Texas A&M is likely battling with Big 12 team for the final 3-seed in the NCAA Tournament

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Head coach Buzz Williams and his veteran team are less than five hours away from earning the program's third consecutive bid to the NCAA Tournament, as Texas A&M (22-10, 11-7 SEC) looks to make a deep run for the first time since the Billy Gillispie era.

Making it past the round of 32 for the first time in nearly a decade will depend on the Aggies' seeding, which has come down to a 3 or 4 seed. Still, from a matchup standpoint and potential "path to victory," a 3-seed looks like a must to avoid some of the hotter shooting teams based on A&M's poor 3-point defense.

However, with Wisconsin facing Michigan in the Big Ten Championship game this afternoon, if the Badgers win, they will likely earn one of the four 3-seeds. This means Texas A&M and Iowa State will battle for the final 3-seed. The Selection Committee will compare two resumes with stark differences in several metrics, including how both teams performed when dealing with injuries.

Throughout the regular season, Texas A&M dealt with star guard Wade Taylor IV missing several games. As TexAgs' Luke Evangelist pointed out, the Aggies went 5-4 in that span, compared to Iowa State going 4-7 with key players missing in the lineup.

Iowa State (10th) is slightly advantageous in the NET rankings over Texas A&M (18th). Still, the Aggies are ranked 10th in WAB (wins against bubble teams) and have a more impressive "best win" after defeating No. 1 Auburn at home compared to Iowa State's win over Texas Tech on the road. It's also fair to note that Texas A&M beat Texas Tech on a neutral court earlier in the year.

Assuming Wisconsin is a 3 seed with a win today, the final 3 seed spot will likely be between Iowa State and Texas A&M...

Iowa State: NET #10, Top 10 in all predictive metrics, 18.0 resume average (including #18 WAB)

Texas A&M: NET #18, 13.7 resume average (including #11 WAB),…

— AI Bracketology (@AI_Bracketology) March 16, 2025

The difference between a three seed and a four seed is pretty massive. CBS Sports's Jerry Palm predicts the Aggies as a 4-seed facing 13-seed Grand Canyon, while ESPN's Joe Lunardi continues to predict that 4-seed Texas A&M will face 13-seed Yale, one of the more efficient shooting teams in the country.

Texas A&M will await its seeding during Selection Sunday (March 16), which will air at 5:00 p.m. CT on CBS.

Contact/Follow us @AggiesWire on X and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Texas A&M news, notes and opinions. Follow Cameron on X: @CameronOhnysty.

This article originally appeared on Aggies Wire: Texas A&M is likely battling for a 3-seed with Iowa State


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