George O'Brien
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I looks like Ostertag believes that the Clippers will NOT match on Q. The Suns conversations with Trailor and JP suggest they are looking primarily at big guys for minimum salaries. They don't seem to be even exploring other options with the exception of Ostertag and he doesn't think they will have the money.
So for the sake of argument, let's assume the Suns get Q Richardson and a warm body to play inside. What will the Suns look like?
I know some people think that this deal means the Suns have a trade in mind. I doubt it. There are no good ones available. If they wanted a mediocre big man, they could have done that in the free agent market.
So what are they going to do? I think the option that has not received enough attention is that Carbakapa will be moved inside. Yes, I know he's not strong enough, but he IS tall and reasonably athletic. On offense he could play the high post or on the wing in a small ball configuration. On defense he would not be able to play a strong offensive player, but might hold his own against a guy who doesn't shoot much.
Why am I focusing on Carbakapa? Because the Suns will end up using Q to backup both the SG and SF positions, leaving very few minutes for Carbakapa on the wing. Vroman looks like he can play defense while Carbakapa could be an impressive offensive threat on the inside.
In either case, the Suns will be geared to run all the time. Even taking the ball after an opponent's made shot should be treated as just another fast brek opportunity. Since most teams take a few seconds to get into position, it would force them to rush back and leave holes before they are set. It would also force opponents big guys to run up and down the court, which will create fatigue.
"Early offense" will be an extension of the fast break with cutters to the basket and shooters set up to get pitch backs as the defense collapses on the guy driving the hoop. If that doesn't work, the next would be to get the ball to Amare before their opponent's big man is in position.
Most teams defend the break by pulling everyone into the paint and then spreading out from there. This is especially true against the Suns because of the problems created by having someone like Marion available for an alley oop pass. This will leave Nash wide open for quick jumpers - which he hits.
The Suns will do this whether or not they have Q. However, with Q they will be able to keep up the pace for longer stretches. With Carbakapa, Lampe, and Vroman inside to join Amare, they will be able to keep all five guys in the early attack.
Will the Suns be able to play defense? Not at the Pistons, Spurs, Wolves level that is for sure. However, they will probably press the ball in a switching man to man and hope for the best. The real key will be to run so often that opponents will be reluctant to crash the boards hard for fear of giving up too many fast break points. Also, if the Suns are built for speed, other teams may have a hard time keeping their big guys in the lineup due to matchup issues.
Will this work? The Mavericks had some success with this approach. Compared the Mavericks, the Suns do not have nearly the outside shooting but have a vastly superior low post guy than the Mavs. The Suns individual defenders are not as good as we would like, but they are better than the Mavs. Like the Mavs, the Suns will rely on a bunch of guys who can rebound rather than just one big man.
A year ago Frank Johnson came to training camp intent on developing a running style. It failed because Marbury couldn't or wouldn't run it. Nash will and IMHO the Suns will end up looking a lot different than they have for years.
So for the sake of argument, let's assume the Suns get Q Richardson and a warm body to play inside. What will the Suns look like?
I know some people think that this deal means the Suns have a trade in mind. I doubt it. There are no good ones available. If they wanted a mediocre big man, they could have done that in the free agent market.
So what are they going to do? I think the option that has not received enough attention is that Carbakapa will be moved inside. Yes, I know he's not strong enough, but he IS tall and reasonably athletic. On offense he could play the high post or on the wing in a small ball configuration. On defense he would not be able to play a strong offensive player, but might hold his own against a guy who doesn't shoot much.
Why am I focusing on Carbakapa? Because the Suns will end up using Q to backup both the SG and SF positions, leaving very few minutes for Carbakapa on the wing. Vroman looks like he can play defense while Carbakapa could be an impressive offensive threat on the inside.
In either case, the Suns will be geared to run all the time. Even taking the ball after an opponent's made shot should be treated as just another fast brek opportunity. Since most teams take a few seconds to get into position, it would force them to rush back and leave holes before they are set. It would also force opponents big guys to run up and down the court, which will create fatigue.
"Early offense" will be an extension of the fast break with cutters to the basket and shooters set up to get pitch backs as the defense collapses on the guy driving the hoop. If that doesn't work, the next would be to get the ball to Amare before their opponent's big man is in position.
Most teams defend the break by pulling everyone into the paint and then spreading out from there. This is especially true against the Suns because of the problems created by having someone like Marion available for an alley oop pass. This will leave Nash wide open for quick jumpers - which he hits.
The Suns will do this whether or not they have Q. However, with Q they will be able to keep up the pace for longer stretches. With Carbakapa, Lampe, and Vroman inside to join Amare, they will be able to keep all five guys in the early attack.
Will the Suns be able to play defense? Not at the Pistons, Spurs, Wolves level that is for sure. However, they will probably press the ball in a switching man to man and hope for the best. The real key will be to run so often that opponents will be reluctant to crash the boards hard for fear of giving up too many fast break points. Also, if the Suns are built for speed, other teams may have a hard time keeping their big guys in the lineup due to matchup issues.
Will this work? The Mavericks had some success with this approach. Compared the Mavericks, the Suns do not have nearly the outside shooting but have a vastly superior low post guy than the Mavs. The Suns individual defenders are not as good as we would like, but they are better than the Mavs. Like the Mavs, the Suns will rely on a bunch of guys who can rebound rather than just one big man.
A year ago Frank Johnson came to training camp intent on developing a running style. It failed because Marbury couldn't or wouldn't run it. Nash will and IMHO the Suns will end up looking a lot different than they have for years.
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