My mock draft - verdict

Gandhi

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My Cardinals mock draft for this year is now over, and I thought I would gather my final verdict in a post of its own to not make confusions with too many seperate posts in the same thread. I have put all the selections and thoughts behind them together in a consecutively story: https://www.arizonasportsfans.com/forum/threads/gandhi-mock-draft.594769/

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#16 – Mykel Williams, edge rusher, Georgia

#44 – Donovan Jackson, offensive guard, Ohio State

#82 – Deone Walker, defensive tackle, Kentucky

#115 – Denzel Burke, cornerback, Ohio State

#171 – Que Robinson, linebacker, Alabama

#225 – KeAndre Lambert-Smith, wide receiver, Auburn

#240 – Myles Hinton, offensive tackle, Michigan

As I have noted several times, my strategy was to go after the players with the biggest potential. I think that the roster is solid and with a fairly high floor level (the belly, as Ossenfort would say), but they lack the difference makers.

I think that Mykel Williams can be a star in the NFL. To understand him and his potential, it is necessary to understand that he played hurt last season (60% by his own evaluation), and that he was not deployed in a way where he could show his biggest strengths. In fact, he only lined up outside the tackle on 54% of all his defensive snaps. Further, players don’t get big stats in Kirby Smarts defenses at Georgia. Just going by their last season in college, none of Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith, Jordan Davis, Devonte Wyatt (all first-round picks), or Jalon Walker have had big statistical seasons.

One note: James Pearce is one of the most fascinating players in this draft for me, and I can understand if some of you would have wanted him in the first round. Not long before the game started, I took him off the Cards board completely, because the rumors of character concerns started floating. Obviously, we don’t know what is right or wrong, and for that reason it was easier to just remove him. Then I did not risk anything. However, everyone can see the talent and read the production numbers. If he is the pick at #16, it obviously means that Ossenfort and Gannon have been fine with his mindset, and that would excite me a lot. He is probably one of the biggest boom-or-bust prospects, but if he booms he can change a franchise. In Gannon’s scheme he can be a 15+ sack artist if everything goes right. So, I get it if you wanted me to take him.

Donovan Jackson is probably the outlier in this class from the main strategy, as he is more of a “safe” pick. However, if he makes life easier for Kyler Murray, you could argue that this pick was still about shooting for the stars.

Deone Walker and Denzel Burke could both be absolute studs. I think they are getting a little too much criticism than what is justified. I think it is because they both were considered surefire first-round picks before the season, but neither played up to expectations, and then the draft world just overreacts to that. At least that is how I see it. The reality is that Burke played well most of the season, even though it was not to the level of his wild 2023 campaign. Walker played all season with a broken back. I have heard several current and former GMs say that if a player has shown great things once, then they can do it again with quality coaching. My point is that maybe Walker and Burke will never get back to being dominant, but there is also a world where they do, and then the Cards have two franchise cornerstones on their hand.

All the last three picks were based on potential. Sure, they have all put out some quality tape, but I expect them to take at least one step up in the future. Both Robinson (special teams) and Lambert-Smith (deep threat) have specific roles already as rookies, but all three have the foundational traits to be even bigger contributors.

All in all, yes, there is the risk that this draft class will be a massive failure, but the potential is sky-high, and that was what I aimed for. Some years, because there are a lot of days between the starts of this game and the end, what I perceive as the best from the beginning, might not be what I think in the end. This time it is not that way. I mean, it is fair to argue that it would have been better with Derrick Harmon in the first (I watched him again yesterday, and have moved him ahead of Grant on the overall board – Grant is still #1 on the Cards board), and then come back with Josaiah Stewart or Femi Oladejo in the third, but other than that, I don’t see what could have made the class better.
 

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My Cardinals mock draft for this year is now over, and I thought I would gather my final verdict in a post of its own to not make confusions with too many seperate posts in the same thread. I have put all the selections and thoughts behind them together in a consecutively story: https://www.arizonasportsfans.com/forum/threads/gandhi-mock-draft.594769/

------------------

#16 – Mykel Williams, edge rusher, Georgia

#44 – Donovan Jackson, offensive guard, Ohio State

#82 – Deone Walker, defensive tackle, Kentucky

#115 – Denzel Burke, cornerback, Ohio State

#171 – Que Robinson, linebacker, Alabama

#225 – KeAndre Lambert-Smith, wide receiver, Auburn

#240 – Myles Hinton, offensive tackle, Michigan

As I have noted several times, my strategy was to go after the players with the biggest potential. I think that the roster is solid and with a fairly high floor level (the belly, as Ossenfort would say), but they lack the difference makers.

I think that Mykel Williams can be a star in the NFL. To understand him and his potential, it is necessary to understand that he played hurt last season (60% by his own evaluation), and that he was not deployed in a way where he could show his biggest strengths. In fact, he only lined up outside the tackle on 54% of all his defensive snaps. Further, players don’t get big stats in Kirby Smarts defenses at Georgia. Just going by their last season in college, none of Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith, Jordan Davis, Devonte Wyatt (all first-round picks), or Jalon Walker have had big statistical seasons.

One note: James Pearce is one of the most fascinating players in this draft for me, and I can understand if some of you would have wanted him in the first round. Not long before the game started, I took him off the Cards board completely, because the rumors of character concerns started floating. Obviously, we don’t know what is right or wrong, and for that reason it was easier to just remove him. Then I did not risk anything. However, everyone can see the talent and read the production numbers. If he is the pick at #16, it obviously means that Ossenfort and Gannon have been fine with his mindset, and that would excite me a lot. He is probably one of the biggest boom-or-bust prospects, but if he booms he can change a franchise. In Gannon’s scheme he can be a 15+ sack artist if everything goes right. So, I get it if you wanted me to take him.

Donovan Jackson is probably the outlier in this class from the main strategy, as he is more of a “safe” pick. However, if he makes life easier for Kyler Murray, you could argue that this pick was still about shooting for the stars.

Deone Walker and Denzel Burke could both be absolute studs. I think they are getting a little too much criticism than what is justified. I think it is because they both were considered surefire first-round picks before the season, but neither played up to expectations, and then the draft world just overreacts to that. At least that is how I see it. The reality is that Burke played well most of the season, even though it was not to the level of his wild 2023 campaign. Walker played all season with a broken back. I have heard several current and former GMs say that if a player has shown great things once, then they can do it again with quality coaching. My point is that maybe Walker and Burke will never get back to being dominant, but there is also a world where they do, and then the Cards have two franchise cornerstones on their hand.

All the last three picks were based on potential. Sure, they have all put out some quality tape, but I expect them to take at least one step up in the future. Both Robinson (special teams) and Lambert-Smith (deep threat) have specific roles already as rookies, but all three have the foundational traits to be even bigger contributors.

All in all, yes, there is the risk that this draft class will be a massive failure, but the potential is sky-high, and that was what I aimed for. Some years, because there are a lot of days between the starts of this game and the end, what I perceive as the best from the beginning, might not be what I think in the end. This time it is not that way. I mean, it is fair to argue that it would have been better with Derrick Harmon in the first (I watched him again yesterday, and have moved him ahead of Grant on the overall board – Grant is still #1 on the Cards board), and then come back with Josaiah Stewart or Femi Oladejo in the third, but other than that, I don’t see what could have made the class better.
I appreciate the summation.
 

oaken1

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I might have gone DT in 2 and OG in 3...but you got quality players and us hiring the line coach from Ohio State makes it more than a possibility we bring one of those guys in.
overall, you addressed the needs. Im not going to quibble over the names. we have all seen super studs flame out and absolute nobodys become all pros. Shooting for high ceilings is a ballsy move simply because it increases your potential for busts. but as you mentioned, if just a couple exceed expectations then the draft will have benefits for years to come.
Nice work Gandhi
 

BACH

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I posted my optimal draft in the mock draft simulation thread. I had Green instead of Williams at #16 and both Jackson and Walker in the 2nd and 3rd, so completely on board with this. Given the depth at OL, DT and Edge this is the way to go.

I love the Que pick. Do not know if you had the chance to listen to the sleeper episode from Check the Mic. They highlight Que. Elite production in a very very small sample size.
 
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Gandhi

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I might have gone DT in 2 and OG in 3
I agree with your approach, Oaken, but I am not sure I find the value in this game. Maybe Alfred Collins in the 2nd and Anthony Belton in the 3rd? I like OG Tate Ratledge, but I don’t see him as a good scheme fit. I also want to strength the defensive line early, but quality obviously goes before that.
 

eastcoastDave

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I like your draft. All the players come from quality schools that played in quality leagues against quality opponents and quality players. Building a roster with those kind of players strengthen the roster, which is not what we did under the previous regime.
 
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Gandhi

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I posted my optimal draft in the mock draft simulation thread. I had Green instead of Williams at #16 and both Jackson and Walker in the 2nd and 3rd, so completely on board with this. Given the depth at OL, DT and Edge this is the way to go.

I love the Que pick. Do not know if you had the chance to listen to the sleeper episode from Check the Mic. They highlight Que. Elite production in a very very small sample size.
No, I have not listened to it. I like those two, but I think there are sooo many interesting draft podcasts that I can’t keep up with them all. :) I just think that Robinson is close to a perfect day three pick. Big upside and a special teams stud right away.

By the way, I if not Williams (or Grant) I would prefer Ezeiuraku over Green. He is basically the same player, but he has done his work at a higher level, and he doesn’t have the off-field baggage. I watched Ezeiruaku’s All 22 again this morning, and I could realistically see him being gone before #16.
 

az jam

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Thinking a little more on this I feel that the Cards probably need to take a better WR than Lambert-Smith, the Auburn wr, and on an earlier round to get a good one, perhaps in round three.
 
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Gandhi

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Thinking a little more on this I feel that the Cards probably need to take a better WR than Lambert-Smith, the Auburn wr, and on an earlier round to get a good one, perhaps in round three.
I really wanted to, AZJ. I just couldn’t find the right moment. I mean, I could have taken Jalen Royals in the 2nd round, but then I would not have gotten Jackson, and I just think that he would be too good of a pick to pass it up. I guess I could have selected Kyle Williams over Walker in the 3rd, but I don’t have Williams ranked that high. The value was right with Jaylen Lane in the 5th, but he got selected just a few spots before me, so I had to wait until the 7th round.
 
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Gandhi

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No, I have not listened to it. I like those two, but I think there are sooo many interesting draft podcasts that I can’t keep up with them all. :) I just think that Robinson is close to a perfect day three pick. Big upside and a special teams stud right away.
I listened to a podcast today where Daniel Jeremiah raved about Robinson. Keep an eye on him.
 
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