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2005 NFL draft, projected first two rounds
1. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Aaron Rodgers* | QB | California
The 49ers have essentially narrowed the list of potential candidates down to three -- Cal QB Aaron Rodgers, Utah QB Alex Smith and Michigan WR Braylon Edwards. They would like to have a deal done prior to their 15 minutes on the clock, so the leverage game with the respective agents should start shortly, if it hasn't already. In our opinion, WR Braylon Edwards is the top-overall rated player in the 2005 draft, but the Niners need a quarterback much more than they need a receiver. Personnel officials across the country seem to be split between Rodgers and Smith as this year's top-rated quarterback, but we think Rodgers gets the slight edge because of his greater arm strength and experience in a pro-style system. Smith's rare intangibles are making this an extraordinarily difficult decision for John York (Owner), Scott McCloughan (VP of Player Personnel), Parag Marate (Director of Football Operations) and Mike Nolan (Head Coach). However, when push comes to shove we think the team will pull the trigger on Rodgers.
2. Miami Dolphins (4-12)
Ronnie Brown | RB | Auburn
The Dolphins' best bet would be trading down in order to acquire extra picks, but that scenario is unlikely. New head coach Nick Saban and his staff have addressed needs along the offensive line and throughout the defense via free agency. They also have decided that QB A.J. Feeley is their starter for at least one year, in which he will be evaluated within the new scheme. That leaves running back as the top need and Brown as the most deserving candidate. Benson might be the more powerful runner and Williams might be the most elusive, but Brown is the best overall running back in this year's draft. Brown is big, strong and fast enough to carry a heavy load in the NFL and he also possesses considerably better skills in the passing game than those of Benson and Williams.
3. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Alex Smith* | QB | Utah
The word we are hearing out of Cleveland is that the Browns value Smith more than Rodgers. We also hear that Edwards is very much in the mix. Like the two teams ahead of them, the Browns would ideally trade down, acquire extra picks and get a better value on one of three first round offensive tackle prospects in this draft class -- Alex Barron, Jammal Brown and Khalif Barnes. Assuming, however, they get stuck at No. 3, new G.M. Phil Savage has to decide whether or not he wants to draft his quarterback of the future or go in a different direction. If Smith falls to them at No. 3, we think he'll be the choice. Smith is one of the most intelligent and consistent quarterbacks to come out of the collegiate ranks in years and he solidified a top spot in this year's draft with a recent awe-inspiring workout on campus. He will need time to develop physically and that may be the exact reason for acquiring veteran QB Trent Dilfer. If however, the 49ers wind up going with Smith over Rodgers, Cleveland would either go with Edwards or trade the pick to another team interested in him, such as the Buccaneers, Vikings, Cowboys or Chargers.
4. Chicago Bears (5-11)
Braylon Edwards | WR | Michigan
There have been rumors of the Bears wanting to trade out of this pick but we think they'll stay put and draft the offensive prospect with the biggest potential to make an immediate impact. That's why, even after signing Muhsin Muhammad to a long-term deal, nobody should be shocked if the team use this pick on a wide receiver. The Bears have enough young talent on defense, but they desperately need more playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. The team might draft one of the top three running backs, but Edwards is the best available prospect at a position with similar need. Edwards has an outstanding combination of size and speed, and he's a flat-out playmaker when the ball is up for grabs. Adding Muhammad and Edwards in one offseason could be just what QB Rex Grossman and RB Thomas Jones need.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Carnell Williams | RB | Auburn
The Buccaneers could go in several different directions with this pick, including RB, OT, OG, QB, WR, DT or DB. Looking at the probabilities regarding how the top of the draft board will unfold, RB is likely to be the position that the Bucs will get their best value with the fifth overall pick. While Benson is a better fit for an offense looking for a load-carrying power runner, Williams is a better fit for Jon Gruden's version of the West Coast offense. Williams still needs to improve as a blocker, but he's the shiftiest and most elusive of the top three backs (Brown and Benson) and has the hands to become a legitimate weapon as a receiver out of the backfield. It also won't hurt Williams' chances that Gruden fell in love with him while coaching him at the Senior Bowl.
6. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Mike Williams* | WR | USC
The latest word out of Tennessee is that the Titans are working on a deal that would return DC Andre Dyson to the team. If that's the case, with Andre Woolfolk already in-house, the Titans' interests at No. 6 would shift. The team is looking long and hard at the top two quarterbacks -- Smith and Rodgers -- should one of them slip out of the top five. The Titans could also get a lot of trade offers while they're on the clock, but if they stay at No. 6 the best available athlete at a position of need in this scenario is Williams. Tyrone Calico and Drew Bennett are the only two legitimate wide receivers on the team's roster and Williams would immediately become its best player at the position. He doesn't have elite speed but he's faster than Keyshawn Johnson and he projects as much more of a vertical weapon than Johnson has been in the NFL.
7. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Shawn Merriman* | OLB/DE | Maryland
The Vikings have few needs to address and can really focus in on the ones they do have with two first round picks thanks to the Randy Moss (Raiders) deal. Adding a blue chip wide receiver is still a need but if Edwards and Williams are already off the board by the time they pick, the Vikings can get a better value in the form of a pass rusher. Merriman has the speed, athleticism and instincts to immediately upgrade the Vikings defense as an edge rusher opposite Kenechi Udeze, and he has the frame to eventually develop into a fulltime starter.
8. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Antrel Rolle | DC | Miami-Fla.
We're under the strong impression that the Cardinals will get a pre-draft deal done with the Bills that will land them RB Travis Henry in exchange for OT L.J. Shelton and possibly a second-round swap. If that's the case, drafting a cornerback with their top pick becomes a necessity. From what we hear, the team likes Rolle over Adam Jones (West Virginia), primarily because of the size issue. Rolle also has the instincts, toughness and athletic ability to quickly become a solid starter in the NFL. His biggest obstacle in solidifying a potential spot in the top-10 was proving that he was fast enough to turn and run with NFL receivers. His recent 4.49 in the 40-yard dash should ease those worries.
9. Washington Redskins (6-10)
Adam Jones | DC | West Virginia
The good news for Redskins fans is that their team did a good job of upgrading its offensive personnel with the additions of OC Casey Rabach and WRs Santana Moss and David Patten. The bad news, however, is that the Redskins got significantly worse on defense thanks to the free agent departures of MLB Antonio Pierce (Giants) and DC Fred Smoot (Vikings). On top of needing starters at both of those positions, the Redskins also could use an impact pass rusher at defensive end. Without a second round pick, addressing all of those needs won't be an easy task. The team could consider Merriman if he's still on the board, but Jones is the best match in terms of value and need. Jones has the speed, toughness and confidence to develop into a shutdown cover corner in the NFL and he's also an explosive return man.
10. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Alex Barron | OT | Florida State
The Lions could use a playmaker at defensive end, but finding a replacement for the departed Stockar McDougle at right tackle is more glaring. Barron needs to become more physical, but he has the size, strength and feet to develop into a starting right or left tackle in the NFL.
11. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Derrick Johnson | OLB | Texas
The Cowboys have been busy in free agency, addressing needs at defensive tackle (Jason Ferguson), quarterback (Drew Bledsoe) and cornerback (Anthony Henry). However, they are still in pursuit of upgrades at wide receiver, offensive tackle (ROT) and OLB/DE. Linebackers have a tendency to slip on draft day, but Johnson is too athletic to slip very far. He still needs to become more physical and learn to take on blocks, but Johnson has Derrick Brooks-like potential and would give Bill Parcells a lot of versatility as the Cowboys make the conversion to more 3-4 looks on defense.
12. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Troy Williamson* | WR | South Carolina
The Chargers would consider drafting a pass rusher or Barron if he fell to them at No. 12. However, upgrading their wide receiver situation is just as pressing and Williamson gives them the best value with the first of two first-round picks. Williamson is a player on the rise after running in the 4.3's at the combine. He has the size, long arms, hands and explosive speed to quickly develop into a deep threat in the NFL.
13. Houston Texans (7-9)
David Pollack | DE | Georgia
If Barron is already taken, the Texans' focus will likely shift to the OLB position in their 3-4 defensive scheme. The team used a first-round pick on Jason Babin in 2004 and, while he did make strides late last season, the team still needs a legitimate pass rusher and playmaker opposite him. Pollack might lack ideal size and top-end speed, but he has the quickness, power and playmaking instincts to immediately contribute in the NFL. Furthermore, his best fit might be as a 3-4 rush linebacker.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Cedric Benson | RB | Texas
This pick may come as a surprise but don't rule out the possibility. For starters, the Panthers running back situation has deteriorated in a hurry. DeShaun Foster should return from a shoulder injury but hasn't been able to stay healthy as a pro, and Stephen Davis is 31 and coming off knee surgery. The team doesn't have many glaring needs and it won't want to reach for a right tackle with this pick. As far as Benson's freefall is concerned, Benson could be the odd-man-out of the "Big Three" running back equation if the Cardinals fill their void in a trade for Henry, because Benson has the least amount of versatility and the most amount of baggage. Benson doesn't have great speed or elusiveness, but he's a north-south runner with great vision, size and power. He isn't a great fit for many NFL teams but he'd be perfect in Carolina as a younger up-and-coming Davis-type runner.
15. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Marcus Spears | DE | LSU
If the deal for DC Patrick Surtain (Dolphins) goes through as expected, addressing the defensive end position must become the Chiefs' first-round focus. The Chiefs have a decent starting combo at DE in Jared Allen and Eric Hicks, but they really are missing depth and size at the position. Spears would be a good fit, as he is a "tweener" DE/DT who could really make an impact as an interior pass rusher and play in a rotation that would give Allen and Hicks a breather while beefing up the line on first and second downs. Spears is currently rehabilitating an ACL injury he suffered while training for the combine, but he is expected to make a full recovery by early April. If he can run well (in the 4.8 range), Spears should land in the 10-20 range of the first round.
16. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Carlos Rogers | DC | Auburn
The Saints failed to land the prospects they wanted in the first round of the last two drafts ( DT Dewayne Robertson in 2003 and LBs Jonathan Vilma and D.J. Williams in 2004) so a more aggressive approach might be in order this year. The problem the team faces is that there won't be good values at its two biggest positions of need -- ROT and LB. One option could be to move up in order to secure a prospect such as Texas OLB Derrick Johnson or FSU OT Alex Barron. If not, the best move will be to upgrade the cornerback position with some much-needed youth. Rogers has good size and speed. Most importantly, he is a physical cover corner with the athletic ability and confidence to play both man-to-man and zone coverage in the NFL.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Travis Johnson | DT | Florida State
The Bengals lessened the need at defensive tackle need with the addition of Bryan Robinson, but if Johnson is still available he should be the team's pick. After struggling through some off-the-field issues that affected his play early in his career at FSU, Johnson had a breakout season as a fulltime starter in 2004. In our opinion, he's the best defensive tackle in this year's draft class and has a chance to make a huge impact early in his NFL career as a one-gap penetrating DT with enough bulk and strength to hold the point of attack.
18. Minnesota Vikings (8-8)
Mark Clayton | WR | Oklahoma
In all reality, the Vikings have great depth at wide receiver but they lack a premier No. 1 now that Moss is gone. The team did sign Travis Taylor in free agency but they plan on using him in the slot. Nate Burleson is entrenched as a starter but Marcus Robinson is aging and inconsistent. If the team doesn't get one of the two elite receiver prospects -- Edwards and Williams -- with it first pick, Clayton would be a good value at No. 18. He lacks elite size but has everything else scouts look for in a first round wide receiver prospect, including quickness, speed and reliable hands.
19. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Jammal Brown | OT | Oklahoma
The Rams could use an upgrade at defensive end, but finding a replacement for ROT Kyle Turley is a significantly bigger issue. Brown needs to become more physical but he has the size and feet to develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He also has enough experience at the highest collegiate level to possibly step right in as a starter in 2005.
20. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Thomas Davis* | S | Georgia
The Cowboys are rumored to have interest in trading out of this pick in order to acquire more Day 1 selections. Drafting a vertical receiver such as UAB's Roddy White also isn't out of the question. However, if they do stay put the focus likely will remain on the defensive side of the ball, where coach Bill Parcells wants to get bigger and more physical. Davis is a good value late in the first round and he's definitely a Parcells kind of player. Some teams consider Davis a "weakside" linebacker but the Cowboys would likely keep Davis at safety, where he could fill the void created by Darren Woodson's retirement.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Khalif Barnes | OT | Washington
The Jaguars addressed their most glaring need (DE) with the free-agency addition of Reggie Hayward. While the team could still use a Day 1 pick on an end that could eventually take over for Wiley, finding an upgrade over Mike Pearson at LOT is the next objective. Barnes has had a huge postseason, as he has wowed NFL brass at both the Senior Bowl and combine. He clearly has the athleticism and size to develop into an above-average starter at the next level. All he needs is good coaching and motivation. He's certainly worth the risk late in the first round.
22. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Roddy White | WR | Alabama-Birmingham
By adding WR Derrick Mason and DC Samari Rolle via free agency, the Ravens have given themselves a lot of draft-day flexibility. However, with Travis Taylor gone, the team still needs WR depth. White left the Senior Bowl earl with a hamstring injury, but he proved during the first couple days of practice that he has the speed and playmaking capability to make a difference in the vertical passing game at the next level. He doesn't have elite size, but White has the speed to draw attention away from Mason, which is something the Ravens lack on their roster right now.
23. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Erasmus James | DE | Wisconsin
James' less-than-impressive workout at the combine and his history of injuries might cause him to slip a little bit on draft day. He is one of the best pass-rushing DE prospects in this class and would be considered a great find at 23. The Seahawks will also be looking for linebackers and cornerbacks with this selection but James would be the best available value.
24. Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Demarcus Ware | DE | Troy
Ware's draft stock is skyrocketing after his impressive showing at the combine and we think he's exactly the type of player that the Packers are looking for. Ware is a 'tweener DE/OLB with explosive speed and loads of pass-rushing potential in the NFL. It may be a while before he develops into an every-down starter, but he'd be the perfect fit as a sub-package edge rusher opposite Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila.
25. Denver Broncos (10-6)
Marlin Jackson | DC | Michigan
After making several additions to their defensive front seven during the offseason, the Broncos seem less likely to use this pick on a linebacker or defensive lineman than they did just a couple months ago. The team also solidified its tight end position, which means their top needs now lie in the defensive secondary. If Davis were available he might be the pick. In this scenario, Jackson is a good value at a position of need. Jackson doesn't have blazing speed but he's an excellent athlete with the size and confidence to quickly develop into a starter in the NFL. By drafting a cornerback here it would allow the Broncos to move Lenny Walls back to the nickel and dime packages, which is where he belongs.
26. New York Jets (10-6)
Heath Miller* | TE | Virginia
The Jets' most glaring weakness on either side of the ball is at cornerback, but their second-biggest need is at tight end after Anthony Becht fled to Tampa Bay. Furthermore, Miller is a much better value than any cornerback the Jets could get with this pick. Miller lacks Todd Heap- and Tony Gonzalez-type speed, but he's just a notch below the elite in terms of playmaking ability. He has very good size, is a smooth athlete, has a terrific feel for the passing game and might have the best hands of any skill position player in this draft. There are some concerns right now about a lingering sports hernia injury that kept him from working out at the combine.
27. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Shaun Cody | DE | USC
Cody is a 'tweener DE/DT who would be a perfect fit as a one-gap penetrating DT, which is exactly what the Falcons are looking for in their scheme. The team has a solid starter in Rod Coleman and a good swing-man in Chad Lavalais, but they need to find a true starter now that Ed Jasper is gone. Cody has the potential to fill that void.
28. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Dan Cody | DE | Oklahoma
The Chargers were tied for the third fewest sacks in the league (29) in 2004, which helps to explain why they need to use one of their two first-round picks on a pass rusher. Cody has the athleticism, speed and instincts to step in as a rookie and immediately make an impact.
29. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Channing Crowder* | ILB | Florida
The Colts made the right decision parting ways with former starting MLB Rob Morris because he just didn't fit. He will be a good run-plugger in a different uniform, but he didn't have the speed or cover skills that are necessary to play in the cover-2. Crowder is still raw, but he's a good athlete with a mean streak. His range and agility make him a much better fit for Tony Dungy's scheme.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Daryl Blackstock | OLB | Virginia
The Steelers have other needs at right tackle, defensive end, wide receiver, tight end and free safety, but none of them are pressing, which is why they have some flexibility with this pick. Blackstock makes a lot of sense, as he comes from a similar 3-4 scheme that Al Groh brought with him from the Jets to the University of Virginia. Blackstock could provide immediate help as a situational pass rusher and could eventually take over for the aging Joey Porter.
31. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
Matt Roth | DE | Iowa
After re-signing DT Corey Simon and MLB Jeremiah Trotter, the Eagles' only needs in the draft are for depth purposes. Look for them to add a guard/tackle, wide receiver, running back, defensive lineman, linebacker and safety if they keep all five of their day-one picks. Roth has the athleticism, quickness, instincts and tenacity to provide quality reps as a rookie. With Derrick Burgess leaving town and Jerome McDougle failing to stay healthy, this also is the safest pick.
32. New England Patriots (14-2)
Fabian Washington* | DC | Nebraska
The Patriots have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but coach Bill Belichick won't fall into that trap on draft day. If the team can't find a good value at inside linebacker with the 32nd pick it will go in a different direction and simply find a free agent after June 1st cuts to fill the need. Washington would be the best athlete on the board at this point and the team can certainly use help at the position after parting ways with Ty Law. No player improved his stock at the combine more than Washington, who ran one of the fastest 40-yard dash times (4.25) in the history of the event. Washington doesn't have great size but he is tough. He has the athleticism, speed and ball skills the Patriots are searching for.
ROUND 2
33. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Brodney Pool* | DS | Oklahoma
The 49ers are desperate for playmakers in their defensive secondary and Pool has the range and ball skills to take over as their starting free safety in 2005.
34. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Marcus Johnson | OT | Ole Miss
Finding an upgrade at offensive tackle is a huge priority and Johnson has the size and strength that the Browns are looking for.
35. Philadelphia Eagles (from Miami) (13-3)
Reggie Brown | WR | Georgia
With one of their five Day 1 picks, the Eagles need to find a playmaker who can push for the starting job opposite Terrell Owens. Brown is athletic enough to become that guy.
36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Kevin Burnett | OLB | Tennessee
Burnett would give the Bucs another terrific athlete at the linebacker position and could possibly take over as a starter opposite Derrick Brooks in 2005.
37. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Adam Terry | OT | Syracuse
This might be a bit of a reach for Terry but the Titans are in a desperate situation at the right tackle position.
38. Oakland Raiders (5-11)
Odell Thurman* | ILB | Georgia
Thurman has some character issues but he has the physical tools of a late-first round draft pick and was a vacuum when on the field during his two-year stint at Georgia.
39. Chicago Bears (5-11)
David Baas | OG/OC | Michigan
The Bears are in search for a guard that can push Roberta Garza and/or eventually take over for the aging Reuben Brown. Baas, who played guard and center in college, is a good candidate to fill that need early in the second round.
40. New Orleans Saints (from Washington) (8-8)
Barrett Ruud | ILB | New Orleans
The Saints desperately need to upgrade there athleticism at linebacker and Ruud has the speed and instincts to do so.
41. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Justin Tuck* | DE | Notre Dame
Tuck has some durability issues but he is the type of pass rusher and playmaker that the Lions are searching for opposite DE James Hall.
42. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Chris Canty | DE | Virginia
A perfect fit at defensive end as the Cowboys move to a 3-4 defensive scheme.
43. New York Giants (6-10)
Anttaj Hawthorne | DT | Wisconsin
Hawthorne is slipping after a poor showing at the combine but he has the size and quickness the Giants need at defensive tackle.
44. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Luis Castillo | DT | Northwestern
After a monstrous combine workout, Castillo has moved up to the early second-round range and would be a good fit for a Cardinals' defense void of interior line talent.
45. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Elton Brown | OG | Virginia
If they go with a stud guard like Brown, newly signed Mike Wahle will have to play tackle opposite Jordan Gross.
46. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Justin Miller* | DC | Clemson
Trading for Surtain will help but the team still needs youth and depth. Miller also can contribute in the return game.
47. Houston Texans (7-9)
Roscoe Parrish* | WR | Miami-FL
Parrish could be a good complement to Andre Johnson and could also help in the return game.
48. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Chris Spencer* | OC | Ole Miss
Spencer would immediately take over as the Bengals starting center.
49. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Logan Mankins | OG | Fresno State
Mankins has the feet and toughness that coach Mike Tice is looking for.
50. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Brandon Browner* | DC | Oregon State
Browner could be a good fit as a cover-2 cornerback and he also has enough size to move to free safety.
51. Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans ) (10-6)
Jason Campbell | QB | Auburn
If a good deal at the quarterback position presents itself the Packers won't be afraid to pull the trigger for Brett Favre's heir apparent.
52. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Eric Green | DC | Virginia Tech
The Jaguars have good depth at cornerback but need to spend a Day 1 pick on a prospect that can eventually become an upgrade on one side.
53. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Corey Webster | DC | LSU
The Ravens are set for starters but need sub-package cornerbacks in a bad way. Webster has durability issues but could be a second-round steal if he fully recovers.
54. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Antonio Perkins | DC | Oklahoma
The Seahawks need to improve their depth at cornerback and Perkins would be a good fit in the nickel package.
55. Buffalo Bills (9-7)
Mike Patterson | DT | USC
After losing Pat Williams via free agency, the Bills might need to use their first selection in this draft on a defensive tackle.
56. Denver Broncos (10-6)
Chris Henry* | WR | West Virginia
Character issues are a major factor but Henry has first round physical tools and Denver has enough veteran leadership to take a chance on him.
57. New York Jets (10-6)
Bryant McFadden | DC | Florida State
If the Jets don't get an upgrade at cornerback in the first round they'll need to use this pick on one. McFadden has enough speed, size and toughness to provide an upgrade.
58. Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans ) (10-6)
Ernest Shazor* | DS | Michigan
Shazor is a big, hard-hitting strong safety that could help fill the void created by Darren Sharper's departure.
59. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Jerome Mathis | WR | Hampton
Mathis is an unpolished small-school prospect but his deep speed would make him a good complement to Peerless Price.
60. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Jonathan Babineaux | DT | Iowa
The Colts need to improve their toughness versus the run and Babineaux could help because he is a one-gap player that penetrates and tracks down the ball carrier.
61. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Chris Colmer | OT | N.C. State
The Chargers got away with marginal overall talent along the offensive line last season but they'll need to upgrade it with at least one Day 1 pick in this year's draft.
62. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Alex Smith | TE | Stanford
There's a drop-off from Miller to Smith but an even greater drop-off from Smith to the next best tight end prospect. That's why the Steelers might spend the pick on someone that would upgrade their pass-catching ability at the position.
63. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
J.J. Arrington | RB | California
The Eagles will use one of their Day 1 picks on a running back and Arrington has the speed and versatility to serve as a good backup to Bryant Westbrook.
64. New England Patriots (14-2)
Michael Munoz | OT | Tennessee
If Munoz can stay healthy he should develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He certainly has more natural talent than Tom Ashworth, the Patriots' starting right tackle last season.
1. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Aaron Rodgers* | QB | California
The 49ers have essentially narrowed the list of potential candidates down to three -- Cal QB Aaron Rodgers, Utah QB Alex Smith and Michigan WR Braylon Edwards. They would like to have a deal done prior to their 15 minutes on the clock, so the leverage game with the respective agents should start shortly, if it hasn't already. In our opinion, WR Braylon Edwards is the top-overall rated player in the 2005 draft, but the Niners need a quarterback much more than they need a receiver. Personnel officials across the country seem to be split between Rodgers and Smith as this year's top-rated quarterback, but we think Rodgers gets the slight edge because of his greater arm strength and experience in a pro-style system. Smith's rare intangibles are making this an extraordinarily difficult decision for John York (Owner), Scott McCloughan (VP of Player Personnel), Parag Marate (Director of Football Operations) and Mike Nolan (Head Coach). However, when push comes to shove we think the team will pull the trigger on Rodgers.
2. Miami Dolphins (4-12)
Ronnie Brown | RB | Auburn
The Dolphins' best bet would be trading down in order to acquire extra picks, but that scenario is unlikely. New head coach Nick Saban and his staff have addressed needs along the offensive line and throughout the defense via free agency. They also have decided that QB A.J. Feeley is their starter for at least one year, in which he will be evaluated within the new scheme. That leaves running back as the top need and Brown as the most deserving candidate. Benson might be the more powerful runner and Williams might be the most elusive, but Brown is the best overall running back in this year's draft. Brown is big, strong and fast enough to carry a heavy load in the NFL and he also possesses considerably better skills in the passing game than those of Benson and Williams.
3. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Alex Smith* | QB | Utah
The word we are hearing out of Cleveland is that the Browns value Smith more than Rodgers. We also hear that Edwards is very much in the mix. Like the two teams ahead of them, the Browns would ideally trade down, acquire extra picks and get a better value on one of three first round offensive tackle prospects in this draft class -- Alex Barron, Jammal Brown and Khalif Barnes. Assuming, however, they get stuck at No. 3, new G.M. Phil Savage has to decide whether or not he wants to draft his quarterback of the future or go in a different direction. If Smith falls to them at No. 3, we think he'll be the choice. Smith is one of the most intelligent and consistent quarterbacks to come out of the collegiate ranks in years and he solidified a top spot in this year's draft with a recent awe-inspiring workout on campus. He will need time to develop physically and that may be the exact reason for acquiring veteran QB Trent Dilfer. If however, the 49ers wind up going with Smith over Rodgers, Cleveland would either go with Edwards or trade the pick to another team interested in him, such as the Buccaneers, Vikings, Cowboys or Chargers.
4. Chicago Bears (5-11)
Braylon Edwards | WR | Michigan
There have been rumors of the Bears wanting to trade out of this pick but we think they'll stay put and draft the offensive prospect with the biggest potential to make an immediate impact. That's why, even after signing Muhsin Muhammad to a long-term deal, nobody should be shocked if the team use this pick on a wide receiver. The Bears have enough young talent on defense, but they desperately need more playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. The team might draft one of the top three running backs, but Edwards is the best available prospect at a position with similar need. Edwards has an outstanding combination of size and speed, and he's a flat-out playmaker when the ball is up for grabs. Adding Muhammad and Edwards in one offseason could be just what QB Rex Grossman and RB Thomas Jones need.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Carnell Williams | RB | Auburn
The Buccaneers could go in several different directions with this pick, including RB, OT, OG, QB, WR, DT or DB. Looking at the probabilities regarding how the top of the draft board will unfold, RB is likely to be the position that the Bucs will get their best value with the fifth overall pick. While Benson is a better fit for an offense looking for a load-carrying power runner, Williams is a better fit for Jon Gruden's version of the West Coast offense. Williams still needs to improve as a blocker, but he's the shiftiest and most elusive of the top three backs (Brown and Benson) and has the hands to become a legitimate weapon as a receiver out of the backfield. It also won't hurt Williams' chances that Gruden fell in love with him while coaching him at the Senior Bowl.
6. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Mike Williams* | WR | USC
The latest word out of Tennessee is that the Titans are working on a deal that would return DC Andre Dyson to the team. If that's the case, with Andre Woolfolk already in-house, the Titans' interests at No. 6 would shift. The team is looking long and hard at the top two quarterbacks -- Smith and Rodgers -- should one of them slip out of the top five. The Titans could also get a lot of trade offers while they're on the clock, but if they stay at No. 6 the best available athlete at a position of need in this scenario is Williams. Tyrone Calico and Drew Bennett are the only two legitimate wide receivers on the team's roster and Williams would immediately become its best player at the position. He doesn't have elite speed but he's faster than Keyshawn Johnson and he projects as much more of a vertical weapon than Johnson has been in the NFL.
7. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Shawn Merriman* | OLB/DE | Maryland
The Vikings have few needs to address and can really focus in on the ones they do have with two first round picks thanks to the Randy Moss (Raiders) deal. Adding a blue chip wide receiver is still a need but if Edwards and Williams are already off the board by the time they pick, the Vikings can get a better value in the form of a pass rusher. Merriman has the speed, athleticism and instincts to immediately upgrade the Vikings defense as an edge rusher opposite Kenechi Udeze, and he has the frame to eventually develop into a fulltime starter.
8. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Antrel Rolle | DC | Miami-Fla.
We're under the strong impression that the Cardinals will get a pre-draft deal done with the Bills that will land them RB Travis Henry in exchange for OT L.J. Shelton and possibly a second-round swap. If that's the case, drafting a cornerback with their top pick becomes a necessity. From what we hear, the team likes Rolle over Adam Jones (West Virginia), primarily because of the size issue. Rolle also has the instincts, toughness and athletic ability to quickly become a solid starter in the NFL. His biggest obstacle in solidifying a potential spot in the top-10 was proving that he was fast enough to turn and run with NFL receivers. His recent 4.49 in the 40-yard dash should ease those worries.
9. Washington Redskins (6-10)
Adam Jones | DC | West Virginia
The good news for Redskins fans is that their team did a good job of upgrading its offensive personnel with the additions of OC Casey Rabach and WRs Santana Moss and David Patten. The bad news, however, is that the Redskins got significantly worse on defense thanks to the free agent departures of MLB Antonio Pierce (Giants) and DC Fred Smoot (Vikings). On top of needing starters at both of those positions, the Redskins also could use an impact pass rusher at defensive end. Without a second round pick, addressing all of those needs won't be an easy task. The team could consider Merriman if he's still on the board, but Jones is the best match in terms of value and need. Jones has the speed, toughness and confidence to develop into a shutdown cover corner in the NFL and he's also an explosive return man.
10. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Alex Barron | OT | Florida State
The Lions could use a playmaker at defensive end, but finding a replacement for the departed Stockar McDougle at right tackle is more glaring. Barron needs to become more physical, but he has the size, strength and feet to develop into a starting right or left tackle in the NFL.
11. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Derrick Johnson | OLB | Texas
The Cowboys have been busy in free agency, addressing needs at defensive tackle (Jason Ferguson), quarterback (Drew Bledsoe) and cornerback (Anthony Henry). However, they are still in pursuit of upgrades at wide receiver, offensive tackle (ROT) and OLB/DE. Linebackers have a tendency to slip on draft day, but Johnson is too athletic to slip very far. He still needs to become more physical and learn to take on blocks, but Johnson has Derrick Brooks-like potential and would give Bill Parcells a lot of versatility as the Cowboys make the conversion to more 3-4 looks on defense.
12. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Troy Williamson* | WR | South Carolina
The Chargers would consider drafting a pass rusher or Barron if he fell to them at No. 12. However, upgrading their wide receiver situation is just as pressing and Williamson gives them the best value with the first of two first-round picks. Williamson is a player on the rise after running in the 4.3's at the combine. He has the size, long arms, hands and explosive speed to quickly develop into a deep threat in the NFL.
13. Houston Texans (7-9)
David Pollack | DE | Georgia
If Barron is already taken, the Texans' focus will likely shift to the OLB position in their 3-4 defensive scheme. The team used a first-round pick on Jason Babin in 2004 and, while he did make strides late last season, the team still needs a legitimate pass rusher and playmaker opposite him. Pollack might lack ideal size and top-end speed, but he has the quickness, power and playmaking instincts to immediately contribute in the NFL. Furthermore, his best fit might be as a 3-4 rush linebacker.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Cedric Benson | RB | Texas
This pick may come as a surprise but don't rule out the possibility. For starters, the Panthers running back situation has deteriorated in a hurry. DeShaun Foster should return from a shoulder injury but hasn't been able to stay healthy as a pro, and Stephen Davis is 31 and coming off knee surgery. The team doesn't have many glaring needs and it won't want to reach for a right tackle with this pick. As far as Benson's freefall is concerned, Benson could be the odd-man-out of the "Big Three" running back equation if the Cardinals fill their void in a trade for Henry, because Benson has the least amount of versatility and the most amount of baggage. Benson doesn't have great speed or elusiveness, but he's a north-south runner with great vision, size and power. He isn't a great fit for many NFL teams but he'd be perfect in Carolina as a younger up-and-coming Davis-type runner.
15. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Marcus Spears | DE | LSU
If the deal for DC Patrick Surtain (Dolphins) goes through as expected, addressing the defensive end position must become the Chiefs' first-round focus. The Chiefs have a decent starting combo at DE in Jared Allen and Eric Hicks, but they really are missing depth and size at the position. Spears would be a good fit, as he is a "tweener" DE/DT who could really make an impact as an interior pass rusher and play in a rotation that would give Allen and Hicks a breather while beefing up the line on first and second downs. Spears is currently rehabilitating an ACL injury he suffered while training for the combine, but he is expected to make a full recovery by early April. If he can run well (in the 4.8 range), Spears should land in the 10-20 range of the first round.
16. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Carlos Rogers | DC | Auburn
The Saints failed to land the prospects they wanted in the first round of the last two drafts ( DT Dewayne Robertson in 2003 and LBs Jonathan Vilma and D.J. Williams in 2004) so a more aggressive approach might be in order this year. The problem the team faces is that there won't be good values at its two biggest positions of need -- ROT and LB. One option could be to move up in order to secure a prospect such as Texas OLB Derrick Johnson or FSU OT Alex Barron. If not, the best move will be to upgrade the cornerback position with some much-needed youth. Rogers has good size and speed. Most importantly, he is a physical cover corner with the athletic ability and confidence to play both man-to-man and zone coverage in the NFL.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Travis Johnson | DT | Florida State
The Bengals lessened the need at defensive tackle need with the addition of Bryan Robinson, but if Johnson is still available he should be the team's pick. After struggling through some off-the-field issues that affected his play early in his career at FSU, Johnson had a breakout season as a fulltime starter in 2004. In our opinion, he's the best defensive tackle in this year's draft class and has a chance to make a huge impact early in his NFL career as a one-gap penetrating DT with enough bulk and strength to hold the point of attack.
18. Minnesota Vikings (8-8)
Mark Clayton | WR | Oklahoma
In all reality, the Vikings have great depth at wide receiver but they lack a premier No. 1 now that Moss is gone. The team did sign Travis Taylor in free agency but they plan on using him in the slot. Nate Burleson is entrenched as a starter but Marcus Robinson is aging and inconsistent. If the team doesn't get one of the two elite receiver prospects -- Edwards and Williams -- with it first pick, Clayton would be a good value at No. 18. He lacks elite size but has everything else scouts look for in a first round wide receiver prospect, including quickness, speed and reliable hands.
19. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Jammal Brown | OT | Oklahoma
The Rams could use an upgrade at defensive end, but finding a replacement for ROT Kyle Turley is a significantly bigger issue. Brown needs to become more physical but he has the size and feet to develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He also has enough experience at the highest collegiate level to possibly step right in as a starter in 2005.
20. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Thomas Davis* | S | Georgia
The Cowboys are rumored to have interest in trading out of this pick in order to acquire more Day 1 selections. Drafting a vertical receiver such as UAB's Roddy White also isn't out of the question. However, if they do stay put the focus likely will remain on the defensive side of the ball, where coach Bill Parcells wants to get bigger and more physical. Davis is a good value late in the first round and he's definitely a Parcells kind of player. Some teams consider Davis a "weakside" linebacker but the Cowboys would likely keep Davis at safety, where he could fill the void created by Darren Woodson's retirement.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Khalif Barnes | OT | Washington
The Jaguars addressed their most glaring need (DE) with the free-agency addition of Reggie Hayward. While the team could still use a Day 1 pick on an end that could eventually take over for Wiley, finding an upgrade over Mike Pearson at LOT is the next objective. Barnes has had a huge postseason, as he has wowed NFL brass at both the Senior Bowl and combine. He clearly has the athleticism and size to develop into an above-average starter at the next level. All he needs is good coaching and motivation. He's certainly worth the risk late in the first round.
22. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Roddy White | WR | Alabama-Birmingham
By adding WR Derrick Mason and DC Samari Rolle via free agency, the Ravens have given themselves a lot of draft-day flexibility. However, with Travis Taylor gone, the team still needs WR depth. White left the Senior Bowl earl with a hamstring injury, but he proved during the first couple days of practice that he has the speed and playmaking capability to make a difference in the vertical passing game at the next level. He doesn't have elite size, but White has the speed to draw attention away from Mason, which is something the Ravens lack on their roster right now.
23. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Erasmus James | DE | Wisconsin
James' less-than-impressive workout at the combine and his history of injuries might cause him to slip a little bit on draft day. He is one of the best pass-rushing DE prospects in this class and would be considered a great find at 23. The Seahawks will also be looking for linebackers and cornerbacks with this selection but James would be the best available value.
24. Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Demarcus Ware | DE | Troy
Ware's draft stock is skyrocketing after his impressive showing at the combine and we think he's exactly the type of player that the Packers are looking for. Ware is a 'tweener DE/OLB with explosive speed and loads of pass-rushing potential in the NFL. It may be a while before he develops into an every-down starter, but he'd be the perfect fit as a sub-package edge rusher opposite Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila.
25. Denver Broncos (10-6)
Marlin Jackson | DC | Michigan
After making several additions to their defensive front seven during the offseason, the Broncos seem less likely to use this pick on a linebacker or defensive lineman than they did just a couple months ago. The team also solidified its tight end position, which means their top needs now lie in the defensive secondary. If Davis were available he might be the pick. In this scenario, Jackson is a good value at a position of need. Jackson doesn't have blazing speed but he's an excellent athlete with the size and confidence to quickly develop into a starter in the NFL. By drafting a cornerback here it would allow the Broncos to move Lenny Walls back to the nickel and dime packages, which is where he belongs.
26. New York Jets (10-6)
Heath Miller* | TE | Virginia
The Jets' most glaring weakness on either side of the ball is at cornerback, but their second-biggest need is at tight end after Anthony Becht fled to Tampa Bay. Furthermore, Miller is a much better value than any cornerback the Jets could get with this pick. Miller lacks Todd Heap- and Tony Gonzalez-type speed, but he's just a notch below the elite in terms of playmaking ability. He has very good size, is a smooth athlete, has a terrific feel for the passing game and might have the best hands of any skill position player in this draft. There are some concerns right now about a lingering sports hernia injury that kept him from working out at the combine.
27. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Shaun Cody | DE | USC
Cody is a 'tweener DE/DT who would be a perfect fit as a one-gap penetrating DT, which is exactly what the Falcons are looking for in their scheme. The team has a solid starter in Rod Coleman and a good swing-man in Chad Lavalais, but they need to find a true starter now that Ed Jasper is gone. Cody has the potential to fill that void.
28. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Dan Cody | DE | Oklahoma
The Chargers were tied for the third fewest sacks in the league (29) in 2004, which helps to explain why they need to use one of their two first-round picks on a pass rusher. Cody has the athleticism, speed and instincts to step in as a rookie and immediately make an impact.
29. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Channing Crowder* | ILB | Florida
The Colts made the right decision parting ways with former starting MLB Rob Morris because he just didn't fit. He will be a good run-plugger in a different uniform, but he didn't have the speed or cover skills that are necessary to play in the cover-2. Crowder is still raw, but he's a good athlete with a mean streak. His range and agility make him a much better fit for Tony Dungy's scheme.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Daryl Blackstock | OLB | Virginia
The Steelers have other needs at right tackle, defensive end, wide receiver, tight end and free safety, but none of them are pressing, which is why they have some flexibility with this pick. Blackstock makes a lot of sense, as he comes from a similar 3-4 scheme that Al Groh brought with him from the Jets to the University of Virginia. Blackstock could provide immediate help as a situational pass rusher and could eventually take over for the aging Joey Porter.
31. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
Matt Roth | DE | Iowa
After re-signing DT Corey Simon and MLB Jeremiah Trotter, the Eagles' only needs in the draft are for depth purposes. Look for them to add a guard/tackle, wide receiver, running back, defensive lineman, linebacker and safety if they keep all five of their day-one picks. Roth has the athleticism, quickness, instincts and tenacity to provide quality reps as a rookie. With Derrick Burgess leaving town and Jerome McDougle failing to stay healthy, this also is the safest pick.
32. New England Patriots (14-2)
Fabian Washington* | DC | Nebraska
The Patriots have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but coach Bill Belichick won't fall into that trap on draft day. If the team can't find a good value at inside linebacker with the 32nd pick it will go in a different direction and simply find a free agent after June 1st cuts to fill the need. Washington would be the best athlete on the board at this point and the team can certainly use help at the position after parting ways with Ty Law. No player improved his stock at the combine more than Washington, who ran one of the fastest 40-yard dash times (4.25) in the history of the event. Washington doesn't have great size but he is tough. He has the athleticism, speed and ball skills the Patriots are searching for.
ROUND 2
33. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Brodney Pool* | DS | Oklahoma
The 49ers are desperate for playmakers in their defensive secondary and Pool has the range and ball skills to take over as their starting free safety in 2005.
34. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Marcus Johnson | OT | Ole Miss
Finding an upgrade at offensive tackle is a huge priority and Johnson has the size and strength that the Browns are looking for.
35. Philadelphia Eagles (from Miami) (13-3)
Reggie Brown | WR | Georgia
With one of their five Day 1 picks, the Eagles need to find a playmaker who can push for the starting job opposite Terrell Owens. Brown is athletic enough to become that guy.
36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Kevin Burnett | OLB | Tennessee
Burnett would give the Bucs another terrific athlete at the linebacker position and could possibly take over as a starter opposite Derrick Brooks in 2005.
37. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Adam Terry | OT | Syracuse
This might be a bit of a reach for Terry but the Titans are in a desperate situation at the right tackle position.
38. Oakland Raiders (5-11)
Odell Thurman* | ILB | Georgia
Thurman has some character issues but he has the physical tools of a late-first round draft pick and was a vacuum when on the field during his two-year stint at Georgia.
39. Chicago Bears (5-11)
David Baas | OG/OC | Michigan
The Bears are in search for a guard that can push Roberta Garza and/or eventually take over for the aging Reuben Brown. Baas, who played guard and center in college, is a good candidate to fill that need early in the second round.
40. New Orleans Saints (from Washington) (8-8)
Barrett Ruud | ILB | New Orleans
The Saints desperately need to upgrade there athleticism at linebacker and Ruud has the speed and instincts to do so.
41. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Justin Tuck* | DE | Notre Dame
Tuck has some durability issues but he is the type of pass rusher and playmaker that the Lions are searching for opposite DE James Hall.
42. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Chris Canty | DE | Virginia
A perfect fit at defensive end as the Cowboys move to a 3-4 defensive scheme.
43. New York Giants (6-10)
Anttaj Hawthorne | DT | Wisconsin
Hawthorne is slipping after a poor showing at the combine but he has the size and quickness the Giants need at defensive tackle.
44. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Luis Castillo | DT | Northwestern
After a monstrous combine workout, Castillo has moved up to the early second-round range and would be a good fit for a Cardinals' defense void of interior line talent.
45. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Elton Brown | OG | Virginia
If they go with a stud guard like Brown, newly signed Mike Wahle will have to play tackle opposite Jordan Gross.
46. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Justin Miller* | DC | Clemson
Trading for Surtain will help but the team still needs youth and depth. Miller also can contribute in the return game.
47. Houston Texans (7-9)
Roscoe Parrish* | WR | Miami-FL
Parrish could be a good complement to Andre Johnson and could also help in the return game.
48. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Chris Spencer* | OC | Ole Miss
Spencer would immediately take over as the Bengals starting center.
49. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Logan Mankins | OG | Fresno State
Mankins has the feet and toughness that coach Mike Tice is looking for.
50. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Brandon Browner* | DC | Oregon State
Browner could be a good fit as a cover-2 cornerback and he also has enough size to move to free safety.
51. Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans ) (10-6)
Jason Campbell | QB | Auburn
If a good deal at the quarterback position presents itself the Packers won't be afraid to pull the trigger for Brett Favre's heir apparent.
52. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Eric Green | DC | Virginia Tech
The Jaguars have good depth at cornerback but need to spend a Day 1 pick on a prospect that can eventually become an upgrade on one side.
53. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Corey Webster | DC | LSU
The Ravens are set for starters but need sub-package cornerbacks in a bad way. Webster has durability issues but could be a second-round steal if he fully recovers.
54. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Antonio Perkins | DC | Oklahoma
The Seahawks need to improve their depth at cornerback and Perkins would be a good fit in the nickel package.
55. Buffalo Bills (9-7)
Mike Patterson | DT | USC
After losing Pat Williams via free agency, the Bills might need to use their first selection in this draft on a defensive tackle.
56. Denver Broncos (10-6)
Chris Henry* | WR | West Virginia
Character issues are a major factor but Henry has first round physical tools and Denver has enough veteran leadership to take a chance on him.
57. New York Jets (10-6)
Bryant McFadden | DC | Florida State
If the Jets don't get an upgrade at cornerback in the first round they'll need to use this pick on one. McFadden has enough speed, size and toughness to provide an upgrade.
58. Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans ) (10-6)
Ernest Shazor* | DS | Michigan
Shazor is a big, hard-hitting strong safety that could help fill the void created by Darren Sharper's departure.
59. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Jerome Mathis | WR | Hampton
Mathis is an unpolished small-school prospect but his deep speed would make him a good complement to Peerless Price.
60. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Jonathan Babineaux | DT | Iowa
The Colts need to improve their toughness versus the run and Babineaux could help because he is a one-gap player that penetrates and tracks down the ball carrier.
61. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Chris Colmer | OT | N.C. State
The Chargers got away with marginal overall talent along the offensive line last season but they'll need to upgrade it with at least one Day 1 pick in this year's draft.
62. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Alex Smith | TE | Stanford
There's a drop-off from Miller to Smith but an even greater drop-off from Smith to the next best tight end prospect. That's why the Steelers might spend the pick on someone that would upgrade their pass-catching ability at the position.
63. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
J.J. Arrington | RB | California
The Eagles will use one of their Day 1 picks on a running back and Arrington has the speed and versatility to serve as a good backup to Bryant Westbrook.
64. New England Patriots (14-2)
Michael Munoz | OT | Tennessee
If Munoz can stay healthy he should develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He certainly has more natural talent than Tom Ashworth, the Patriots' starting right tackle last season.
