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UNC basketball is on shaky ground entering Selection Sunday and the reveal of the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The Tar Heels (22-13) have won eight of their last 10 games, but a 1-12 record in Quadrant 1 games is an eyesore that could keep them out of March Madness for the second time in three seasons under fourth-year coach Hubert Davis.
Following the loss to the top-ranked Blue Devils (30-3), the Tar Heels are dancing on the wrong side of the line in most of the March Madness projections. Here's a breakdown entering Selection Sunday.
UNC has a 1-12 record in Quadrant 1 games, but is 21-1 in Quadrants 2-4. Following its ACC Tournament exit, the Tar Heels’ resume includes wins against a UCLA team projected to earn an at-large bid and an American squad that won the Patriot League’s automatic bid.
The Tar Heels are No. 33 in KenPom’s metrics and 36th in the NET rankings. As it stands, UNC’s best bet is a trip to the First Four in Dayton. Otherwise, UNC will likely be watching March Madness from Chapel Hill.
UNC PLAYERS TALK TOURNEY: Will UNC basketball make the NCAA Tournament, March Madness bracket?
Here are the latest NCAA Tournament projections as of Saturday night.
ESPN: Joe Lunardi has the Tar Heels on the outside looking in among the first four teams out of the tournament. Indiana, Texas and Dayton are in that group. Lunardi has Vanderbilt, San Diego State, Xavier and Boise State as the last four teams in.
CBS Sports: Jerry Palm has UNC in the first four teams out of the field, included in a group with Xavier, Texas and Wake Forest.
USA TODAY: The Heels are among the first four teams out of the field, according to USA TODAY. Boise State, Texas and Colorado State are in that group. The last four teams in these projections are Ohio State, Oklahoma, Xavier, Indiana.
On3: UNC is among the last four teams in the field, according to the latest On3 projections. The Tar Heels are in that group with West Virginia, San Diego State and Boise State.
Torvik: According to Bart Torvik's T-Ranketology Teamcast, UNC is listed as the second team out of March Madness, just behind Boise State. West Virginia, Xavier, San Diego State, Texas are among the last four teams in.
Bracket Matrix: The Bracket Matrix formula considers the preeminent bracketology projections from across the web and averages them out to create a composite 68-team field. Of the 118 projections tracked by the site, UNC is included on 42 brackets as a No. 11 or No. 12 seed. Xavier, Colorado State, Ohio State, UC Irvine are among the other at-large contenders
Rodd Baxley covers Duke, North Carolina and N.C. State for The Fayetteville Observer as part of the USA TODAY Network. Follow his ACC coverage on X/Twitter or Bluesky: @RoddBaxley. Got questions regarding those teams? Send them to [email protected].
This article originally appeared on The Fayetteville Observer: UNC NCAA Tournament 2025: Where its March Madness resume stands
Continue reading...
The Tar Heels (22-13) have won eight of their last 10 games, but a 1-12 record in Quadrant 1 games is an eyesore that could keep them out of March Madness for the second time in three seasons under fourth-year coach Hubert Davis.
Following the loss to the top-ranked Blue Devils (30-3), the Tar Heels are dancing on the wrong side of the line in most of the March Madness projections. Here's a breakdown entering Selection Sunday.
UNC basketball NCAA Tournament resume
UNC has a 1-12 record in Quadrant 1 games, but is 21-1 in Quadrants 2-4. Following its ACC Tournament exit, the Tar Heels’ resume includes wins against a UCLA team projected to earn an at-large bid and an American squad that won the Patriot League’s automatic bid.
The Tar Heels are No. 33 in KenPom’s metrics and 36th in the NET rankings. As it stands, UNC’s best bet is a trip to the First Four in Dayton. Otherwise, UNC will likely be watching March Madness from Chapel Hill.
UNC PLAYERS TALK TOURNEY: Will UNC basketball make the NCAA Tournament, March Madness bracket?
Here are the latest NCAA Tournament projections as of Saturday night.
UNC basketball NCAA tournament projections
ESPN: Joe Lunardi has the Tar Heels on the outside looking in among the first four teams out of the tournament. Indiana, Texas and Dayton are in that group. Lunardi has Vanderbilt, San Diego State, Xavier and Boise State as the last four teams in.
CBS Sports: Jerry Palm has UNC in the first four teams out of the field, included in a group with Xavier, Texas and Wake Forest.
USA TODAY: The Heels are among the first four teams out of the field, according to USA TODAY. Boise State, Texas and Colorado State are in that group. The last four teams in these projections are Ohio State, Oklahoma, Xavier, Indiana.
On3: UNC is among the last four teams in the field, according to the latest On3 projections. The Tar Heels are in that group with West Virginia, San Diego State and Boise State.
Torvik: According to Bart Torvik's T-Ranketology Teamcast, UNC is listed as the second team out of March Madness, just behind Boise State. West Virginia, Xavier, San Diego State, Texas are among the last four teams in.
Bracket Matrix: The Bracket Matrix formula considers the preeminent bracketology projections from across the web and averages them out to create a composite 68-team field. Of the 118 projections tracked by the site, UNC is included on 42 brackets as a No. 11 or No. 12 seed. Xavier, Colorado State, Ohio State, UC Irvine are among the other at-large contenders
Rodd Baxley covers Duke, North Carolina and N.C. State for The Fayetteville Observer as part of the USA TODAY Network. Follow his ACC coverage on X/Twitter or Bluesky: @RoddBaxley. Got questions regarding those teams? Send them to [email protected].
This article originally appeared on The Fayetteville Observer: UNC NCAA Tournament 2025: Where its March Madness resume stands
Continue reading...
