The Peach Bowl thread (CFP Quarterfinal) 1/1/2025 11AM AZ time

OP
OP
A

Absolute Zero

ASFN Icon
Joined
Aug 9, 2005
Posts
17,584
Reaction score
8,944
This guy does a "great job" of pouring cold water on ASUs chances...

xc_hide_links_from_guests_guests_error_hide_media

Stacked secondary, including 2 All Americans, playmakers all across the defense, stuffed Clemson's two attempts to go for it on 4th and 1, only gave up 30 points once this year, think (?) he also said that they only gave up two TD passes in games twice this year.

If the prognosticators are right, ASU's path to victory is a very narrow one and it runs thru Ewers.

Will be interesting to see if the ASU offense will still take the same aggressive approach on 4th downs, and on defense whether Brian Ward will dial up a bit more magic with blitz packages trying to force Ewers to make some mistakes.
 

Trainwreck20

Newbie
Joined
Dec 26, 2024
Posts
2
Reaction score
10
Location
Texas
(Longhorn here) Ewers isn't the problem or the solution for Texas - he is a very good short- to medium-range passer with very inconsistent deep throws. His TD/INT ratio is 26/10, I think, with three or four of those INTs being due to the receiver hot-potatoing the ball to the defender or a WR falling down. He is actually pretty good at not throwing bad throws and is more likely to eat a sack or throw it away too early, if anything. Not sure on his mobility with his banged up ankle, but he is not really a threat to beat anyone with his legs on a regular basis. More of a 'oh, you vacated the middle, I can run straight for 10 yards' type of QB.

The most success people have had against Texas was shutting down the run and forcing lots of short throws that eventually result in holding calls or illegal motion that end up killing a drive. Neither RB was projected to be a starter this year but were forced into the role due to injuries. They are not bad by any means, but not world-beaters. Blue (no. 2 back) has had a rash of fumbles earlier this year but has been better the last few games. Both do run 'with passion', though, with Wisner (no. 1 RB) sort of breaking out later in this season.

Anyway, if you can limit the run and gamble a bit on the long ball, the game is very winnable for ASU. Against Clemson, Ewers was actually on-target downfield. He is very hard to beat in that situation, but it is not a regular thing.

On defense, the secondary is good but not awesome. Clemson QB was dropping perfect passes into good coverage with receivers dotting the sideline and not much you can do about that. The biggest difference this year has been a much better oline, especially in pass protection.
 

Dback Jon

Doing it My Way
Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 14, 2002
Posts
82,818
Reaction score
42,818
Location
South Scottsdale
(Longhorn here) Ewers isn't the problem or the solution for Texas - he is a very good short- to medium-range passer with very inconsistent deep throws. His TD/INT ratio is 26/10, I think, with three or four of those INTs being due to the receiver hot-potatoing the ball to the defender or a WR falling down. He is actually pretty good at not throwing bad throws and is more likely to eat a sack or throw it away too early, if anything. Not sure on his mobility with his banged up ankle, but he is not really a threat to beat anyone with his legs on a regular basis. More of a 'oh, you vacated the middle, I can run straight for 10 yards' type of QB.

The most success people have had against Texas was shutting down the run and forcing lots of short throws that eventually result in holding calls or illegal motion that end up killing a drive. Neither RB was projected to be a starter this year but were forced into the role due to injuries. They are not bad by any means, but not world-beaters. Blue (no. 2 back) has had a rash of fumbles earlier this year but has been better the last few games. Both do run 'with passion', though, with Wisner (no. 1 RB) sort of breaking out later in this season.

Anyway, if you can limit the run and gamble a bit on the long ball, the game is very winnable for ASU. Against Clemson, Ewers was actually on-target downfield. He is very hard to beat in that situation, but it is not a regular thing.

On defense, the secondary is good but not awesome. Clemson QB was dropping perfect passes into good coverage with receivers dotting the sideline and not much you can do about that. The biggest difference this year has been a much better oline, especially in pass protection.
Welcome!
 

Lorenzo

Registered User
Joined
Feb 3, 2007
Posts
10,480
Reaction score
5,358
Location
Vegas
(Longhorn here) Ewers isn't the problem or the solution for Texas - he is a very good short- to medium-range passer with very inconsistent deep throws. His TD/INT ratio is 26/10, I think, with three or four of those INTs being due to the receiver hot-potatoing the ball to the defender or a WR falling down. He is actually pretty good at not throwing bad throws and is more likely to eat a sack or throw it away too early, if anything. Not sure on his mobility with his banged up ankle, but he is not really a threat to beat anyone with his legs on a regular basis. More of a 'oh, you vacated the middle, I can run straight for 10 yards' type of QB.

The most success people have had against Texas was shutting down the run and forcing lots of short throws that eventually result in holding calls or illegal motion that end up killing a drive. Neither RB was projected to be a starter this year but were forced into the role due to injuries. They are not bad by any means, but not world-beaters. Blue (no. 2 back) has had a rash of fumbles earlier this year but has been better the last few games. Both do run 'with passion', though, with Wisner (no. 1 RB) sort of breaking out later in this season.

Anyway, if you can limit the run and gamble a bit on the long ball, the game is very winnable for ASU. Against Clemson, Ewers was actually on-target downfield. He is very hard to beat in that situation, but it is not a regular thing.

On defense, the secondary is good but not awesome. Clemson QB was dropping perfect passes into good coverage with receivers dotting the sideline and not much you can do about that. The biggest difference this year has been a much better oline, especially in pass protection.
I agree. and I think you make a good case for Ewers being the solution for the success of the Texas offense if he can hit those deep throws. That’s his main weakness. That’s the reason so many Texas fans went nuts when manning played and hit on a handful of deep balls that were perfectly thrown. Ewers has had some bad interceptions when throwing the ball in the flat. Often it’s because of a double clutch and he doesn’t look confident. Those are the ones that he can eliminate. I think playing with confidence is the most important aspect of Ewers game. I personally feel ewers is their scape goat and I’ll admit that I have blamed him as well.

It’s clear that wisner is the longhorns best overall rb and blue is their home run threat. Some of blue’s problems stem from not going down when he should, but he also has had some really bad ones where he’s too lazy with the ball. Wisner has been a great surprise for them. The OU game was his most memorable game and that’s when you could tell that he became the best option as he blew that game open when Ewers was struggling. Wisner is very tough and is also fast enough to break away. By all accounts Wisner is also a great leader.
 

Trainwreck20

Newbie
Joined
Dec 26, 2024
Posts
2
Reaction score
10
Location
Texas
[...]That’s the reason so many Texas fans went nuts when manning played and hit on a handful of deep balls that were perfectly thrown.[...]
Manning throws an absolutely beautiful long ball. BUT he has shown he would much rather throw the long one every time instead of reading the defense to see what the best balance between yardage and chance of success. He also rarely decides that he doesn't have a throw and has shown a tendency to try to fit it into bad coverage. The news coverage makes Ewers sound awful sometimes, but he has really been steady through bad and good games. I suspect Manning is as likely to lose the game as win it, while Ewers does a job over leveraging overall talent of the team by letting the defense do its job or letting the RBs do their job.

Historically, UT has often tried to wear a defense down via ToP. UT has almost always had excellent backups and rarely has much of a drop off in quality, while opponents often have hd a more significant drop; however, in the era of NIL, I am not sure that is the case anymore and ToP is more important than ever. The really good backups move on as starters elsewhere.
 

Lorenzo

Registered User
Joined
Feb 3, 2007
Posts
10,480
Reaction score
5,358
Location
Vegas
This guy does a "great job" of pouring cold water on ASUs chances...

xc_hide_links_from_guests_guests_error_hide_media

Stacked secondary, including 2 All Americans, playmakers all across the defense, stuffed Clemson's two attempts to go for it on 4th and 1, only gave up 30 points once this year, think (?) he also said that they only gave up two TD passes in games twice this year.

If the prognosticators are right, ASU's path to victory is a very narrow one and it runs thru Ewers.

Will be interesting to see if the ASU offense will still take the same aggressive approach on 4th downs, and on defense whether Brian Ward will dial up a bit more magic with blitz packages trying to force Ewers to make some mistakes.
Yeah they gave up 30 to Georgia in the first meeting. Statistically last week was probably the worst performance for the defense. But I thought they played well overall and made all of the winning plays that were needed. Dabo also probably should have thrown the ball at the goaline on that final drive. Georgia is the only team that has been able to run the ball on Texas at the goaline this year. So it can be done, but they are stout.
 
Last edited:

ajcardfan

I see you.
Supporting Member
Joined
May 13, 2002
Posts
38,974
Reaction score
26,466
(Longhorn here) Ewers isn't the problem or the solution for Texas - he is a very good short- to medium-range passer with very inconsistent deep throws. His TD/INT ratio is 26/10, I think, with three or four of those INTs being due to the receiver hot-potatoing the ball to the defender or a WR falling down. He is actually pretty good at not throwing bad throws and is more likely to eat a sack or throw it away too early, if anything. Not sure on his mobility with his banged up ankle, but he is not really a threat to beat anyone with his legs on a regular basis. More of a 'oh, you vacated the middle, I can run straight for 10 yards' type of QB.

The most success people have had against Texas was shutting down the run and forcing lots of short throws that eventually result in holding calls or illegal motion that end up killing a drive. Neither RB was projected to be a starter this year but were forced into the role due to injuries. They are not bad by any means, but not world-beaters. Blue (no. 2 back) has had a rash of fumbles earlier this year but has been better the last few games. Both do run 'with passion', though, with Wisner (no. 1 RB) sort of breaking out later in this season.

Anyway, if you can limit the run and gamble a bit on the long ball, the game is very winnable for ASU. Against Clemson, Ewers was actually on-target downfield. He is very hard to beat in that situation, but it is not a regular thing.

On defense, the secondary is good but not awesome. Clemson QB was dropping perfect passes into good coverage with receivers dotting the sideline and not much you can do about that. The biggest difference this year has been a much better oline, especially in pass protection.
Thank you. Aggie/ASU alum here. Even though the first game didn't go the way we wanted, it is awesome that the greatest rivalry in college sports is back.

My main concern is ASU oline holding up against that awesome front 7 you have. I think if Skattebo is shut down ASU is toast. Texas wins this game 8 or 9 times out of ten. ASU will have to be able to run for 150 at a minimum and win the turnover battle to have a shot.
 

Lorenzo

Registered User
Joined
Feb 3, 2007
Posts
10,480
Reaction score
5,358
Location
Vegas
Manning throws an absolutely beautiful long ball. BUT he has shown he would much rather throw the long one every time instead of reading the defense to see what the best balance between yardage and chance of success. He also rarely decides that he doesn't have a throw and has shown a tendency to try to fit it into bad coverage. The news coverage makes Ewers sound awful sometimes, but he has really been steady through bad and good games. I suspect Manning is as likely to lose the game as win it, while Ewers does a job over leveraging overall talent of the team by letting the defense do its job or letting the RBs do their job.

Historically, UT has often tried to wear a defense down via ToP. UT has almost always had excellent backups and rarely has much of a drop off in quality, while opponents often have hd a more significant drop; however, in the era of NIL, I am not sure that is the case anymore and ToP is more important than ever. The really good backups move on as starters elsewhere.
Agree on manning. He’s not the better option today. But if he needs to play he can still be effective.
Thank you. Aggie/ASU alum here. Even though the first game didn't go the way we wanted, it is awesome that the greatest rivalry in college sports is back.

My main concern is ASU oline holding up against that awesome front 7 you have. I think if Skattebo is shut down ASU is toast. Texas wins this game 8 or 9 times out of ten. ASU will have to be able to run for 150 at a minimum and win the turnover battle to have a shot.
That game at Kyle field this year was something else. It was cool to see that and Texas go back to Fayetnam.
 

AZCB34

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 23, 2002
Posts
14,869
Reaction score
7,115
Location
Mesa, AZ
Thank you. Aggie/ASU alum here. Even though the first game didn't go the way we wanted, it is awesome that the greatest rivalry in college sports is back.

My main concern is ASU oline holding up against that awesome front 7 you have. I think if Skattebo is shut down ASU is toast. Texas wins this game 8 or 9 times out of ten. ASU will have to be able to run for 150 at a minimum and win the turnover battle to have a shot.
I think there should be concern with the ASU DL holding up against the Texas OL as well. ASU appears to be at a huge disadvantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball.

This feels like the 1980 USA v USSR hockey game
 

Latest posts

Staff online

Forum statistics

Threads
556,471
Posts
5,436,045
Members
6,330
Latest member
Trainwreck20
Top