New First Round Projection and Cardinal Mock

DaisyCutter

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I laid out a slightly different scenario in this one. I tried to rig it so that (as has been the case in the past) the Cards are forced with making the most difficult decision they can in the first round. Actually, once I completed the seven round mock, I was pretty happy with what came out.

People need to get used to the fact that our defense stinks right now. The system isn't going to change, so it has to be the personnel that are replaced or added to. The Cards did a fantastic job of taking care of their weakness at linebacker. I'm happy with the starters and the depth in that unit right now. While this draft is deep at RB and CB, it also has depth at undersized DTs that will help the Cards by backing up Dockett and Antonio Smith. Addressing depth at DE and cornerback is the Cards' primary concern coming into the draft.

FIRST-ROUND PROJECTION

1. Miami DolphinsChris Long, DE/OLB, Virginia. Parcells knows Al Grohl. The Cavaliers’ head coach compares Long’s drive to greatness to Lawrence Taylor’s. That got the attention of the Big Tuna. When no one is willing to pay the price to move into the #1 spot, he pulls the trigger.

2. St. Louis RamsJake Long, OT, Michigan. The OG situation in St. Louis is currently a mess. Long is a top player on their board, and he’ll be able to fill the OLG position until Orlando Pace decides to hang it up.

3. Atlanta FalconsGlenn Dorsey, DT, Louisiana State. Fans boo that QB Matt Ryan is still on the board after this pick, but the Falcons (like the Chargers several years before) aren’t yet willing to put all their eggs in the QB basket.

4. Oakland Raiders – Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas. The Raiders are thrilled with this pick, because it gives short-term HC Lane Kniffin the chance to use a weapon similar to Reggie Bush, whom he utilized to the tune of two National Championship appearances at Southern Cal.

5. Kansas City ChiefsSedrick Ellis, DT, Southern Cal. Herm Edwards really wants to build his offensive line with this pick, but he also understands from his days in Tampa Bay the value of a disruptive interior presence. Look for the Chiefs to build their offense with the next two picks.

6. New York JetsLeodis McKelvin, CB, Troy State. Vernon Gholston is sitting right there, but the Jets know that Victor Hobson is now 30 and that they are going to need 3 strong cornerbacks to contain the New England Patriots.

7. New England Patriots (through San Francisco 49ers)Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida. Bill Belicheck knows that he needs to add talent to the secondary, as well as youth. Jenkins will be a physical presence on the outside. New England will take a below-market offer to trade out of this pick.

8. Baltimore Ravens – Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio State. Ozzie Newsome cannot believe his luck. They have concerns at QB and along the offensive line, but it is the defense that makes the Ravens run. They cannot pass on this player.

9. Cincinnati Bengals – Keith Rivers, LB, Southern Cal.The Bengal defense is in dire need of leadership and playmaking ability. Rivers will provide both.

10. New Orleans Saints – Dominique Rogers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee St. The Saints, surprisingly, go into the draft with very few glaring needs. After adding FA Randall Gay (Patriots) to still-effective CB Mike McKenzie, they can develop Rogers-Cromartie as slowly as they want to.

11. Buffalo Bills – Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt. The Bills are very interested in trading out of this position. Williams can get his feet wet at the RG position this season, but will press current starter on the right side Langston Walker from training camp onward.

12. Denver Broncos – Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State. Clady is not going to help the Broncos with their biggest problem (stopping the run), but he will help solidify their offensive line. Clady is ideal for the zone-blocking schemes the Broncos prefer.

13. Carolina PanthersMatt Ryan, QB, BostonCollege. He’s not going to help John Fox keep his job the way that Derrick Harvey might have, but he gives the Panthers hope for the future after Jake Delhomme. Fantastic value at this position.

14. Chicago BearsJeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh. General Manager Jerry Angelo calls Cedric Benson (who is crying at home) and says that this year really is his last chance. The massive Otah will compete with Fred Miller for the starting Right Tackle job, but may start on the inside his rookie season.

15. Detroit Lions – Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois. The Lions featured the 9th-best passing game in the NFL last season, but the 31st-ranked rushing offense. Dan Connor and Derrick Harvey are also heavy possibilities for this pick.

16. Arizona CardinalsAqib Talib, CB, Kansas. What has played out is essentially the Cards’ nightmare scenario. All offensive tackles are off the board, and the best player available (DE/OLB Derrick Harvey) is at the one position they studiously upgraded in the offseason. The Cards would love to trade down in this situation, but if there are no takers, they’ll ultimately be happy with this decision. Talib excels when the play is in front of him, and the coverages that Arizona DC Clancy Pendergast prefers will keep that happening. Talib will remind many fans of Ty Law.

17. Minnesota Vikings – Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida. The Vikings may trade their third-round pick for QB Sage Rosenfels. They’re going to be thrilled that Harvey fell to them, when their primary need remains their pass rush.

18. Houston Texans – Dan Connor, OLB, Penn St. HC Gary Kubiak knows that he can get 1000 yards from any running back. He also knows the power of a strong LB corps for a defense.

19. Philadelphia Eagles – Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma. Andy Reid loathes using first-round picks on skill-position players, but he knows that he has to add weapons for Donovan McNabb.

20. TampaBay Buccaneers – DeSean Jackson, WR, Cal. If Jackson can somehow muster the intestinal fortitude to run routes over the middle, Jon Gruden will make him a star in the NFL.

21. Washington Redskins – Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson. Andre Carter grew into a double-digit sack thread on one side of the Redskins’ defensive line. Merling will give them a pass rush threat from the other side.

22. Dallas Cowboys (through Cleveland Browns) – Devin Thomas, WR, MichiganState. Dallas is old at the WR position. Thomas will infuse some youth into the unit.

23. Pittsburgh Steelers – Branden Albert, OG, Virginia. Albert will continue the line of productive offensive choices for the Steelers.

24. Tennessee Titans – Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina. Balmer will add another threat to an impressive Titans defense. The combination of Haynesworth, Vanden Bosch, and Balmer will keep opposing coordinators and OL coaches up at night.

25. Seattle Seahawks – Fred Davis, TE, Southern Cal. Holmgren loves tight ends. He doesn’t want to leave the franchise without finding a solution at the position.

26. Jacksonville Jaguars – Quentin Groves, OLB, Auburn. The Panthers love linebackers. Groves gives them an intriguing player at the position.

27.
San Diego Chargers – Limas Sweed, WR, Texas. Sweed gives Phillip Rivers another outside threat, and the Chargers feel like they got tremendous value at the position.

28.
Dallas Cowboys – Felix Jones, RB, Arkanas. Jerry Jones gets an Arkansas runningback who will help the Cowboys in several phases of the game.

29.
San Francisco 49ers (through Indianapolis Colts) – Early Doucet, WR, LouisianaState. San Francisco would like to trade out of this position to a team who wants Louisville QB Brian Brohm. If they’re forced to exercise the pick, they’ll take a player who they think might be able to help them. Doucet will be able to understand Martz’s complicated defense.

30.
Green Bay PackersCalaisCampbell, DE, Miami. The Packers go for the Best Available Player, but they believe that he can play in the inside or the outside of their offensive line.

31.
New England Patriots - Forfeited for being cheaters.

32. New York Giants – Kenny Phillips, S, Miami. The Super Bowl champions have some holes to fill following being raided in free agency. Phillips will help.
 
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DaisyCutter

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Cardinals Mock Draft

This was done to fill needs, mostly. Where there weren't any needed players ranked within the Cards' draft position, I went for best available athlete over most urgent need.
16. Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas. See above.

50. Antione Cason, CB, Arizona. The Cardinals did not want to draft cornerbacks back-to-back, but they were incredibly impressed with Cason at the Combine. They’re going to double-down at the position, and they’ll be happy they did.

81. Oniel Cousins, OT, UTEP. Early on, Cousins will remind a lot of fans of Reggie Wells. The Cards wanted to take a running back in this position, but they didn’t see anyone they liked. Instead, they’re going to build for the future and give Russ Grimm a raw talent to work with.

112. Ali Highsmith, LB, LouisianaState. Ali Highsmith will contribute immediately on special teams, and will provide valueable depth at the position in case of injury to Karlos Dansby

141. Latroy Guion, DT, FloridaState. The Cards have had success with Florida State defensive tackles in the past. Guion will compete with Rodney Bailey (should he eventually re-sign) as the primary backup at the DE spots.

176. Thomas Brown, RB, Georgia. Arizona Cardinal fans can finally let out a breath, because they found a home-run back. Brown will be an electrifying presence every time he takes the field.

207. Vincent Redd, LB, Liberty.
Redd has tremendous size (6’6”, 263) to train for the SOLB job in relief of Clark Haggans and Chike Okeafor.

I understand that people might be a little surprised at the lateness of the running back choice. I'm going to take Darren Urban at his word that the Cards are looking for a home-run hitter at RB, and that they understand that a lot of good backs in the NFL today come in the second day or aren't drafted at all. TSN compares Thomas Brown to Darren Sproles; the Huddle Report says that Brown is like Sproles, only more physical. I think that Cardinal fans are going to fall in love with this kid.

In 2007, the Cards' last two draft picks (Ben Patrick and Steve Breaston) may have been their best. They'll do better with a draft like this, though I think that Brown and Guion are both going to be contributors quickly.
 

Cbus cardsfan

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The one guy i don't want the Cards to take is Talib. So you're probably spot on with that being their pick :D. Every year, i usually pick one guy i would hate the Cards to take and somehow he gets picked.Last year, the last guys i wanted was Levi.

Two thing,i can't believe you don't have Buffalo taking a DE at 11 :D and there's no way i can see Gholston going 8th.I guess it's possible but i don't see him getting out of the top 5. I mean how can you not take a guys who manhandles OL like this.
 

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Garthshort

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Trouble With CB's

It's a very tough position to judge. But you're draft would give the Cards some much needed depth at CB, and possibly two starters. If the Draft goes your way, I'd be excited. As for Brown at RB, he's on the small side, but was productive in college, and could become another Stump Mitchell, though I don't think he's as wide/strong as the Stumpster.
 

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50. Antione Cason, CB, Arizona. The Cardinals did not want to draft cornerbacks back-to-back, but they were incredibly impressed with Cason at the Combine. They’re going to double-down at the position, and they’ll be happy they did.

112. Ali Highsmith, LB, LouisianaState. Ali Highsmith will contribute immediately on special teams, and will provide valueable depth at the position in case of injury to Karlos Dansby

Daisy, I think these would be great picks, but I don't think they're going to be available. I think Cason either goes late first or early second. I also think Highsmith goes before the fourth. I'm no expert, so it's just my opinion, but it would be awesome if they fell that far for us.
 

Pariah

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It's an interesting scenario, but why not go with Merling if the draft is deep for CBs? I think I'd be okay with the Talib pick in this scenario, but by your own synapsis of the draft at the top, I thought I'd look down and see MErling as the pick.

One last thing, if Gholston is there, I don't think the Jets even think about a CB. Ironically, for the same reason you gave for a QB : the patriots. The Giants showed the league how to beat them, and that's with a pass rush.

Anyway, thanks for the food for thought. I enjoy reading your breakdowns.
 

Pariah

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Also, I wouldn't mind at all if the Cards went CB in the first and second round. Sure does increase the chances that we've found a legit starter.
 

joeshmo

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Daisy, I think these would be great picks, but I don't think they're going to be available. I think Cason either goes late first or early second. I also think Highsmith goes before the fourth. I'm no expert, so it's just my opinion, but it would be awesome if they fell that far for us.

Highsmith can be had in the 4th round IMO. He had one of the worst combine performances out of anyone at any position. Ran just a 4.95, also had horrible shuttle, cone, vertical, and broad jumps. Didn't even bench press because he has a lingering neck issue. When he had his pro day he only improved his 40 to 4.7 which although is better is not something teams look for in an undersized under 6 foot 230 pound weakside LB who's main positive is making plays in the open field.

All leading me to believe he would be available in the 4th round. But I still wouldnt take him, under 6 foot 230 pound LB's just do not excel in a 3-4 scheme be it a hybrid or whatever.
 

Cbus cardsfan

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Highsmith can be had in the 4th round IMO. He had one of the worst combine performances out of anyone at any position. Ran just a 4.95, also had horrible shuttle, cone, vertical, and broad jumps. Didn't even bench press because he has a lingering neck issue. When he had his pro day he only improved his 40 to 4.7 which although is better is not something teams look for in an undersized under 6 foot 230 pound weakside LB who's main positive is making plays in the open field.

All leading me to believe he would be available in the 4th round. But I still wouldnt take him, under 6 foot 230 pound LB's just do not excel in a 3-4 scheme be it a hybrid or whatever.
see Davis, Bust-----------------------er
 
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DaisyCutter

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I doubt Cason is still there at #50 if 4CBs are gone by #16, but we can hope cant we. :)


Actually, I think that if 4 CBs are gone by #16, and no more get taken in the 2nd half of the 1st round, the odds of Cason falling to the Cards go way up. All the teams that would be looking for help at corner fill it.

Even with that being said, there are a ton of other CBs who could still be taken before Cason: Justin King (Penn St.), Brandon Flowers (Va Tech), Tracy Porter (Indiana), and Terrell Thomas (USC).
 
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DaisyCutter

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It's an interesting scenario, but why not go with Merling if the draft is deep for CBs? I think I'd be okay with the Talib pick in this scenario, but by your own synapsis of the draft at the top, I thought I'd look down and see MErling as the pick.

One last thing, if Gholston is there, I don't think the Jets even think about a CB. Ironically, for the same reason you gave for a QB : the patriots. The Giants showed the league how to beat them, and that's with a pass rush.

Anyway, thanks for the food for thought. I enjoy reading your breakdowns.

Because I don't think I really like Merling as a 3-4 DE, especially when there are going to be a number of DTs who can make the transition for greater value, like Andre Fluellen (Fla. St.), Marcus Harrison (Ark.), Guion, Lionel Dotson (Ariz.), Barry Booker (Va. Tech), Teraz McCray (Miami, Fl.), etc. I think that the Cards will draft one guy like this, and then pick up another UDFA or two to take to camp (guys like Blake Smith from Colorado St. or Hampton's Vernon Bryant).

The reason that I had Gholston falling some is because I'm not sure that the Jets have room for him in their lineup. They added Pace to a unit that they really liked, with Thomas, Barton, Hobson, and Harris. I think they might believe that they have a pass rush as it stands.

But if there was another "blueprint" that was revealed in beating the Pats, it was that you need solid cornerback play. That's what the Chargers showed in the NFC championship game, and the Giants had three solid players in Aaron Ross, Corey Webster, and Sam Madison. Like with the Bills, I think that the Jets think they'll improve their pass rush with another candle on the birthday cake and getting healthy, but they have real problems at cornerback.
 

Crazy Canuck

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Pace made a ton of money because finding 6-4 - 260-270lb. athletic linebackers for a 3/4 are darn hard to find... and for that reason, I can't see the Jets allowing Gholston to go to their arch rivals the Pats.

I wonder whether the Ravens would be williing to pay a relatively small price to jump over the Patriots to get Gholston, and still be be in a position to pick the no. 2 rated cornerback.

I watched the NFL combine, and really wanted to be impressed with Talib... but, frankly, wasn't. The skills seem to be there, but there is some sort of disconnect when it comes to making the play. In hockey, which I made a living at; we'd talk about guys with million dollar legs and moves and a 10c coconut on top. Talib gives me the feel of a guy who'll look really good screwing up a play.
 

PoolBoy

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i think the blueprint for beating the pats was getting pressure on the qb. that makes you cbs better. yea the chargers have a freak in cromartie, but they have great pass rushers led by merriman. and the giants had umenyora and strahan.
 

Stout

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Highsmith can be had in the 4th round IMO. He had one of the worst combine performances out of anyone at any position. Ran just a 4.95, also had horrible shuttle, cone, vertical, and broad jumps. Didn't even bench press because he has a lingering neck issue. When he had his pro day he only improved his 40 to 4.7 which although is better is not something teams look for in an undersized under 6 foot 230 pound weakside LB who's main positive is making plays in the open field.

All leading me to believe he would be available in the 4th round. But I still wouldnt take him, under 6 foot 230 pound LB's just do not excel in a 3-4 scheme be it a hybrid or whatever.

Wow, I didn't know that about Highsmith. Horrible numbers. All I know is that he played like a beast in college. I'd possibly take a flyer on him in the 4th, but I'd be concerned and would want to make sure another player wasn't there that would be a more certain pick.
 

Crazy Canuck

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Wow, I didn't know that about Highsmith. Horrible numbers. All I know is that he played like a beast in college. I'd possibly take a flyer on him in the 4th, but I'd be concerned and would want to make sure another player wasn't there that would be a more certain pick.

On the NFL Network, he's referred to as small, slow and with a neck problem that may be chonic. The concensus, according to M. Mayock is: "Take him off your board."
 

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If this is how the draft shakes out I would either trade down w/ DAL and take Cason at #22 or stay put and take Harvey at 16. He would start opposite Laboy/Haggans in the 3-4 and OLB in the 4-3 with Laboy & Berry/Okeafor at DE. He brings that feared pass rusher we need off the edge.

If Cason is there in the second snap him up, if not Brandon Flowers, Justin King, Tracy Porter are possibilities (one should drop to us).
 

LoyaltyisaCurse

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Daisy, I think these would be great picks, but I don't think they're going to be available. I think Cason either goes late first or early second. I also think Highsmith goes before the fourth. I'm no expert, so it's just my opinion, but it would be awesome if they fell that far for us.
Cason will not be picked later that 35 IMO... I still think he goes in the 1st round. If he fell to #50, I would be in shock.
 
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DaisyCutter

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If this is how the draft shakes out I would either trade down w/ DAL and take Cason at #22 or stay put and take Harvey at 16. He would start opposite Laboy/Haggans in the 3-4 and OLB in the 4-3 with Laboy & Berry/Okeafor at DE. He brings that feared pass rusher we need off the edge.

If Cason is there in the second snap him up, if not Brandon Flowers, Justin King, Tracy Porter are possibilities (one should drop to us).

But our OLB situation is like this right now:

ROLB: Berry, LaBoy
LOLB: Okeafor, Haggans.

I like Harvey a lot--I just read that he's only been playing football for 5 years. He has a great future in front of him. But I don't think the can contribute to the Cards in the near term, and I don't think there's anything special about him worthy of investing in him for the next several years.
 
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DaisyCutter

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He had an awsome combine. He wasn't injury prone at Oregon. I just don't buy it. Houston or Philly will scoop him up if we pass.


But he was somewhat of a one-year wonder at Oregon, never putting it together until his senior season. And the RB position continues to be downgraded in the NFL. Steven Jackson didn't get taken until the last half of his draft.

In fact, TSN's Draft Guide notes that Stewart "battled injuries throughout his career." ESPN.com/Scouts Inc uses the exact same language.
 

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The more I think about it, Branden Albert would be a great pick for us. He could end up being the top lineman in the draft. I'll bet Grimm is licking his chops with just the thought of it. He has the skills to be a top tackle and I like the fact he plays with a mean streak.
 

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