I woke up in the middle of the night and found myself thinking about baseball predictions.
And came up with the following philosophy. All Major League baseball teams are going to
win 54 games and lose 54 games during a season.
The best team might win all of the remaining 54 for a record of 108-54. It is do-able.
The worst team might lose all of the remaining 54 for a record of 54-108. It is do-able.
The most marginal team might split the remaining 54 for a record of 81-81, give or take
a few. The D-backs have clearly fallen into that rut.
The rest of the teams are going to cover the gamut on those remaining 54 and wind up
with winning records and losing records.
I posted recently that the current D-backs seem to be a team whose destiny depends
upon their opponent. More specifically, the opponents' pitchers.
They can explode for 8 runs in an inning. Or they can score a total of 8 runs in a 4-game
series. It all depends on the opponent and their pitchers. When you think about it, that
seems to describe our D-backs performance for the past two seasons.
And that's where the General Manager and coaching staff come into play. The fate of the
remaining 54 games is in their hands. And partially in the luck of staying healthy. Which
is also sometimes in the hands of the General Manager and coaching staff by the way
they choose and utilize their players.
The goal of the D-backs for next season -- the goal -- should be to win as many of those
remaining 54 games as possible. And that comes down to five things. Starting pitching
rotation, the relief corps, the starting lineup, the backup players ... and how the coaching
staff utilizes them.
The question is ... has the current coaching staff shown the ability to achieve progress and
rise above mediocrity? If anything, they have regressed following the first year success of
the current regime.
So the answer is ... not during these past two seasons. And, right now, there is little hope
of changing next season. As a fan, I challenge management to show progress every season.
Not to win 108 games. But to rise above, as our Fox Sports Arizona announcers call them,
the most .500-est team in baseball. The most marginal.