I figured a new thread would be nice, to get away from all the Marion-bashing.
I guess I'm in the minority here, but I think Detroit will come out with more desperation than LA. Certainly, they need this game more--they need to win one more road game, because the lower seed always loses at least one home game in the 2-3-2 format, and this might be their best chance for that second road win (since the Lakers are banged up a little).
Meanwhile, the Lakers have to be confident they can win four games in a row once they find their rhythm; that's what they did to San Antonio, after all. They can start the steamroller in game 3 if they have to, and they would still have a game in hand in case of a fluke loss.
Even if Detroit comes out with more energy again, the Lakers will be better prepared than in game 1, and they'll still have the home court and maybe the calls (although the officials' favor no longer seems to be a sure thing for them). If the teams come out as I expect they will, it should be a close and well-contested game.
The X-factors in game 2 are Kobe and Chauncey Billups, IMO. Rip Hamilton should bounce back, but Detroit will need at least a pretty good game from Billups too if they want to score 90, which will give them a fighting chance at the W. Billups is the toughest cover for the Lakers, since he can body Payton and Fisher and also make plays off the dribble, but his shooting comes and goes.
Kobe Bryant has to drive and distribute. Without double-teams, the Lakers' role players aren't getting the automatic open looks that they expect, but Kobe should be able to create some looks for them anyway if he's unselfish. Shaq is due for a poor FT-shooting game, so I'm guessing that the Pistons will use their fouls to prevent another 80% shooting night...
I guess I'm in the minority here, but I think Detroit will come out with more desperation than LA. Certainly, they need this game more--they need to win one more road game, because the lower seed always loses at least one home game in the 2-3-2 format, and this might be their best chance for that second road win (since the Lakers are banged up a little).
Meanwhile, the Lakers have to be confident they can win four games in a row once they find their rhythm; that's what they did to San Antonio, after all. They can start the steamroller in game 3 if they have to, and they would still have a game in hand in case of a fluke loss.
Even if Detroit comes out with more energy again, the Lakers will be better prepared than in game 1, and they'll still have the home court and maybe the calls (although the officials' favor no longer seems to be a sure thing for them). If the teams come out as I expect they will, it should be a close and well-contested game.
The X-factors in game 2 are Kobe and Chauncey Billups, IMO. Rip Hamilton should bounce back, but Detroit will need at least a pretty good game from Billups too if they want to score 90, which will give them a fighting chance at the W. Billups is the toughest cover for the Lakers, since he can body Payton and Fisher and also make plays off the dribble, but his shooting comes and goes.
Kobe Bryant has to drive and distribute. Without double-teams, the Lakers' role players aren't getting the automatic open looks that they expect, but Kobe should be able to create some looks for them anyway if he's unselfish. Shaq is due for a poor FT-shooting game, so I'm guessing that the Pistons will use their fouls to prevent another 80% shooting night...