What evidence do you have that he won't?
Honestly, this team could be anything. We have in that zone where we don't have reams of talent to be sure of a winning record but have enough that we ain't going to suck.
It's a 7-10 to 11-6 roster and how it plays out will depend on our injuries, injuries to teams we play, how Trey Lance performs, how the Ram's O line looks, how we cope without Nuk, How Hollywood fits in, how guys like Collins, Wilson, Moore, Sander etc develop. Most of all, how Kyler and Kliff develop.
I don't think this is a worse team than last year, but the schedule is tougher on paper.
I can see scenarios where the defense really struggles to get off the field and it holds the offense back. I can also see the offense being dominant and taking pressure off the D.
Will be interesting to see which way it plays out.