We were closest to winning when we had the lead in OT. We were ACTUALLY closest to winning when we were at the 10 yard line before kicking the field goal, according to ESPN:
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I don't like this analysis, though (From ESPN). It seems like there's too much volatility. I like this one from Gambletron2000 (whatever that is) better. They had our best chance to win at 85%, but they don't give the game situation; they give the time of day:
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I'm guessing that's when we kicked the field goal to go up in OT.
So, yes, we were closer to winning than I thought. I somehow forgot that we were actually up in OT.