I guess nobody wants to answer the simple question. Instead just another debate about Murray.
Personally..... I would want to know much more.
30 tds, 12 picks and 3500 yards would you take it?
3500 yards places him 18th.
Basically you made him look like Kirk Cousins. Less yards but same TD to INT ratio. Kirk had a 99.7 Rating.
I would say no personally. Mostly due to the middle-of-the-road nature of it.
I think Cousins may be his ceiling though. And I am unsure he ever hits a 3-1 ratio.
Kyler could be a 4000yd with 35 TD's passing and 500yd 5 TD's rushing kind of guy.
That's an aggressive passing # (tied for 3rd in the NFL) but a very conservative rushing # IMO. Lamar, Allen, & Watson were all over 500 yards rushing. Allen, Jackson, Prescott, & Watson all had 5 rushing TD's. And Cam getting shut down cost him 500 and 5.
So my guess at Kylers Ceiling is this: 4500 / 800 / 40 passing / 5 rushing
His Floor: 3000 / 550 / 25 passing / 5 rushing.
Both are better than anything what you pose above.
KYLER MURRAY FOR OUR QB1!!!