UFC Fight Night 254 predictions: Who has edge in Marvin Vettori-Roman Dolidze rematch?

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The UFC wraps up a three-week homestand this week with a former middleweight title challenger in the headlining spot.

UFC Fight Night 254 (pay-per-view, ESPNews/Disney+, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos​


Records: Choi (11-7 MMA, 4-6 UFC), Vallejos (14-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)

Past five: Choi 1-4, Vallejos 4-1

Division: Featherweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Choi +320, Vallejos -410

Junkie pick results: Vallejos 11, Choi 0

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Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro​


Records: Nurgozhay (10-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC), Ribeiro (16-7 MMA, 1-2 UFC)

Past five: Nurgozhay 5-0, Ribeiro 3-2

Division: Light heavyweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Nurgozhay -290, Ribeiro +235

Junkie pick results: Nurgozhay 11, Ribeiro 0

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Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson​


Records: Blackshear (15-7-1 MMA, 3-3-1 UFC), Gibson (22-10 MMA, 3-5 UFC)

Past five: Blackshear 3-2, Gibson 3-2

Division: Bantamweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Blackshear -360, Gibson +285

Junkie pick results: Blackshear 9, Gibson 2

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Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh​


Records: Hernandez (15-8 MMA, 7-7 UFC), Holobaugh (22-8 MMA, 2-5 UFC)

Past five: Hernandez 2-3, Holobaugh 4-1

Division: Lightweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Hernandez -205, Holobaugh +170

Junkie pick results: Hernandez 10, Holobaugh 1

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Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Chidi Njokuani​


Records: Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1 MMA, 11-4-1 UFC), Njokuani (24-10 MMA, 4-3 UFC)

Past five: Zaleski dos Santos 3-1-1, Njokuani 2-3

Division: Welterweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Zaleski dos Santos -175, Njokuani +145

Junkie pick results: Zaleski dos Santos 9, Njokuani 2

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Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze​


Records: Vettori (19-7-1 MMA, 9-5-1 UFC), Dolidze (14-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)

Past five: Vettori 2-3, Dolidze 3-2

Division: Middleweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 03.14.25): Vettori -140, Dolidze +120

Junkie pick results: Dolidze 8, Vettori 3

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Preliminary card picks​


Although they don't count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann: Cortes-Acosta 8, Spann 3
  • A.J. Cunningham vs. Su Young You: You 11, Cunningham 0
  • Josias Musasa vs. Carlos Vera: Musasa 11, Vera 0
  • Sam Hughes vs. Stephanie Luciano: Luciano 10, Hughes 1
  • Daniel Barez vs. Andre Lima: Lima 10, Barez 1
  • Priscila Cachoeira vs. Josiane Nunes: Nunes 7, Cachoeira 4
  • Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice: Duben 9, Judice 2

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Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Vettori
vs.

Dolidze
Njokuani
vs.

Zaleski dos Santos
Hernandez
vs.

Holobaugh
Blackshear
vs.

Gibson
Nurgozhay
vs.

Ribeiro
Choi
vs.

Vallejos
MMA Junkie readers'
consensus picks

24-16

Vettori

(52%)

Zaleski dos Santos

(65%)

Hernandez

(54%)

Blackshear

(80%)

Nurgozhay

(77%)

Vallejos

(80%)
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun

29-11

2024 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Nolan King
@mma_kings

27-13

2023 Champion

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Holobaugh

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Brian Garcia
@thegoze

25-15

2017 Champion

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn

23-17

2014 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Gibson

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Ken Hathaway
@1khathaway

23-17

2017, 2022, 2024 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze

22-18

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge

22-18

Dolidze

Njokuani

Hernandez

Gibson

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Matt Erickson
@MattE

22-18

Dolidze

Njokuani

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv

21-19

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Simon Samano
@SJSamano

21-19

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells

18-22

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC Fight Night 254.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC Fight Night 254 predictions: Who has edge in Marvin Vettori-Roman Dolidze rematch?


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