards fan.... Root for others misfortunes to get favorable conditions. .

 

[SoonerLou]

Obviously will take the playoffs anyway you can get it.

Man...the Saints would be a tough matchup. Rather play the Packers (if we got in)

 

[GoldGloveschmidt]

Kornacki gives us a 61% shot, far and away the best odds for the last wildcard spot.

 

[Cards_Campos]

On Sunday night football. They have is at 61% now. Actually pretty low for the other 3 teams

 

[Cards_Campos]

Kornacki gives us a 61% shot, far and away the best odds for the last wildcard spot.

lol. We typing Same Time

 

[HairZach]

Obviously will take the playoffs anyway you can get it.

Man...the Saints would be a tough matchup. Rather play the Packers (if we got in)

I know we've had a lot of luck vs. the Packers in the past but they scare me a lot more than the Saints this year.