Annual Projection

Harry

ASFN Consultant and Senior Writer
Joined
Jan 7, 2003
Posts
11,926
Reaction score
26,061
Location
Orlando, FL
Some of you may recall I like to project the season in categories. The first category is "will win." These are the games that should be no brainers. The games in this category are Tampa, @Buffalo, LA, NYJ, SF, Wash, @Miami, NO & @LA. That's 8 wins as teams typically lose 1 game they shouldn't. Next comes the "should wins." I make that to be NE, Sea, @SF, @MN & @Atl. Usually teams win about half of these. Since we have 5 in this category we'll round the wins up to 3. The third category is "should lose." There are 2 games in this group, @Car & @ Sea. Teams usually win about 25% of these games. I'm going to be agressive here and say they win one. There are no "should lose" games this year. This is the first time in nearly 50 years of predicting that this category has been blank. If you add that up I'm saying the Cards go 12-4. Wow!
 

Reign Blood

Tattooed Hundredaire
Joined
May 8, 2016
Posts
1,330
Reaction score
397
Location
St. Louis, mo.
Very good.

Hate to be so cliche but it's one game at a time for me. As for the record lets win our division.
 

MrYeahBut

4 Food groups: beans, chili, cheese, bacon
Supporting Member
Joined
May 20, 2002
Posts
17,866
Reaction score
13,510
Location
Albq
I'm not so optimistic... Beating the Rams twice is a tall order. Just winning 1 against Seattle is tough enough. Jets could be another one with Bowles as coach. I'm thinking 10-6, wildcard. I've got a bad feeling about the Pat's game right out of the chute.
 

Cardiac

ASFN Icon
Joined
Jul 21, 2002
Posts
12,062
Reaction score
3,331
Some of you may recall I like to project the season in categories. The first category is "will win." These are the games that should be no brainers. The games in this category are Tampa, @Buffalo, LA, NYJ, SF, Wash, @Miami, NO & @LA. That's 8 wins as teams typically lose 1 game they shouldn't. Next comes the "should wins." I make that to be NE, Sea, @SF, @MN & @Atl. Usually teams win about half of these. Since we have 5 in this category we'll round the wins up to 3. The third category is "should lose." There are 2 games in this group, @Car & @ Sea. Teams usually win about 25% of these games. I'm going to be agressive here and say they win one. There are no "should lose" games this year. This is the first time in nearly 50 years of predicting that this category has been blank. If you add that up I'm saying the Cards go 12-4. Wow!

I like your process and going to say 12-4 as well. I was going with 14-2 but the #2 CB spot has me a bit worried at this point.
 

jmt

ASFN Lifer
Joined
Nov 24, 2002
Posts
3,240
Reaction score
820
Location
Reston, VA
I'll take 12-4, that should win the division and maybe home field.
 

Shaggy

Site Owner Administrator
Administrator
Moderator
Joined
Sep 29, 2008
Posts
9,048
Reaction score
2,989
Location
Arizona
I'm not so optimistic... Beating the Rams twice is a tall order. Just winning 1 against Seattle is tough enough. Jets could be another one with Bowles as coach. I'm thinking 10-6, wildcard. I've got a bad feeling about the Pat's game right out of the chute.

I don't think the NE is going to be a easy game.
 

82CardsGrad

7 x 70
Joined
Dec 31, 2004
Posts
36,151
Reaction score
8,074
Location
Scottsdale
I honestly don't care what our record is just as long as we are playing in Houston in February! [emoji106]
 

RugbyMuffin

ASFN IDOL
Joined
Apr 30, 2003
Posts
30,485
Reaction score
4,877
I'm not so optimistic... Beating the Rams twice is a tall order. Just winning 1 against Seattle is tough enough. Jets could be another one with Bowles as coach. I'm thinking 10-6, wildcard. I've got a bad feeling about the Pat's game right out of the chute.

I like this post. I too have some reservations about this season.

My optimal prediction is 12-4, but there may be a bit of a hangover from next season, and at that point, who knows.

What I do feel confident about is, the Cardinals will make the playoffs, and do some damage and maybe even win it all come postseason time.
 

82CardsGrad

7 x 70
Joined
Dec 31, 2004
Posts
36,151
Reaction score
8,074
Location
Scottsdale
While I love all of the incredible optimism surrounding this team, which is coming from literally ALL corners of the media, I'd be lying if I didn't admit the angst it causes within me as well... I mean, just about every day now, there is a new "expert" or a new story from somewhere, that is touting the team, the coach or GM, or a specific player who is about to have a career year.
Honestly, it all is bordering on too much. And while I am pretty confident in BA's ability, as well as other leaders on the team, to stay focused and not get caught up and believe in all of the print, I also know that to achieve ALL that is being touted about this team would almost take a miracle...for any team actually!
This team will certainly not go undefeated and chances are, Fitz won't have anything close to the season he had last year. And David Johnson won't rush for 1,500 yards and Chandler Jones won't put up 15 sacks, and PP21 won't have 10 INT's and the Badger will take many weeks into the season - at best, before he feels like his old self again...And GOD help us at the CB position opposite of PP. I would imagine the supreme mind of Belicheck has already designed a scheme that will place intense pressure on Williams, or whoever is playing that position at any point in the game...and Humphries is gonna let up more than a few sacks and may even cost us a game or two because of the learning on the job process he will experience... and Shipley will be a weak link on the line as well. And our punt and kickoff return teams will absolutely, 100% be a major source of frustration and again, will likely put us in trouble in a few key games...
If you read or listen to all of the press, you would likely feel entirely differently about this team.
And none of the above takes into account the injury dynamic...with Palmer BY FAR the biggest risk and the guy who is most irreplaceable. But if Veldheer, or DJ, PP21, Chandler Jones or Fitz were to go down for any length of time, I really think it would be prudent to seriously throttle back the incredible expectations of this team.
They won 13 games last season... I haven't done the research, but my gut tells me that there are very few teams that improve upon, let alone equal a 13 win season in the immediate following year. Hence, my ONLY hope is that somehow, some way /ANYWAY, this team finds a way to get into the post season and hopefully, find a way to win the NFC Championship! BA says the goal is not just to get to the Super Bowl, but to grab a Ring... I'm down with that too Bruce... any which way it happens...
 

Ouchie-Z-Clown

I'm better than Mulli!
Joined
Sep 16, 2002
Posts
63,614
Reaction score
58,062
Location
SoCal
12-4 sounds right. Dogfight with Seattle. 11-5 and we are wildcard. 13-3 we win division. 12-4 toss-up.

I just want to see a tougher team. No more getting punched in the mouth and not responding. Time to be the bully.
 

Shane

Comin for you!
Super Moderator
Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 13, 2002
Posts
69,119
Reaction score
39,123
Location
Las Vegas
11-5

A slip In record but we will be a team better prepared for the post season.
 

b8rtm8nn

ASFN Lifer
Joined
Jan 14, 2003
Posts
3,370
Reaction score
1,647
Location
Tucson
12-4 sounds right. Dogfight with Seattle. 11-5 and we are wildcard. 13-3 we win division. 12-4 toss-up.

I just want to see a tougher team. No more getting punched in the mouth and not responding. Time to be the bully.

+1000
 

oaken1

Stone Cold
Supporting Member
Banned from P+R
Joined
Mar 13, 2004
Posts
18,196
Reaction score
16,294
Location
Modesto, California
Some of you may recall I like to project the season in categories. The first category is "will win." These are the games that should be no brainers. The games in this category are Tampa, @Buffalo, LA, NYJ, SF, Wash, @Miami, NO & @LA. That's 8 wins as teams typically lose 1 game they shouldn't. Next comes the "should wins." I make that to be NE, Sea, @SF, @MN & @Atl. Usually teams win about half of these. Since we have 5 in this category we'll round the wins up to 3. The third category is "should lose." There are 2 games in this group, @Car & @ Sea. Teams usually win about 25% of these games. I'm going to be agressive here and say they win one. There are no "should lose" games this year. This is the first time in nearly 50 years of predicting that this category has been blank. If you add that up I'm saying the Cards go 12-4. Wow!

love the optimism Harry but we have all been here long enough to know the truth.
we signed a couple badass dudes for the defensive front...

5-11 with'em
5-11 without'em


we all know that.
 
Top