BBC analysis: wednesday evening

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"The Nebuchadnezzar is said to be coming forward from positions to the north of the city. It may attempt to fight a meeting engagement with the advancing Americans, though that is most unlikely, to take up defensive positions or to withdraw inside the built-up area.The truth of the matter is that none of the Iraqi divisions, Republican Guard or regular army, is up to fighting a large American formation. If it moves, its vehicles and other equipment will be devastated by waiting American aircraft. If it stays in static defensive position, it will be shot out of them by superior American tank gunnery. If it retires into the city, it largely loses its military usefulness."
 

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