I didn't vote. My attitude is that the Suns CAN win it this year, but I would be hard pressed to say I'm sure they WILL.
Against the Spurs, the Suns missed a lot of point blank shots (32.79% was not entirely Spurs defense) and missed 8 foul shots.
On the other hand, the Suns held the Spurs to 41.8% Considering that Duncan went 10 of 17 from the field but only 2 of 9 from the line, it makes sense to put guys other than Amare on Duncan and just rough Ducan up.
Clearly the Suns had trouble with Finley, but it is not clear that Finley is going to shoot like that over a long series. This season Finley is hitting only 40.7% of his shots and just 35.4% for three. Eddie Johnson says that Finley is very ineffective if he's forced to put the ball on the floor, so the Suns SHOULD be able to contain him. Brent Barry is another problem entirely as he was having a terrific year before he got injured.
Amare did not have a good game against SA last week, but on a season basis his stats are pretty good. He's shot 24 of 48 from the field and averaged over 10 rpg,
SA does play extremely well at home, which is why it is important for the Suns to get home court advantage. I'd be shocked if the series went less than 6.