Are the Spurs and Pistons still in control?
By Chad Ford
NBA Insider
Send an Email to Chad Ford
Monday, May 10
Three weeks into the NBA postseason, every remaining team has now, thankfully, played at least two games in the second round.
You've already read countless times that we're viewing the longest playoff season in NBA history -- but now we have proof. Over the course of the last three weeks we've seen Tony Parker grow into a superstar, then return to erratic youngster in the span of the Spurs' seven playoff games.
Here's Insider's look at what's going on in the playoffs, with the lottery teams and with the NBA draft, as underclassmen have until midnight to declare.
The Playoffs
Who's playing the best basketball? Before Sunday's games, it was pretty easy to make the argument that we were headed toward a Pistons-Spurs Finals this year. Yes, the Pacers (the only team that hasn't lost) also look great, but the stifling defenses of Detroit and San Antonio looked poised to carry them all the way to the Finals. Then the Lakers and Nets came out in Game 3 and plastered the Spurs and Pistons, and we're all left scratching our heads a little bit.
It's just one playoff game ... but does home court really make that much of a difference this late in the season? If the answer is yes, the Timberwolves are screwed, and the Pacers are on the verge of their first defeat at the hands of a red-hot Heat team at home.
The Spurs' Tony Parker has been the story of the playoffs so far. Like Mike Bibby two years ago, Parker has gone from being the Spurs' wallflower to being the most important player on the court in the playoffs. When he's aggressively pushing the ball, penetrating and hitting his 3s, I don't think there's a team in the league that can beat San Antonio in a seven-game series. Through the first six games, Parker was amazing. So what happened Sunday? The Lakers finally got smart and physical with France's greatest import.
The key to slowing Tony Parker? Push him around a little bit.
Flash back to the Spurs' first-round scare against the Suns last season and their tough series against the Nets in the Finals. Parker struggled when Stephon Marbury and Jason Kidd played very physically with him. Parker's biggest weaknesses are the fact that he's just 21 years old and, like most European guards, hates contact. The Lakers finally got physical, and Parker responded with an eight-point effort on 4-for-12 shooting. It was Parker's first bad playoff performance of the year. If the Lakers want it to continue, keep knocking Tony to the floor.
Speaking of coming-out parties, can anyone credibly argue that Jermaine O'Neal is an MVP candidate when he isn't the most valuable player on his own team? So far in the playoffs, O'Neal is averaging 18 ppg on 41 percent shooting and 8.3 rpg. Those averages are all significantly below what he did during the regular season -- 20+ ppg on 44 percent shooting and 10 rpg. In the Miami series, his numbers have slipped to 15 ppg on 31 percent shooting and eight rpg -- and the Heat don't have one significant big man to guard him.
Meanwhile, Ron Artest continues to amaze. He is averaging 21.2 ppg (43 percent shooting), five rpg and 4.4 apg. Those averages are all significantly higher than what he did in the regular season. And here's the kicker: What Artest does offensively is always secondary to what he does for the Pacers defensively. He sets the tone for the team. He has the ability to shut down the most important player on the opposing team. Put that with the great offense, and Artest, not O'Neal, should be getting the mention for MVP.
Mike Bibby
Point Guard
Sacramento Kings
Profile
2004 PLAYOFF STATISTICS
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
FG%
FT%
41.0
23.0
3.9
5.4
.449
.865
While we're on the subject of clutch playoff performers, it's good to see Bibby regaining his 2001-02 playoff form. That year Bibby went from averaging 13.7 ppg in the regular season to 20.3 ppg in the playoffs -- a pretty serious jump. He was awful in the playoffs last season, averaging just 12.7 ppg on 42 percent shooting.
This year, after recording a career year for the Kings in the regular season, he's outdone himself so far in the playoffs, averaging 23 ppg on 45 percent shooting. Bibby already has recorded two 30-point games in the playoffs, which is pretty amazing considering the 36 points he scored against Dallas in Game 5 and his 33 points against Minnesota in Game 1 both surpassed anything he'd done in the regular season. Bibby cracked 30 points only twice the entire season.
I love Larry Brown and think he's done a fantastic job for the Pistons this year. But why did he go out of his way to start a controversy with his team up 2-0 in the series? First, he ripped Nets head coach Lawrence Frank, and then he flirted with the vacant Knicks' job in the New York media.
The Nets looked pretty lifeless in the first two games, but Browns' digs at their coach (whom most of the players love) seem to have awakened them. The Knicks' speculation wasn't created by Brown -- he was asked a question by the N.Y. Daily News -- but his answer was a head-scratcher. Larry's been in the league long enough to know what a paper like the Daily News was going to do with those comments -- "I'd be foolish not to tell you that my dream has always been to coach the Knicks," Brown told the paper.
Given his history of quick coaching stints, why even put it in the back of anyone's mind? Just to clear up any confusion, Brown, who is in the first year of a five-year, $30 million contract, said Detroit will be his last coaching gig in the NBA. "That was when I was a young kid," he said of his desire to be the Knicks' coach. "(Knicks legendary coach) Red Holzman helped teach me to play. But I am 63 years old. This is my last coaching stop."
Lottery Land
Is it just a matter of time before David Stern calls in NATO to put a halt to the mass coaching carnage taking place? Toronto's Kevin O'Neill was the first to get kicked to the curb this summer, followed by Philly's Chris Ford and Boston's John Carroll. Terry Stotts, who had the most tenure of any coach in the Eastern Conference, was let go late last week. A day later, Tim Floyd got the ax, despite earning a fifth seed in the playoffs without all-star Jamal Mashburn.
The coaching carnage is likely to continue, and Jeff Bzdelik's name is at the top of the list.
Warriors head coach Eric Musselman is said to be the next coach on his way out, and speculation still abounds that it's only a matter of time before Jeff Bzdelik, Lenny Wilkens and maybe even Phil Jackson pack their bags. In total, 22 coaches have lost their jobs in the space of just more than a year. The fact the number could rise to as many as 26 in the coming weeks has to be scaring the hell out of the league.
Hornets owner George Shinn replaced Floyd because he wants someone with more experience and a proven track record ... someone like Paul Silas perhaps?
Now three teams are without a head coach, and two of them -- the Hornets and Raptors -- don't have a GM in place to hire one. That's a problem on a number of fronts. One, it's crazy to hire a coach without a GM in place. Two, now that two GM gigs and three coaching spots are open, suddenly the Raptors must compete with other teams for the same people. Toronto had narrowed its GM list down to two scouts (the Nuggets' Jeff Weltman and the Wolves' Rob Babcock) but, according to the Toronto Star, they're not in love with either guy. That means they may have to open the process back up.
The Star also reported over the weekend that Pistons vice president of basketball operations John Hammond may be back in the picture in Toronto. Hammond withdrew his name from consideration before the first interview was conducted, claiming he was happy in Detroit. According to the report, the Raptors wanted Hammond initially and may come back and sweeten their offer. However, Hammond's name also is being mentioned prominently in connection with the Hornets' GM gig.
Raise your hand if you thought Mark Cuban was going to blow out everyone in the Dallas front office and on the coaching bench after the Mavs' pitiful performance this year, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. Folks inside the Mavs were quietly talking to media sources for weeks as they wrung their hands over their fates.
Why hasn't the ax fallen? In part because Don Nelson has painted Cuban into a bit of a corner. Over the course of the past few years, Nelson has put together a team only he can really coach. Pat Riley? Please. Riley is a great coach, but he'd want to blow up a team like the Mavs almost immediately. Riley loves players who play defense, and the 15 guys on the Mavs' roster are among the league's worst defenders.
While Cuban isn't afraid to wheel and deal, he loves his core three -- Dirk Nowitzki, Steve Nash and Michael Finley -- and doesn't want to trade them. Considering none of the three is a great defender ... I'm not sure who you can get who can coach this collection of players any better than Nelson. Besides, Cuban, who's a very active owner, was behind every personnel decision the Mavs have made. Is he going to fire himself?
Here's a little prediction. The honeymoon between Doc Rivers and Danny Ainge will end before the season even begins. Rivers' little revelation to ESPN's Dr. Jack Ramsay that he was given final say on all personnel moves in Boston was quickly denied by both Rivers and Ainge. Ainge claimed he retains control, and Rivers claimed he was talking only about coaching personnel decisions. Ramsay stands by his story.
Who do you believe? There are a number of scenarios. Either Rivers was exaggerating in a moment where he thought the tape recorders weren't rolling and was caught in a fib. Or what Rivers said was true, but it wasn't supposed to get out. Or Dr. Jack misunderstood what Rivers was trying to say. However you read Rivers' comments to Ramsay -- "Everyone I talked with said that I had to have the authority to approve all personnel deals. So I have it in writing in my contract. Nothing happens without my yea or nay;" -- it sure doesn't sound like he was talking about hiring assistant coaches. Either way, if you're Ainge, you can't be happy with the rocky start.
Draft Cards
How bad do the Magic want the No. 1 overall pick in the draft? While many suspect Emeka Okafor could give the Magic the blue-collar interior presence they've been missing since Ben Wallace left town, the Magic may have other ideas.
Antoine Walker
Forward
Dallas Mavericks
Profile
2003-2004 SEASON STATISTICS
GM
PPG
RPG
APG
FG%
FT%
82
14.0
8.3
4.5
.428
.554
A rumor spreading quickly around the league has the Mavs offering Antoine Walker to the Magic in return for the No. 1 pick and Grant Hill, if Orlando wins the lottery.
Why would the Magic do something like that? Because Walker is in the last year of his contract, and Hill's salary has been a millstone around the team's neck for years. Players want to play in Orlando, but the team hasn't had enough cap room to make a significant offer to anyone in the open market. If the Magic were to unload Hills contract, they'd be looking at roughly $15 million in cap room in the summer of 2005 to land a free agent to play alongside T-Mac.
If the Magic told T-Mac he was free to recruit the teammate of his choice, would it be enough to convince him not to opt out of his contract next summer? Why would the Mavs do it? Okafor is seen as the perfect fit for what ails the Mavs -- a tough, smart, shot-blocker who will clean up the glass and give the team a physical presence it has lacked for years.
The deadline for underclassmen to declare for the draft is today, and it looks like most of the fence sitters have made up their minds. Providence's Ryan Gomes has put his name in the draft, but several other prominent underclassmen or high school players -- including Gonzaga's Ronny Turiaf and high school players Randolph Morris, Glenn Davis and Darius Washington -- all look like they're opting for college next season.
Mile Ilic
Add one interesting name to the list of international players in the draft. Serbian forward/center Mile Ilic, a 20-year-old, 7-foot-1, 235-pounder playing for BC Reflex, has drawn the attention of several international scouts recently after an impressive game in March against Buducnost. Initially, Ilic planned to stay in Europe one more season before declaring for the draft. However, strong interest by several teams who will pick in the middle of the first round prompted agent Marc Cornstein to put Ilic's name in.
Another international underclassman to watch? Venezula's Miguel Marriaga has put his name in the draft. Marriaga is a 19-year-old, 6-foot-10, athletic forward who specializes in rebounding and shot blocking. Several international scouts claim he's an interesting prospect. Like several other international players, he's working out in the U.S. right now in an attempt to help his draft stock.
Maybe the NBA doesn't need Ivan Chiriaev after all. Russia's Chiriaev, the 7-foot-1, self proclaimed "point guard" playing high school basketball in Canada, torpedoed his draft stock over the weekend with a middling performance in a Canadian high school all-star game. A large contingent of NBA scouts and GMs made the trek north to see Chiriaev play. Most walked away very disappointed. "He was very, very average," one scout old Insider. "He can do some amazing things in workouts, but I still haven't really seen it translate into a game. Unless I'm really missing something, this kid has no business declaring for the NBA draft."
Scouts say that watching Chiriaev in practice can be amazing. All year scouts who've made the trip to Canada have claimed he's one of the best-shooting, best-ball-handling big men they've ever seen. Based on his workout skills, Chiriaev even was mentioned as a possible lottery pick. However, the scouts who actually watched him play in games came away with a very different conclusion. "Lots of guys can hit shots in practice or dribble around cones," the scout told Insider. "The question is ... can he do it in games? I'm not sure he can right now."
Chiriaev was to get another chance to improve his stock in Chicago on May 22, but after reports of last weekend's performance began to circulate, agent Bill Duffy put plans for that workout on hold ... at least for now.
By Chad Ford
NBA Insider
Send an Email to Chad Ford
Monday, May 10
Three weeks into the NBA postseason, every remaining team has now, thankfully, played at least two games in the second round.
You've already read countless times that we're viewing the longest playoff season in NBA history -- but now we have proof. Over the course of the last three weeks we've seen Tony Parker grow into a superstar, then return to erratic youngster in the span of the Spurs' seven playoff games.
Here's Insider's look at what's going on in the playoffs, with the lottery teams and with the NBA draft, as underclassmen have until midnight to declare.
The Playoffs
Who's playing the best basketball? Before Sunday's games, it was pretty easy to make the argument that we were headed toward a Pistons-Spurs Finals this year. Yes, the Pacers (the only team that hasn't lost) also look great, but the stifling defenses of Detroit and San Antonio looked poised to carry them all the way to the Finals. Then the Lakers and Nets came out in Game 3 and plastered the Spurs and Pistons, and we're all left scratching our heads a little bit.
It's just one playoff game ... but does home court really make that much of a difference this late in the season? If the answer is yes, the Timberwolves are screwed, and the Pacers are on the verge of their first defeat at the hands of a red-hot Heat team at home.
The Spurs' Tony Parker has been the story of the playoffs so far. Like Mike Bibby two years ago, Parker has gone from being the Spurs' wallflower to being the most important player on the court in the playoffs. When he's aggressively pushing the ball, penetrating and hitting his 3s, I don't think there's a team in the league that can beat San Antonio in a seven-game series. Through the first six games, Parker was amazing. So what happened Sunday? The Lakers finally got smart and physical with France's greatest import.
The key to slowing Tony Parker? Push him around a little bit.
Flash back to the Spurs' first-round scare against the Suns last season and their tough series against the Nets in the Finals. Parker struggled when Stephon Marbury and Jason Kidd played very physically with him. Parker's biggest weaknesses are the fact that he's just 21 years old and, like most European guards, hates contact. The Lakers finally got physical, and Parker responded with an eight-point effort on 4-for-12 shooting. It was Parker's first bad playoff performance of the year. If the Lakers want it to continue, keep knocking Tony to the floor.
Speaking of coming-out parties, can anyone credibly argue that Jermaine O'Neal is an MVP candidate when he isn't the most valuable player on his own team? So far in the playoffs, O'Neal is averaging 18 ppg on 41 percent shooting and 8.3 rpg. Those averages are all significantly below what he did during the regular season -- 20+ ppg on 44 percent shooting and 10 rpg. In the Miami series, his numbers have slipped to 15 ppg on 31 percent shooting and eight rpg -- and the Heat don't have one significant big man to guard him.
Meanwhile, Ron Artest continues to amaze. He is averaging 21.2 ppg (43 percent shooting), five rpg and 4.4 apg. Those averages are all significantly higher than what he did in the regular season. And here's the kicker: What Artest does offensively is always secondary to what he does for the Pacers defensively. He sets the tone for the team. He has the ability to shut down the most important player on the opposing team. Put that with the great offense, and Artest, not O'Neal, should be getting the mention for MVP.
Mike Bibby
Point Guard
Sacramento Kings
Profile
2004 PLAYOFF STATISTICS
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
FG%
FT%
41.0
23.0
3.9
5.4
.449
.865
While we're on the subject of clutch playoff performers, it's good to see Bibby regaining his 2001-02 playoff form. That year Bibby went from averaging 13.7 ppg in the regular season to 20.3 ppg in the playoffs -- a pretty serious jump. He was awful in the playoffs last season, averaging just 12.7 ppg on 42 percent shooting.
This year, after recording a career year for the Kings in the regular season, he's outdone himself so far in the playoffs, averaging 23 ppg on 45 percent shooting. Bibby already has recorded two 30-point games in the playoffs, which is pretty amazing considering the 36 points he scored against Dallas in Game 5 and his 33 points against Minnesota in Game 1 both surpassed anything he'd done in the regular season. Bibby cracked 30 points only twice the entire season.
I love Larry Brown and think he's done a fantastic job for the Pistons this year. But why did he go out of his way to start a controversy with his team up 2-0 in the series? First, he ripped Nets head coach Lawrence Frank, and then he flirted with the vacant Knicks' job in the New York media.
The Nets looked pretty lifeless in the first two games, but Browns' digs at their coach (whom most of the players love) seem to have awakened them. The Knicks' speculation wasn't created by Brown -- he was asked a question by the N.Y. Daily News -- but his answer was a head-scratcher. Larry's been in the league long enough to know what a paper like the Daily News was going to do with those comments -- "I'd be foolish not to tell you that my dream has always been to coach the Knicks," Brown told the paper.
Given his history of quick coaching stints, why even put it in the back of anyone's mind? Just to clear up any confusion, Brown, who is in the first year of a five-year, $30 million contract, said Detroit will be his last coaching gig in the NBA. "That was when I was a young kid," he said of his desire to be the Knicks' coach. "(Knicks legendary coach) Red Holzman helped teach me to play. But I am 63 years old. This is my last coaching stop."
Lottery Land
Is it just a matter of time before David Stern calls in NATO to put a halt to the mass coaching carnage taking place? Toronto's Kevin O'Neill was the first to get kicked to the curb this summer, followed by Philly's Chris Ford and Boston's John Carroll. Terry Stotts, who had the most tenure of any coach in the Eastern Conference, was let go late last week. A day later, Tim Floyd got the ax, despite earning a fifth seed in the playoffs without all-star Jamal Mashburn.
The coaching carnage is likely to continue, and Jeff Bzdelik's name is at the top of the list.
Warriors head coach Eric Musselman is said to be the next coach on his way out, and speculation still abounds that it's only a matter of time before Jeff Bzdelik, Lenny Wilkens and maybe even Phil Jackson pack their bags. In total, 22 coaches have lost their jobs in the space of just more than a year. The fact the number could rise to as many as 26 in the coming weeks has to be scaring the hell out of the league.
Hornets owner George Shinn replaced Floyd because he wants someone with more experience and a proven track record ... someone like Paul Silas perhaps?
Now three teams are without a head coach, and two of them -- the Hornets and Raptors -- don't have a GM in place to hire one. That's a problem on a number of fronts. One, it's crazy to hire a coach without a GM in place. Two, now that two GM gigs and three coaching spots are open, suddenly the Raptors must compete with other teams for the same people. Toronto had narrowed its GM list down to two scouts (the Nuggets' Jeff Weltman and the Wolves' Rob Babcock) but, according to the Toronto Star, they're not in love with either guy. That means they may have to open the process back up.
The Star also reported over the weekend that Pistons vice president of basketball operations John Hammond may be back in the picture in Toronto. Hammond withdrew his name from consideration before the first interview was conducted, claiming he was happy in Detroit. According to the report, the Raptors wanted Hammond initially and may come back and sweeten their offer. However, Hammond's name also is being mentioned prominently in connection with the Hornets' GM gig.
Raise your hand if you thought Mark Cuban was going to blow out everyone in the Dallas front office and on the coaching bench after the Mavs' pitiful performance this year, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. Folks inside the Mavs were quietly talking to media sources for weeks as they wrung their hands over their fates.
Why hasn't the ax fallen? In part because Don Nelson has painted Cuban into a bit of a corner. Over the course of the past few years, Nelson has put together a team only he can really coach. Pat Riley? Please. Riley is a great coach, but he'd want to blow up a team like the Mavs almost immediately. Riley loves players who play defense, and the 15 guys on the Mavs' roster are among the league's worst defenders.
While Cuban isn't afraid to wheel and deal, he loves his core three -- Dirk Nowitzki, Steve Nash and Michael Finley -- and doesn't want to trade them. Considering none of the three is a great defender ... I'm not sure who you can get who can coach this collection of players any better than Nelson. Besides, Cuban, who's a very active owner, was behind every personnel decision the Mavs have made. Is he going to fire himself?
Here's a little prediction. The honeymoon between Doc Rivers and Danny Ainge will end before the season even begins. Rivers' little revelation to ESPN's Dr. Jack Ramsay that he was given final say on all personnel moves in Boston was quickly denied by both Rivers and Ainge. Ainge claimed he retains control, and Rivers claimed he was talking only about coaching personnel decisions. Ramsay stands by his story.
Who do you believe? There are a number of scenarios. Either Rivers was exaggerating in a moment where he thought the tape recorders weren't rolling and was caught in a fib. Or what Rivers said was true, but it wasn't supposed to get out. Or Dr. Jack misunderstood what Rivers was trying to say. However you read Rivers' comments to Ramsay -- "Everyone I talked with said that I had to have the authority to approve all personnel deals. So I have it in writing in my contract. Nothing happens without my yea or nay;" -- it sure doesn't sound like he was talking about hiring assistant coaches. Either way, if you're Ainge, you can't be happy with the rocky start.
Draft Cards
How bad do the Magic want the No. 1 overall pick in the draft? While many suspect Emeka Okafor could give the Magic the blue-collar interior presence they've been missing since Ben Wallace left town, the Magic may have other ideas.
Antoine Walker
Forward
Dallas Mavericks
Profile
2003-2004 SEASON STATISTICS
GM
PPG
RPG
APG
FG%
FT%
82
14.0
8.3
4.5
.428
.554
A rumor spreading quickly around the league has the Mavs offering Antoine Walker to the Magic in return for the No. 1 pick and Grant Hill, if Orlando wins the lottery.
Why would the Magic do something like that? Because Walker is in the last year of his contract, and Hill's salary has been a millstone around the team's neck for years. Players want to play in Orlando, but the team hasn't had enough cap room to make a significant offer to anyone in the open market. If the Magic were to unload Hills contract, they'd be looking at roughly $15 million in cap room in the summer of 2005 to land a free agent to play alongside T-Mac.
If the Magic told T-Mac he was free to recruit the teammate of his choice, would it be enough to convince him not to opt out of his contract next summer? Why would the Mavs do it? Okafor is seen as the perfect fit for what ails the Mavs -- a tough, smart, shot-blocker who will clean up the glass and give the team a physical presence it has lacked for years.
The deadline for underclassmen to declare for the draft is today, and it looks like most of the fence sitters have made up their minds. Providence's Ryan Gomes has put his name in the draft, but several other prominent underclassmen or high school players -- including Gonzaga's Ronny Turiaf and high school players Randolph Morris, Glenn Davis and Darius Washington -- all look like they're opting for college next season.
Mile Ilic
Add one interesting name to the list of international players in the draft. Serbian forward/center Mile Ilic, a 20-year-old, 7-foot-1, 235-pounder playing for BC Reflex, has drawn the attention of several international scouts recently after an impressive game in March against Buducnost. Initially, Ilic planned to stay in Europe one more season before declaring for the draft. However, strong interest by several teams who will pick in the middle of the first round prompted agent Marc Cornstein to put Ilic's name in.
Another international underclassman to watch? Venezula's Miguel Marriaga has put his name in the draft. Marriaga is a 19-year-old, 6-foot-10, athletic forward who specializes in rebounding and shot blocking. Several international scouts claim he's an interesting prospect. Like several other international players, he's working out in the U.S. right now in an attempt to help his draft stock.
Maybe the NBA doesn't need Ivan Chiriaev after all. Russia's Chiriaev, the 7-foot-1, self proclaimed "point guard" playing high school basketball in Canada, torpedoed his draft stock over the weekend with a middling performance in a Canadian high school all-star game. A large contingent of NBA scouts and GMs made the trek north to see Chiriaev play. Most walked away very disappointed. "He was very, very average," one scout old Insider. "He can do some amazing things in workouts, but I still haven't really seen it translate into a game. Unless I'm really missing something, this kid has no business declaring for the NBA draft."
Scouts say that watching Chiriaev in practice can be amazing. All year scouts who've made the trip to Canada have claimed he's one of the best-shooting, best-ball-handling big men they've ever seen. Based on his workout skills, Chiriaev even was mentioned as a possible lottery pick. However, the scouts who actually watched him play in games came away with a very different conclusion. "Lots of guys can hit shots in practice or dribble around cones," the scout told Insider. "The question is ... can he do it in games? I'm not sure he can right now."
Chiriaev was to get another chance to improve his stock in Chicago on May 22, but after reports of last weekend's performance began to circulate, agent Bill Duffy put plans for that workout on hold ... at least for now.
