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Browns (21.75 projected points, -3 point spread) vs. PIT Forecast: Baker Mayfield QB2, Nick Chubb RB1/2, Kareem Hunt RB3, Odell Beckham WR1/2, Jarvis Landry WR3, Rashard Higgins WR5 Baker Mayfield is dead last in Ben Baldwin's predictive DAKOTA metric for quarterbacks this season. He's struggling against pressure and in the red zone where he's throwing a touchdown on just 13% of pass attempts (league average 24%). I expect that to eventually regress, but bounce-back expectations have to be realistic with Mayfield playing against the NFL's second-best defense in adjusted sack rate this week.
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