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INDIANAPOLIS— Did Purdue basketball's quarterfinal exit from the Big Ten tournament push it into a more upset-prone NCAA tournament seed?
Picking 12 seeds to beat 5s has become a staple of bracket pool strategy. That upset has com through 31 times since the tournament expanded in 1985. However, 4 seeds have fallen to 13s on 25 occasions in that same span.
The trick for teams on that 4-5 line is not to get matched up with the wrong 12 or 13 in a given year. For example, does Missouri Valley Champion Drake — led by hot high-major coaching candidate Ben McCollum — end up as a 12? What about VCU, still dangerous despite being far removed from its bracket busting days under Shaka Smart?
A final look at Purdue's bracketology before the committee reveals the real thing Sunday night.
A team's victories are assigned values from Quad 1 to Quad 4, based on the opponent's NET ranking and the location of the game. Those rankings remain fluid up through Selection Sunday, with teams rising and falling in the NET rankings and potentially moving in and out of quadrants.
Insider: Purdue's defense was undone by Michigan last month, and still needs fixing
NET ranking: 19
Quad 1 record: 7-10
Quad 2 record: 9-1
Quad 3 record: 2-0
Quad 4 record: 4-0
Doyel: Purdue won't survive in NCAA Tournament if it asks Trey Kaufman-Renn to carry team
ESPN's Joe Lunardi (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in Midwest Regional (Indianapolis) vs. 12 McNeese State, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponents: 4 Texas A&M and 13 Lipscomb.
CBS' Jerry Palm (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in East Regional (Newark) vs. 12 Drake, playing opening weekend in Denver. Possible second-round opponents: 4 Iowa State and 13 High Point.
1-3-1 Sports (Updated Saturday): 4 seed in Midwest Regional vs. 13 Yale, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponent 5 Ole Miss and 12 Boise State.
5-star bracketology (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in West Regional (San Francisco) vs. 12 Liberty, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponents 4 Arizona or 13 High Point.
March 15: 86-68 loss to Michigan (No. 27 NET) in Big Ten tournament quarterfinals: The Wolverines' subsequent win over Maryland in the semifinals may have increased the chances of them jumping Purdue on seed lines. It certainly slammed the door on any chance at jumping up.
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This article originally appeared on Indianapolis Star: Purdue March Madness bracket predictions on Selection Sunday 2025
Continue reading...
Picking 12 seeds to beat 5s has become a staple of bracket pool strategy. That upset has com through 31 times since the tournament expanded in 1985. However, 4 seeds have fallen to 13s on 25 occasions in that same span.
The trick for teams on that 4-5 line is not to get matched up with the wrong 12 or 13 in a given year. For example, does Missouri Valley Champion Drake — led by hot high-major coaching candidate Ben McCollum — end up as a 12? What about VCU, still dangerous despite being far removed from its bracket busting days under Shaka Smart?
A final look at Purdue's bracketology before the committee reveals the real thing Sunday night.
What is NET ranking? How is men's college basketball NET ranking determined?
A team's victories are assigned values from Quad 1 to Quad 4, based on the opponent's NET ranking and the location of the game. Those rankings remain fluid up through Selection Sunday, with teams rising and falling in the NET rankings and potentially moving in and out of quadrants.
- Quad 1: Home vs. NET 1-30, neutral 1-50 or away 1-75
- Quad 2: Home vs. 31-75, neutral 51-100 or away 76-135
- Quad 3: Home 76-160, neutral 101-200 or away 136-240
- Quad 4: Home 161 or lower, neutral 201 or lower, away 241 or lower
Insider: Purdue's defense was undone by Michigan last month, and still needs fixing
What is Purdue basketball's NET rating, quadrant record?
NET ranking: 19
Quad 1 record: 7-10
Quad 2 record: 9-1
Quad 3 record: 2-0
Quad 4 record: 4-0
Doyel: Purdue won't survive in NCAA Tournament if it asks Trey Kaufman-Renn to carry team
Purdue basketball March Madness bracket predictions
ESPN's Joe Lunardi (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in Midwest Regional (Indianapolis) vs. 12 McNeese State, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponents: 4 Texas A&M and 13 Lipscomb.
CBS' Jerry Palm (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in East Regional (Newark) vs. 12 Drake, playing opening weekend in Denver. Possible second-round opponents: 4 Iowa State and 13 High Point.
1-3-1 Sports (Updated Saturday): 4 seed in Midwest Regional vs. 13 Yale, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponent 5 Ole Miss and 12 Boise State.
5-star bracketology (Updated Saturday): 5 seed in West Regional (San Francisco) vs. 12 Liberty, playing opening weekend in Seattle. Possible second-round opponents 4 Arizona or 13 High Point.
How Purdue men's basketball results affected its March Madness resume last week
March 15: 86-68 loss to Michigan (No. 27 NET) in Big Ten tournament quarterfinals: The Wolverines' subsequent win over Maryland in the semifinals may have increased the chances of them jumping Purdue on seed lines. It certainly slammed the door on any chance at jumping up.
Sign up for BoilerUpdate to receive the latest Purdue news, updates and insights.
This article originally appeared on Indianapolis Star: Purdue March Madness bracket predictions on Selection Sunday 2025
Continue reading...
