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.by Paola Boivin - Jun. 30, 2009 07:48 PM
The Arizona Republic The NBA rumor mill is so out of control that this message came across Twitter on Tuesday:
Breaking News! Amar'e Stoudemire to the Lakers!! He might take less money to win a championship. The sender? Amaré Stoudemire.
Even the Suns forward is having fun with a big decision that the franchise has been mulling. Do you trade him, gain financial freedom but likely lose fans and games while in an unpopular rebuilding mode? Or do you continue to build around your go-to guy but risk being locked into a no-leverage future?
When a team is willing to deal its centerpiece, "it's generally not for talent purposes but for financial reasons or personality conflicts," Orlando Magic Senior Vice President Pat Williams said. "History would say you almost always end up on the short end."
History offers tough lessons on the far-reaching impact of tough trade decisions.
Williams knows this well. Even though he directed many successful trades, fans most remember how, as the Philadelphia 76ers' general manager in 1986, he traded Moses Malone - along with Terry Catledge and two first-round picks - for Washington's Cliff Robinson and Jeff Ruland.
Philadelphia management erred in thinking Malone's skills were on sharp decline. Malone, 31, went on to play nine productive seasons, while Robinson and Ruland spent much of their time on the bench nursing injuries.
A team three years removed from an NBA title missed the playoffs eight of the next 12 years.
The lesson? Make sure you have a firm grasp on the state of your player's skills.
Stoudemire, of course, isn't Malone. His career isn't as established, and concerns about his health, including the detached retina that sidelined him for half of last season, linger. His desire for a contract extension when he becomes eligible later this summer also clouds the issue.
On the other hand, he's 26, an age widely regarded as the start of an NBA player's prime. Many believe his best play is yet to come.
"The point is, with All-Star-caliber players, you need to be very careful before you proceed," Williams said.
Robert Parish was Stoudemire's age when Golden State traded him and a No. 3 pick in the 1980 draft to Boston for the Nos. 1 and 13 picks.
The Celtics used the third pick to take Kevin McHale, and Boston soon had one of the finest front lines in NBA history. The Celtics won three titles during Parish's reign, while the Warriors made the playoffs just once with their No. 1 draft choice, Joe Barry Carroll. Their 13th pick, Rickey Brown, averaged 4.4 points in his career.
Before the trade, Golden State was in disarray and anxious to rebuild. Many had questions about Parish's motivation. The decision proved costly and the Warriors, one of the dominant teams in the 1960s, failed to reach the postseason for six consecutive seasons after the Parish trade.
The lesson? Rebuilding requires a deft draft and astute personnel decisions.
Vince Carter was 27 when he demanded a trade from Toronto in 2004. The struggling Raptors agreed and sent him the New Jersey Nets while acquiring Alonzo Mourning, Eric Williams and Aaron Williams and two mid-to-late future first-round picks.
Mourning chose not to report, and Toronto had to buy out the remainder of his contract, while neither of the other two players made a significant impact.
The lesson? Be sure the players you acquire are on board with your plans.
Sun owner Robert Sarver and General Manager Steve Kerr have taken heat for the direction of the franchise under their leadership. The convergence of economic challenges and lack of success are likely to inspire a very real makeover.
"You build and put pieces together, you go for it and give everything you got for that big trophy," Williams said. "If you don't get there and the timing has run out, you can do one of two things: muddle along or start all over again."
Suns management is contemplating one of the biggest trades of its tenure. History sends one important message: Proceed with caution.