George O'Brien
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1. Kobe Bryant, G, Lakers (PO)
The skinny: Assuming Kobe isn't serving time in Eagle County, Kobe's dilemma is this -- is there enough money out there from a good team to lure him out of L.A.? I can't imagine him playing for the Jazz or Nuggets, based on geography more than the make-up of the team. The Spurs, Suns and, to a lesser extent, the Clippers would be more desirable options. The Spurs would be able to get close, if they give up on everyone else. The Suns would need to dump their two first-round picks or another player to get close to what Kobe will be looking for money-wise. The Clippers could get far enough under the cap to make an offer, but will Kobe come? They would be much better with Kobe in the backcourt, but without a point guard or a center, would they be a championship contender? Sign-and-trades are always possible, but the Lakers are in the driver's seat.
Some of the recent statements by Phil Jackson suggest that the Lakers are getting tired of Kobe's act. He is a great player, but that may not be enough. This suggests that a "sign and trade" may be the only way the Lakers avoid being left high and dry.
On possibility would be a "sign and trade" deal with the Sonics for Ray Allen. Ray is not as good as Kobe, but he may be a better teammate than Kobe. Allen will be on the last year of his contract at $14.6 which is very close to what Kobe will be making under his current contract.
The Celtics might bundle Paul Pierce and Jiri Welsch for Kobe.
About the only deal the Suns could offer that the Lakers might be interested in would be JJ and Shawn for Kobe. I don't like that deal, but Shawn on his own does not meet the Lakers needs.