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It is a foregone conclusion that if you do not invest in quarterbacks, you won't likely get to a Super Bowl. The Dallas Cowboys are a perfect example of this. You can argue that Jerry Jones is the problem, and you won't get any pushback from me, but one other reason is hindering them. They haven't invested a first-round pick in the position since 1989, the year they selected Troy Aikman.
Even more than that, signing a free-agent quarterback who was once a first-round pick is another sure-fire way to set your team up for success. Is that the only way to play for the Lombardi Trophy? Not exactly, but those are mostly the exceptions and not the rule.
We know habitually the quarterback position is the most over-drafted in the National Football League. However, the data shows you why teams invest in quarterbacks with premium draft capital. For every Tom Brady in the sixth round or undrafted free agent Kurt Warner, you have a Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, and Peyton Manning in the first round. We could go on, but you get the idea.
Since Super Bowl XXXV in 2000, there have been 50 starting quarterbacks to play in the biggest game of the year. A few of those quarterbacks are narrowed down to 28 individual quarterbacks. Of those 28 signal callers, 15 of them were first-round draft picks, which equates to 53.7% overall. Seems like a common theme over the last 25 years. If you look at just since 2010, that number is 11 of 18, which is 61.1%.
This year's class features a trio of quarterbacks who have been consistently mocked to go in the first round. The Tennessee Titans could land Cam Ward out of Miami, the New York Giants could land Shedeur Sanders from Colorado to be their next guy, and lastly, we have Ole Miss gunslinger Jaxson Dart. He gets a lot of attention in mock drafts for the Steelers.
Drafting a quarterback in the opening round doesn't always equal success, especially when you factor in the bust rate, but not taking one decreases the likelihood of getting to the Super Bowl. Either you draft one, or you try and sign one away from their original team.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: NFL draft: Quarterback in round one success rate for Super Bowl
Continue reading...
Even more than that, signing a free-agent quarterback who was once a first-round pick is another sure-fire way to set your team up for success. Is that the only way to play for the Lombardi Trophy? Not exactly, but those are mostly the exceptions and not the rule.
We know habitually the quarterback position is the most over-drafted in the National Football League. However, the data shows you why teams invest in quarterbacks with premium draft capital. For every Tom Brady in the sixth round or undrafted free agent Kurt Warner, you have a Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, and Peyton Manning in the first round. We could go on, but you get the idea.
Since Super Bowl XXXV in 2000, there have been 50 starting quarterbacks to play in the biggest game of the year. A few of those quarterbacks are narrowed down to 28 individual quarterbacks. Of those 28 signal callers, 15 of them were first-round draft picks, which equates to 53.7% overall. Seems like a common theme over the last 25 years. If you look at just since 2010, that number is 11 of 18, which is 61.1%.
First Round Quarterbacks since 2000
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- Trent Dilfer: No. 6 overall in 1994 (Buccaneers)
- Kerry Collins: No. 5 overall in 1995 (Panthers)
- Peyton Manning: No. 1 overall in 1998 (Colts)
- Donovan McNabb: No. 2 overall in 1999 (Eagles)
- Rex Grossman: No. 22 overall in 2003 (Bears)
- Eli Manning: No. 1 overall in 2004 (Chargers)
- Ben Roethlisberger: No. 11 overall in 2004 (Steelers)
- Aaron Rodgers: No. 24 overall in 2005 (Packers)
- Matt Ryan: No. 3 overall in 2008 (Falcons)
- Joe Flacco: No. 18 overall in 2008 (Ravens)
- Matthew Stafford: No. 1 overall in 2009 (Lions)
- Cam Newton: No. 1 overall in 2011 (Panthers)
- Jared Goff: No. 1 overall in 2016 (Rams)
- Patrick Mahomes: No. 10 overall in 2017 (Chiefs)
- Joe Burrow: No. 1 overall in 2020 (Bengals)
This year's class features a trio of quarterbacks who have been consistently mocked to go in the first round. The Tennessee Titans could land Cam Ward out of Miami, the New York Giants could land Shedeur Sanders from Colorado to be their next guy, and lastly, we have Ole Miss gunslinger Jaxson Dart. He gets a lot of attention in mock drafts for the Steelers.
Drafting a quarterback in the opening round doesn't always equal success, especially when you factor in the bust rate, but not taking one decreases the likelihood of getting to the Super Bowl. Either you draft one, or you try and sign one away from their original team.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: NFL draft: Quarterback in round one success rate for Super Bowl
Continue reading...
