It's all a total function of our performance at home. We suck on the road... There are only 2 road games this season where we might have a shot - Rams and Detroit, and we typically don't play well at Detroit...
Our Home schedule is a very tough one this year. The 9ers and Hawks will be much improved over last season. I am more confident of our chances against the Hawks than I am with the 9ers. The Rams of course will suck and there is no reason why we shouldn't destroy them.
That leaves the Colts, Texans, Panthers, Vikings and Packers... Candidly, I can see each one of those teams beating us... Hell, the Pack just made us look like a Div II team as Rogers ripped us to shreads...
Being as objective as I can be, I would say that we will beat all of our division opponents at home. I think we will lose to both the 9ers and Hawks on the road. I think we will beat the Colts, Texans and Panthers at home.
That means we go 6 & 2 at home. If we can somehow pick up 3 road wins, we get to a total of 9 W's. I am just not that confident about going 3 & 5 on the road... If we can grab a W at S.F. or Seattle, that would be HUGE, which means just our 5th game of the season (@ Seattle) is a gigantic game for us! We win, and I like our chances of getting to 9 W's for the season. If we lose that game, I think we go 8 & 8.
So there ya have it...