Vegas has Carolina a 10-point favorite

[Crazy Canuck]

http://www.weather.com/outlook/events/nfl/gameforecast/28299?from=NFL_teamsched&eventid=290378

Hi 52 Low of 35.

40% chance of rain.


If the Cardinals are affected by that kind of weather, I just don't know what to say.

Precisely!

 

[jefftheshark]

The money line is +380. Now that's a bet worth making.

Oh, and once again, this isn't "Vegas" disrespecting us. It's the general public that doesn't bet on the Cardinals unless the line is distorted.


JTS

 

[conraddobler]

Technically the rain can open up a passing game if if's not a driving rain or anything, the other team dosen't know where you are going, if you do it right they can't cut fast enough to react to what you do and you're more likely to be open.

Warner wears gloves already.

I would prefer no rain but you can't hope for better weather than that outside this time of year, it could be a lot worse.

 

[conraddobler]

The money line is +380. Now that's a bet worth making.

Oh, and once again, this isn't "Vegas" disrespecting us. It's the general public that doesn't bet on the Cardinals unless the line is distorted.


JTS

Tis true, 90% of the time it's only about getting the bets to even out, if too many bet on one side you're offsides yourself if that team does win you have no offsetting bets to pay the winners with.

If I set the line at 7 and absolutely no one bets on the Cardinals, I'm going to have to come out of my pocket for huge sums to pay people if Carolina wins by 10 and one thing Vegas isn't about is betting themselves on games they mainly want the juice not a huge bet one way or another and if you don't set the line right that's in effect what you just did, made a huge lopsided bet yourself.

 

[Lorenzo]

I would put it at 3 and 1/2 considering the last meeting was close. but there is a reason why the panthers are favored here. the cards just need to rellish their underdog role and play their A game. then they will have a good shot in the fourth qtr.

 

[Covert Rain]

We have a horrid record against the east coast. Carolina is no stiff. 10 Points is a reasonable spread IMO.

 

[NeverSayDieFan]

Better rain than S*N*O*W....

Here's what I see:

PLUSES:
The Cards have some confidence having played Carolina close earlier.

Fitz' played at Pitt and is a BEAST in good/or bad weather.

Edge will contribute having also played well in adverse conditions.

The "D" discovered its' aggressiveness last week. ALOT of knock-out "hits".

NEGATIVES

HOME field for the Panthers where they are undefeated.

Kurt is a MUCH better QB in a perfect-setting, and he's admitted he doesn't like to hang around all day waiting for a game.

Can a warm-weather team be mentally tough enough to handle the cold?


INTANGIBLES

Will our anger at being dis-respected carry-over to the Carolina game??

Will Early Doucet step up and contribute 75+ yards in the passing game if "Q" can't go??

Will J.J. Arrington get loose on some down-field screens??

GO CARDS! SHOCK THE WORLD!! WE BELIEVE!!!

 

[wembley88]

we can definitely beat beat them if the D show up again

 

[gusmahler]

http://www.weather.com/outlook/events/nfl/gameforecast/28299?from=NFL_teamsched&eventid=290378

Hi 52 Low of 35.

40% chance of rain.


If the Cardinals are affected by that kind of weather, I just don't know what to say.

That was the weather in Phoenix during the week of Xmas. It's not that cold.

That said, after living in Phoenix for 8 years, I find 52 and rain to be freezing.

 

[Cbus cardsfan]

Bet the cards +10 then wait for it to lower than take the Panthers - whatever it is (hopefully 6.5). Then if it lands in th emiddle you win big. Its a secret of the pros.

Guy did it in a superbowl a few years back bet 1 million on both sides and got both.

There's no way the line drops 3.5 points without a very significant injury. Do you realize how much more money would have to be bet on Arizona for it to drop that much? The guy who set the line would be fired if that happened. The object is to get as close to an even split on both sides. There's a slight chance that it goes down to 8.5 and that would be a huge move. So, in your scenario you'd be betting 2 million dollars on the Panthers to win by 9 and 9 only. Otherwise, you split. If a guy did win by doing that, it was a complete fluke and i'm sure he's lost alot more if he bet that way consistently.

Here's a little tidbit for bettors. In the playoffs just bet who you think will win and forget the line. The winner covers the line about 80% of the time. It's been like that for years.Go back and look it up. This past weekend the winning team was 4-0 against the spread. The hard thing is picking the winner. You'd have been 2-2 betting just favorites or just dogs.

 

[Rivercard]

Here's a little tidbit for bettors. In the playoffs just bet who you think will win and forget the line. The winner covers the line about 80% of the time. It's been like that for years.Go back and look it up. This past weekend the winning team was 4-0 against the spread. The hard thing is picking the winner. You'd have been 2-2 betting just favorites or just dogs.

Yeah, but short spreads probably account for that more than anything. Last weekend all 4 lines were three points or less. A 10 point spread seems unusually wide for a playoff game. The other 3 games next weekend feature spreads of less than 7 points.

 

[Rivercard]

There's no way the line drops 3.5 points without a very significant injury.

Boldin's status makes a big difference. IMHO getting 10 points is generous if he's healthy but I probably won't touch the bet at anything under 10 if he can't play.

 

[Cbus cardsfan]

Yeah, but short spreads probably account for that more than anything. Last weekend all 4 lines were three points or less. A 10 point spread seems unusually wide for a playoff game. The other 3 games next weekend feature spreads of less than 7 points.

It's not just this year. I read that fact somewhere about 8 years ago and i've been paying attention every year and it seems to always be the case. You are right that short spreads are a factor because there's two good team going against each other. But even on big spreads it has been the case about 80%. Like i said, i wish it was that easy to just pick a winner.I tend to pick a bunch of losers . Excpet for last week, i told everyone i know to throw everything they could on the Cards. NO way they were losing to Atlanta.