Valley Real Estate

Luciano

ASFN Lifer
Joined
Dec 24, 2017
Posts
4,695
Reaction score
4,890
Location
Los Angeles
No sympathy from me on this.
Opendoor , Cerberus Capital Management LP and others big corporate landlords lost 58,000 apiece and local flippers sold homes for 20% above their purchase price for once.
 

dscher

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 3, 2008
Posts
13,246
Reaction score
8,288
Location
Mesa, AZ
Opendoor , Cerberus Capital Management LP and others big corporate landlords lost 58,000 apiece and local flippers sold homes for 20% above their purchase price for once.
Definitely not a surprise inside one of the biggest speculative asset bubbles ever created...
 
OP
OP
Dback Jon

Dback Jon

Doing it My Way
Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 14, 2002
Posts
81,964
Reaction score
41,729
Location
South Scottsdale
Tottie's Asian Bistro, in the Shopping Center at Thomas and Hayden, just closed their doors - landlord doubled their rent from 10K to 20K a month, making the margin not worth it. Tottie decided to mostly retire, but helping out some at the other Tottie's (which she doesn't own anymore)
 

Yuma

Suns are my Kryptonite!
Joined
Jan 3, 2003
Posts
22,677
Reaction score
12,428
Location
Laveen, AZ
Tottie's Asian Bistro, in the Shopping Center at Thomas and Hayden, just closed their doors - landlord doubled their rent from 10K to 20K a month, making the margin not worth it. Tottie decided to mostly retire, but helping out some at the other Tottie's (which she doesn't own anymore)
That's outrageous rent. Let us know if anyone else moves in that rate.
 

MaoTosiFanClub

The problem
Joined
Oct 7, 2003
Posts
12,721
Reaction score
6,569
Location
Scottsdale, AZ
Tottie's Asian Bistro, in the Shopping Center at Thomas and Hayden, just closed their doors - landlord doubled their rent from 10K to 20K a month, making the margin not worth it. Tottie decided to mostly retire, but helping out some at the other Tottie's (which she doesn't own anymore)
No clue how long her previous lease was in place for but likely was signed 10+ years ago. Not surprised rent has doubled as landlord’s operating costs probably doubled as well over that time.
 

Yuma

Suns are my Kryptonite!
Joined
Jan 3, 2003
Posts
22,677
Reaction score
12,428
Location
Laveen, AZ
No clue how long her previous lease was in place for but likely was signed 10+ years ago. Not surprised rent has doubled as landlord’s operating costs probably doubled as well over that time.
It's so funny, half the office space in town is vacant, even some store fronts. But even still, lots of retail space IS doubling rent!
 

MaoTosiFanClub

The problem
Joined
Oct 7, 2003
Posts
12,721
Reaction score
6,569
Location
Scottsdale, AZ
It's so funny, half the office space in town is vacant, even some store fronts. But even still, lots of retail space IS doubling rent!
Yeah I don’t want to speculate where this whole office thing goes but it won’t be pretty. Retail for the most part is doing fine especially restaurants. The funny thing is the consensus bet five years ago was that retail was finished (Amazon) yet here we are.
 

jf-08

chohan
Administrator
Super Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 15, 2002
Posts
27,786
Reaction score
23,550
Location
Eye in the Sky
In south Chandler is crazy how many industrial parks are being built.
 

Folster

ASFN Icon
Banned from P+R
Joined
Jun 23, 2005
Posts
16,820
Reaction score
7,314
Huckster

xc_hide_links_from_guests_guests_error_hide_media

I can see it go either way. We had the asset inflation compounded by higher rates, but the housing supply shortage could create a situation where prices don't really fall much if at all.

If you're ready to buy a home and you can do so without stretching yourself too thin financially, I can see the argument to buy now and not wait for a correction which could be years from now or never.
 

Devilmaycare

King of Technicalities
Administrator
Moderator
Joined
Jan 5, 2019
Posts
7,903
Reaction score
12,039
Location
Scottsdale
Something has to give in the housing market. This isn't sustainable. I really don't know how the average Joe does it in this market. I'm looking to move about a year from now and it has me concerned with having a senior software dev salary never mind if I was making the overall average. The poor or even lower middle class have no chance.

xc_hide_links_from_guests_guests_error_hide_media
 
OP
OP
Dback Jon

Dback Jon

Doing it My Way
Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 14, 2002
Posts
81,964
Reaction score
41,729
Location
South Scottsdale
Mortgage for a 15-year is 6 1/2 and dropping.

30-year 7.25%, which is below the historical average.
 

Yuma

Suns are my Kryptonite!
Joined
Jan 3, 2003
Posts
22,677
Reaction score
12,428
Location
Laveen, AZ
Mortgage for a 15-year is 6 1/2 and dropping.

30-year 7.25%, which is below the historical average.
I remember my parents buying a house when mortgage rates were in the double digits. To me and my wife. 7.25% still seems cheap to us. The real problem is home valuations are so damned high! A shack in Maricopa County is worth $250K if you can find one that cheap! LOL!
 
OP
OP
Dback Jon

Dback Jon

Doing it My Way
Moderator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 14, 2002
Posts
81,964
Reaction score
41,729
Location
South Scottsdale
I remember my parents buying a house when mortgage rates were in the double digits. To me and my wife. 7.25% still seems cheap to us. The real problem is home valuations are so damned high! A shack in Maricopa County is worth $250K if you can find one that cheap! LOL!
And that is a different story versus interest rates. After the housing collapse and 2008 a lot of building stopped and never has really caught up since. Combine with the number of people pouring into the valley. It equates to high prices.

There are still plenty of affordable houses in the country just not in Arizona
 

Yuma

Suns are my Kryptonite!
Joined
Jan 3, 2003
Posts
22,677
Reaction score
12,428
Location
Laveen, AZ
And that is a different story versus interest rates. After the housing collapse and 2008 a lot of building stopped and never has really caught up since. Combine with the number of people pouring into the valley. It equates to high prices.

There are still plenty of affordable houses in the country just not in Arizona
We were looking at housing prices across the USA at my old job, and if you can take midwestern winters, you can see they are practically giving away homes. We also saw in other threads some countries are paying people to move into vacant housing they have in their countries. Places like Ireland, Japan, etc.
 

dscher

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 3, 2008
Posts
13,246
Reaction score
8,288
Location
Mesa, AZ
Something has to give in the housing market. This isn't sustainable. I really don't know how the average Joe does it in this market. I'm looking to move about a year from now and it has me concerned with having a senior software dev salary never mind if I was making the overall average. The poor or even lower middle class have no chance.

xc_hide_links_from_guests_guests_error_hide_media
Rates WILL crash.

That will fix things.

Won't be long.
 

Latest posts

Staff online

Forum statistics

Threads
553,542
Posts
5,407,903
Members
6,317
Latest member
Denmark
Top