I think I posted this the last time we had a sexual assault case in the NFL, or it might have been in the Kavanagh stuff since it came from Stanford.
https://web.stanford.edu/group/maan/cgi-bin/?page_id=297
"Only about 2% of all rape and related sex charges are determined to be false, the same percentage as for other felonies (FBI). So while they do happen, and they are very problematic when they do, people claim that allegations are false far more frequently than they are and far more frequently than for other crimes. Put another way, we are much more likely to disbelieve a woman if she says she was raped than if she says she was robbed, but for no good reason.
On a related note, only about 40% of rapes are ever reported to the police, and this is partly because victims know that if their claim becomes public, their every behavior will be scrutinized, they will be shamed for their sexual history, and they will be labeled as lunatic, psychotic, paranoid, and manipulative. Just because someone does not report their crime does not mean it did not happen. Furthermore, only one in two claims lead to prosecution, so if the DA decides not to prosecute, that says nothing about whether or not it happened. (
http://www.rainn.org/get-information/statistics/reporting-rates)"
I did quick googling this morning the highest estimated % of false claims I found was 8, nowhere near 40 to 50%. the lowest number I found of rapes actually reported was 35%.
So the statistics say a woman something in the neighborhood of 5 to 10 times more likely to NOT report a rape or assault, than to falsely report one. Significantly more than half of all sexual assaults go unreported. It's why everytime someone uses that defense, if this happened why did she wait so long, I get furious.
The odds are overwhelming that everyone on this board knows at least 1(probably more) woman that has been sexually assaulted and didn't report it, I know I do I probably know a half dozen women who have admitted to that.