The most dangerous three-receiver sets in the NFL

BACH

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http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20...f/06/23/perloff.multiple.receivers/index.html

In 2002 I worked on a short animated film called The Mechanics of a Seven-Man Officiating Crew for the NFL officials group . The genesis of this straight-to-video masterpiece was the proliferation of multi-receiver sets.

The NFL officiating standard is that at least one set of eyes has to be on each receiver downfield, which is harder when more offensive players come downfield from seemingly different places on every play.

One of the reasons for the timing of the video was the success of the "Greatest Show on Turf," the Rams' record-setting offense at the turn of the century (the 20th century into 21st century -- the forward pass wasn't even legal at the previous turn of the century). St. Louis offensive coordinator and later head coach Mike Martz used Az-Zahir Hakim as a potent weapon at third receiver, along with several other innovative sets, to keep defenses and officials off balance.

But let's take a step back. Although he might tell you differently, Martz wasn't the first to use multiple formations so successfully. According to SI.com's resident football strategy expert, Paul Zimmerman, the multi-receiver phenomenon had its roots in the early '80s.

After a series of rule changes instituted to increase scoring (illegal chucks, less strict application of offensive holding, no stickum, etc.), coaches started to expand their passing games.

In 1981, Joe Gibbs' Redskins switched to a one-running back set and their offense took off. Gibbs inverted traditional logic by softening the defense with the passing game to open up the running game, and he used three talented receivers -- Art Monk, Gary Clark and Ricky Sanders -- to do this. Dr. Z rattled off dozen nicknames for the Redskins' multi-receiver attack -- Trips, Spaghetti, Bunch, the Snake. (He was simultaneously discussing lunch with the Flaming Redhead, so perhaps I misunderstood some of the names). Whatever you called it, the 'Skins' gameplan caught defenses off guard. With all those talented receivers running around, defenses had to lay back to guard the pass, allowing RB John Riggins to go wild.

Not long after Gibbs started winning Super Bowls, the run-and-shoot offense came into vogue, featuring one back, four receivers and no tight ends. Jim Kelly's Houston Gamblers rewrote the thin volume that is the USFL record book in 1984. NFL teams such as the Oilers, Bills and Lions followed in the late '80s and early '90s with their wide-open passing game. Then defenses adjusted. They figured out ways to rush the passer effectively, causing turnovers and plenty of pain for the quarterback. And the illegal-chuck rule, while still on the books, wasn't called as regularly, allowing defensive backs to become very physical.

The run and shoot basically ran a fade pattern in the mid-90s. Instead of lining up all kinds of receivers, coordinators were busy mimicking Bill Walsh's West Coast offense, which more often kept a fullback on the field and used short passing to control the game.

Still, new offensive schemes caused problems for the referees, because in the West Coast scheme, officials had to pick up the fullback and tight ends and it wasn't clear when players were going to block or when they would go out for a pass. But according to NFL officiating legend Art McNally, who was a consultant on the film, the problem was even more pronounced when three or more receivers got downfield in a hurry, stretching the referees' responsibilities. There was always the danger someone would go long and not have a official watching him because he thought his assignment was elsewhere.

Obviously, if the officials had trouble keeping track of offenses, defenses were going to have issues as well. Right now, the hot trend appears to be the use of three-receiver sets. I have a few theories as to why.

• Recent rule changes, mainly last year's re-emphasis on the illegal chuck have helped wide receivers get downfield.

• The NFL's a copycat league, and who wouldn't want to mimic the Colts' offense, which had three 1,000-yard receivers last year -- not to mention incredibly effective tight ends and a star running back?

• Wide receivers are coming out of college bigger, faster and stronger. Since Randy Moss exploded as a rookie in '98 after being drafted No. 21 overall, receivers are more likely to be picked high in the first round than running backs. In the last three drafts, eight receivers have been selected in the top 10, and an average of five receivers have been picked in the first round. Several players who might have ended up at a different position such as tight end or defensive end proved they could play receiver in college. Lions rookie Mike Williams was recruited by several schools to be a tight end, but chose USC because it promised he could play wide receiver. There are also a number of smaller tight ends that play more like receivers and are having great success of late.

• Three-receiver sets force defenses into nickel and dime packages and get massive run-stuffers like San Diego's Jamal Williams and Oakland's Ted Washington off the field, freeing up a little room for the running game.

Lions coach Steve Mariucci made a strong statement about the three-receiver set by taking Williams at No. 10 in this year's draft. Mooch had talked about using a three-receiver set in San Francisco with Terrell Owens, J.J. Stokes and Tai Streets, but his personnel wasn't quite good enough to make it a complete success.

With 3,400 combined receiving yards in 2004, the Colts' Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne and Brandon Stokley are the most prolific trio in the league. But given the current trend, will Indy's receivers remain the most lethal triumvirate? Here are my top five three-wide receiver sets for 2005:

5. Raiders (Randy Moss, Jerry Porter, Ronald Curry): Moss and Porter is a pretty fearsome duo on paper, but Curry could be the element that makes the Raiders' offense unstoppable. Curry is recovering from a torn Achilles' heel that ended his 2004 season, but is reportedly running and will be full strength by the season. Oakland believed in Curry enough to sign him to a contract extension this offseason. If he gets back to where he was last year, the Raiders have three home-run threats. Considering you have to double-team Moss, Porter and Curry will have great opportunities -- and Kerry Collins has the arm strength to hit them long.

4. Cardinals (Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, Bryant Johnson): A year before Mariucci selected Mike Williams, Arizona coach Dennis Green surprised folks by taking Fitzgerald with the No. 3 pick in the 2004 draft. The Cards had just selected wide receivers Johnson and Boldin in 2003, and both showed enormous potential. All three are outstanding players, but the team's offense still has question marks -- can someone, perhaps rookie J.J. Arrington, provide a running game, and does QB Kurt Warner have anything left? Based on Green's history, there's reason to believe the Cardinals will be able to put some points on the board and these young receivers will lead the way.

3. Lions (Roy Williams, Charles Rogers, Mike Williams): How many receivers in the league are over six-feet tall and can run an under-4.3 40-yard dash? At least half of them -- Rogers and Roy Williams -- are Lions. And Detroit added another physical freak -- Mike Williams -- in the draft. Look for Mariucci to line Mike up in the slot and use his size as a very effective possession receiver, while Rogers and Roy menace defenses downfield. Add a slightly over-the-hill Marcus Pollard at tight end and running back Kevin Jones and the Lions should be hard to stop. Two potential issues: Rogers' injury history and instability at quarterback. An early call to Jeff Garcia over Joey Harrington might help the young stud receivers.

2. Rams (Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Kevin Curtis or Shaun McDonald): Several commentators have pointed out that the Rams have had trouble replacing Hakim in their slot position and the offense has come down to earth a little. Then St. Louis selected Curtis and McDonald in the third and fourth round of the 2003 draft. Both appear to be developing into potential weapons at the third-receiver spot. The No. 1 and No. 2 spots are still in good shape with Holt and Bruce -- as long as you don't ask Bruce to go out long -- and either Curtis or McDonald adds an element of speed that makes the Rams dangerous once again. Curtis appeared to be the guy in last year's playoffs, combining for 235 receiving yards in two games, but McDonald also had his moments and will be in the mix.

1. Colts (Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Brandon Stokley): Is it the system or the receivers? Offensive coordinator Tom Moore is one of the best, QB Peyton Manning is the best, tight end Dallas Clark is an emerging star and running back Edgerrin James is one of the better RBs in the league. But don't underestimate the talent of this receiving crew. All three are fast, good route-runners and sure-handed. Whenever you watch a Colts game, one of the three always seems to be wide open 30 yards down the field. That's what happens when an offense has so many ways to kill you and your quarterback's ball-fake fools cameramen and defenses on virtually every down. History says Manning will have difficulty topping his 49-touchdown record, but look for huge seasons from Harrison, Wayne and Stokley once again. Now, if they can somehow translate this into some success on a cold field in Foxboro ....

Other Trios To Watch
• Patriots -- Remember that Sirius Radio commercial in which David Givens, Deion Branch and Troy Brown all say, "I thought I was Tom Brady's favorite receiver"? Take Brown and Patten (signed with Washington) out of the equation and add a receiver to be named later, because you never know which Patriots pass-catcher is going to have a big afternoon.

• Bengals -- The Bengals re-signed T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who forms a solid one-two punch with Chad Johnson. Peter Warrick should be fully recovered from a broken fibula and knee problems, and is still plenty good for a third option. But if Warrick can't stay healthy, rookie Chris Henry out of West Virginia might be a surprise later in the season.
 
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Stronso

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I would say that is about right until Boldin picks up where he left off in his rookie year - last year gets a mulligan IMHO

Johnson needs to step it up and so does Fitz

But it all revolves around Warner and the O-Line - they need to block and he needs to hit them in stride - otherwise it will be the same crap O as last year
 

slanidrac16

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I really don't see how they can rate the Lions over the Cards. Roy Williams is a second year guy , just like Fitzgerald. Edge....even.
Are you going to tell me that at this point Charles Rodgers or Mike Williams matches up with Boldin? Edge.....big edge Cards.
ALso, until Rodgers can stay on the field for a month, let alone a season, how can he compare with Johnson? Edge....Cards.

Not being a homer, but I'll take our 3 guys over the Lions.
 
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BACH

BACH

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slanidrac16 said:
I really don't see how they can rate the Lions over the Cards. Roy Williams is a second year guy , just like Fitzgerald. Edge....even.
Are you going to tell me that at this point Charles Rodgers or Mike Williams matches up with Boldin? Edge.....big edge Cards.
ALso, until Rodgers can stay on the field for a month, let alone a season, how can he compare with Johnson? Edge....Cards.

Not being a homer, but I'll take our 3 guys over the Lions.
The way I read it. He thinks that we have the potentially best group, but that we have question marks in the surrounding cast. That's the reason why the Lions are ranked higher. Less questions marks at RB and QB.
 

JeffGollin

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I have no problem with rating the Lions receiving corps ahead of the Cardinals on pure physical talent.

But the one intangible - in fact, one that has an impact on every position - has to do with game prep. During the Mac years, I cannot recall many (if any) games where the Cardinals looked prepared for whatever the opposing team had in store for them. Invariably, they looked lost out there.

This changed last year. For all the ups and downs of a 6 & 10 season, in every game they played the Cardinals seemed to know what they were doing

Assuming that every team works hard in the off season, shows up in shape and is roughly equal in talent, I really believe that well-prepared teams will outperform less-prepared teams every time. This is an intangible that Coach Green brings to the Cardinals.
 

FrankAbagnaleJr

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BACH said:
can someone, perhaps rookie J.J. Arrington, provide a running game, and does QB Kurt Warner have anything left? Based on Green's history, there's reason to believe the Cardinals will be able to put some points on the board and these young receivers will lead the way

JJ will be a huge help.. Its gonna be tough for opposing defenses very soon!

:thumbup:
 

Russ Smith

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I would think the Raiders trio should be higher, I would rate them 2nd behind only the Colts. A healthy Moss is still the most dangerous WR in the NFL, nobody brings their safeties up when Moss is healthy. Porter is an explosive guy, not quite a #1 WR but a great #2, and Curry was having a terrific year when he got hurt and everything I read says he's going to be ready for the season this year health wise. Their WR's are just as big and strong as ours, but they're all faster.

We have a chance to be special, Quan is so good in traffic over the middle, Fitz in the air, but Johnson really has to step it up.
 

Totally_Red

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JeffGollin said:
I have no problem with rating the Lions receiving corps ahead of the Cardinals on pure physical talent.

But the one intangible - in fact, one that has an impact on every position - has to do with game prep. During the Mac years, I cannot recall many (if any) games where the Cardinals looked prepared for whatever the opposing team had in store for them. Invariably, they looked lost out there.

This changed last year. For all the ups and downs of a 6 & 10 season, in every game they played the Cardinals seemed to know what they were doing

Assuming that every team works hard in the off season, shows up in shape and is roughly equal in talent, I really believe that well-prepared teams will outperform less-prepared teams every time. This is an intangible that Coach Green brings to the Cardinals.

You make a good point. Even though "we" continued to lose on the road, a lot of those games were close, thanks to the defense keeping us in the games. If the offense is as improved as we all think and hope and if the key guys like Q, Warner, and JJ stay healthy, we'll win some of those close road games, e.g. at Texas, at Detriot, and at SF.

Also, Pendergast will have more weapons at his disposal and a healthy Kenny King.

If we build some early momentum with wins at NY(NJ) and vs. the Rams, this team could go places.:thumbup:
 

BigDavis75

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BACH said:
The way I read it. He thinks that we have the potentially best group, but that we have question marks in the surrounding cast. That's the reason why the Lions are ranked higher. Less questions marks at RB and QB.

QB is still a question mark even with Garcia backing Harrington up.
 

duckfallas

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I can see the Lions being ranked ahead of The Cards when it comes to the WRs. Roy Williams was sensational last year and the offseason addition of Mike Williams should have been illegal. While I think Boldin is a much better receiver than Rodgers, they were both hurt last year so they kind of cancel each other out.

Was Roy Williams better than Fitz last year? Yes, I think he was. Not by much, but he did perform at a higher level. Edge: Lions.

Boldin and Rodgers canceled out last season but Boldin is the better player. Edge: Cards.

Now you compare Mike Williams with Bryant Johnson. To me, that is no comparison. Johnson hasn't done spit yet for a 1st round pick and Williams is one of the most dominating WRs to come out in years. Huge Edge: Lions.
 
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duckfallas said:
Now you compare Mike Williams with Bryant Johnson. To me, that is no comparison. Johnson hasn't done spit yet for a 1st round pick and Williams is one of the most dominating WRs to come out in years. Huge Edge: Lions.
How many NFL receptions does M. Williams have??? That's right ZERO!!! Of course, he is expected to be an All-Pro; very likely that he will be. But he hasn't done spit yet!!!
 

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I have to admit, Detroit has potentially an awesome WR trio. But whos throwing to them; I'll take Warner over Harrington any day of the week.
 

slanidrac16

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duckfallas said:
I can see the Lions being ranked ahead of The Cards when it comes to the WRs. Roy Williams was sensational last year and the offseason addition of Mike Williams should have been illegal. While I think Boldin is a much better receiver than Rodgers, they were both hurt last year so they kind of cancel each other out.

Was Roy Williams better than Fitz last year? Yes, I think he was. Not by much, but he did perform at a higher level. Edge: Lions.

Boldin and Rodgers canceled out last season but Boldin is the better player. Edge: Cards.

Now you compare Mike Williams with Bryant Johnson. To me, that is no comparison. Johnson hasn't done spit yet for a 1st round pick and Williams is one of the most dominating WRs to come out in years. Huge Edge: Lions.

Did you forget that Fitzgerald played on a bad ankle the entire year? Add that to the fact that we did not have a home run threat out of the backfield. That alone allows me to grade ROy WIlliams and Fitz as "even". NOBODY on Detroit can compare to Boldin so therefore BIG edge to thr Cards. Like somebody else said , until Mike Williams catches his first pass his ranking is all potential.
Lets us not forget that our offense was playing their first season under Green.
I'd make a friendly wager right now that the Cards trio of Boldin, Fitz, and Bryant, will catch more passes for more yards and more TD's that the Lions trio of R. Williams, Rodgers, and M Williams.
 

JeffGollin

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Best Three Receiver Set...

That's easy - the DirecTV/TIVO receiver in the kitchen, the one in the living room and the one in the bedroom.
 

Russ Smith

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slanidrac16 said:
Did you forget that Fitzgerald played on a bad ankle the entire year? Add that to the fact that we did not have a home run threat out of the backfield. That alone allows me to grade ROy WIlliams and Fitz as "even". NOBODY on Detroit can compare to Boldin so therefore BIG edge to thr Cards. Like somebody else said , until Mike Williams catches his first pass his ranking is all potential.
Lets us not forget that our offense was playing their first season under Green.
I'd make a friendly wager right now that the Cards trio of Boldin, Fitz, and Bryant, will catch more passes for more yards and more TD's that the Lions trio of R. Williams, Rodgers, and M Williams.

Roy Williams played on a bad ankle last year too, in fact his was worse than Fitz's much of the year he was actually missing time in practice and in games with it for weeks. Fitz got through that part with his before the season started. Neither guy was 100% for much of last year.

The key for Roy is proving that's not going to be the norm, in college through his junior year he struggled with hammy problems, senior year he had no problems but everyone still labelled him as a guy who gets hurt a lot. Last year didn't dispel that notion.

The key in the comparison to me is Rogers, he has barely played for 2 years, it's pretty difficult to count on him let alone factor him into the equation yet. IF he's healthy he's very talented, but that's a big IF right now.

I think Mike Williams may ultimately be the best WR out of the group but he hasn't played a down yet so again hard to make a fair comparison.
 

Bobcat

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Stronso said:
I would say that is about right until Boldin picks up where he left off in his rookie year - last year gets a mulligan IMHO

Johnson needs to step it up and so does Fitz

But it all revolves around Warner and the O-Line - they need to block and he needs to hit them in stride - otherwise it will be the same crap O as last year

Fitz played great last year and got better with every game. Johnson played well during the second half of the season. We just might have the best wideouts in the NFL. Kurt will get them the ball. These guy's can catch the rock better than any WR we have had here in the last 8 years.

And that includes Boston, and Moore. Forget Sanders he really had "Bricks for Hands;" he cost Jake about 20 INT's due to his bad Hands.

Bobcat :thumbup:
 

nurnay

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Pretty good article, but a few things jumped out at me. First, this comment on Ronald Curry of the Raiders:

"Curry is recovering from a torn Achilles' heel that ended his 2004 season, but is reportedly running and will be full strength by the season."

I don't know, but that seems like an awfully quick turnaround for an achilles injury.

Then this:

"...Arizona coach Dennis Green surprised folks by taking Fitzgerald with the No. 3 pick in the 2004 draft."

Was anyone really surprised? Everyone knew from the day Green came to the Cards that he was targeting Fitz. I guess the surprise was that he decided to go WR with the pick, but no one was surprised.

And finally...

"The Cards had just selected wide receivers Johnson and Boldin in 2003, and both showed enormous potential."

I didn't get to see as many Cards games as I would have liked in 2003, but Johnson didn't show me much. So far he's been a bust. I thought selecting Fitz was a great choice, because I don't think Johnson will ever live up to his draft position. "Enormous potential" is a HUGE overstatement for his 2003 season.
 

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