Mitch
Crawled Through 5 FB Fields
Clearly the plan this off-season has been focused primarily on keeping last year's roster intact, as much as that is possible. From the tenders that were offered to 3rd year players such as Hyphen and Rashad Johnson---to the re-signings of T Levi Brown, T D'Anthony Batiste, WR Early Doucet, K Jay Feely, LS Mike Leach and P Dave Zastudil---to younger players such as T D.J. Young and WR Jaymar Johnson---to awarding of the $7M roster bonus to QB Kevin Kolb---what the Cardinals have done is stayed in house.
The two UFA signings of note, G/T Adam Snyder and CB William Gay were coupled respectively with decisions to release RG Rex Hadnot and to decline matching the Dolphins' $5-6M per year deal for CB Richard Marshall.
The belief is that having won 7 of the last 9 games with this roster---and with the luxury this time around of having a full off-season training regimen---that the Cardinals can continue to build on continuity and momentum.
Only time will tell whether this was the best and correct strategy---
A tantalizing reality in contrast is that New England Patriots, fresh off their 5th Super Bowl appearance in the last decade---found the means to sign 12 new free agents, in addition to their annual manipulation of the NFL Draft to the point where this year, after the Cardinals pick at #13, the Patriots have 4 of the next 49 picks---thus the Patriots will have already selected 4 players before the Cardinals pick again at #80...unless, of course, the Patriots elect to trade one or two of the picks for future 1st and 2nd rounders.
Another tantalizing reality is that despite the focus on keeping their own players---it looks like the Cardinals are heading into the draft still very unsettled at the starting RT, #2 WR, and SOLB positions.
I guess the most significant question is---do the coaches already believe they have answers (short and/or long term) at those positions? For example, are the coaches seriously considering starting D'Anthony Batiste at tackle or guard (switching Snyder to T), starting Andre Roberts or Early Doucet at #2 WR, and starting Stewart Bradley at SOLB (or switching Sam Acho over with O'Brien Schofield starting at the WOLB)?
The Cardinals typically do not like to start rookies---and realistically only the #13 pick is going to have a decent chance to start...and possibly the #80.
So what do you think the Cardinals' rationale is?
Here's a position by position hunch:
QB: While this is being billed as an open competition, the financial commitment the Cardinals have made to Kevin Kolb would suggest that he will be the starter. If he falters early in the year as he did last year---how many games would it take before he gets the hook? Hopefully this time around Kolb gets the team off to a great start and the situation is moot---but, on the other hand if Kolb falters, let's hope the team isn't 1-6 again before a change is made.
Draft considerations: late round pick or UCFA...or so one would think.
RB: Status quo all the way.
Draft considerations: mid to late round pick, if at all?
FB: Status quo.
Draft considerations: very doubtful.
WR: It's interesting that on the first day of free agency the Cardinals were hosting WR Chaz Schilens---to no avail---and there has been no interest in any other free agent. Perhaps, the attempt to add Schilens was out of concern for possibly losing Early Doucet---and once Doucet re-signed the need was satisfied.
However, I believe that because the Cardinals have made little effort to try to sign a legit #2 WR this off-season, this puts a WR squarely in play at #13 (Michael Floyd, Kendall Wright or Stephen Hill) or if not there certainly at #80 (A.J. Jenkins, Ryan Broyles, T.Y. Hilton, Jeff Fuller, Marvin McNutt, Nick Toon, Dwight Jones, Greg Childs, Marvin Jones, etc.).
T: I think the Cardinals do not intend to move Levi Brown to RT...and never have. He is staying at LT where he showed significant improvement the second half of last season---and they are paying him as such. The plan at this point seems very simple---and it is a give away---we are either going to see one of the following three players taken at #13: RG David DeCastro, Stanford, RT Riley Reiff, Iowa or RG/RT Cordy Glenn, Georgia...and this is probably the order of preference. if DeCastro is the pick, Adam Snyder kicks out to RT---Reiff would start at RT with Snyder remaining at RG---and with Glenn the coaches could see where he most naturally fits, either at RG or at RT and put Snyder next to him in either case.
Yet---what if the Cardinals take WR Michael Floyd at #13?---then the #80 pick HAS to be a guard or tackle for the right side (Amini Silatolu, Midwestern St., Brandon Brooks, Miami (OH), Brandon Washington, Miami, James Brown, Troy, Zebrie Sanders, Florida St., Jeff Allen, Illinois, Bobbie Massie, Mississippi, Matt McCants, UAB, Mitchell Schwartz, California, Brandon Mosely, Auburn, Kelechi Osemele, Iowa St., Nate Potter, Boise St., Levy Adcock, Oklahoma St.)
TE: Status quo.
Draft considerations: Only TE Coby Fleener, if the coaches feel he is the game changer they need---but they would have to trade down from #13 one would assume.
NT: Status Quo.
Draft considerations: little to none.
DE: Status Quo, especially if they re-sign Vonnie Holliday, to keep their 3 man sub package of Nick Eason, David Carter and Vonnie Holliday. And if Holliday elects to retire, the coaches like Ronald Talley.
Draft considerations: possibly a late round pick to develop on the PS.
ILB: Status Quo. It is significant that the Cardinals are sticking with Stewart Bradley---and they continue to like Paris Lenon as the starter. This, imo, rules out Luke Keuchly at #13 due to other priorities, even though he may be the BPA if he is still on the board.
Draft considerations: I think that if Emmanuel Acho or James-Michael Johnson is on the board at #151 (5th round)...the Cardinals could make a move there---but not before.
OLB: The Cardinals are going to make one of their first three picks (#13, #80, #112) on an OLB. If Melvin Ingram, South Carolina is surprisingly still on the board at #13---he's the one pass rusher they would take there---but ONLY if DeCastro and/or Floyd have been taken.
The most likely scenario is with the #112 pick. They picked a 4th round gem in Sam Acho last year and used the 4th round pick on O'Brien Schofield the year before and i see them trying to doing it again. The sleepers I see here are Jaquies Smith, 6-3, 255, Missouri or Jake Bequette, 6-4, 264, Arkansas.
The Wild Card is Shea McLellin, 6-3, 248, Boise St. But, he is quickly moving up draft boards so much so that Mel Kiper in his 4.0 Mock today has McLellin going to the Patriots at #27---and I could see them making that pick because McLellin is relentless.
CB: Status quo now that William Gay has been signed.
Draft consideration: mid to late round is possible.
S: Status quo if the Cardinals sign James Sanders, which I think they will. This likely rules out Mark Barron at #13---but you never know because if there is player on defense in this draft who epitomizes what Ray Horton wants it's Barron.
ST: Status quo, with Feely, Leach and Zastudil re-signed.
Draft consideration: possibly a punter like Bryan Anger, California with one of the two 6th round picks, who would have a legitimate chance to unseat Zastudil.
Summary:
Cardinals' Board at #13:
1. David DeCastro, G, Stanford
2. Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
3. Melvin Ingram, OLB, South Carolina.
One of these three will be the newest Cardinal.
If DeCastro is the pick:
Cardinals' Board at #80:
1. Shea McLellin, OLB, Boise St.
2. Juron Criner, WR, Arizona
3. A.J. Jenkins, Illinois
If Floyd is the pick:
At #80:
1. Shea McLellin, OLB, Boise St.
2. Bobbie Massey, RT, Misissippi
3. James Brown, G/T, Troy
4. Jeff Allen, G/T, Illinois
The two UFA signings of note, G/T Adam Snyder and CB William Gay were coupled respectively with decisions to release RG Rex Hadnot and to decline matching the Dolphins' $5-6M per year deal for CB Richard Marshall.
The belief is that having won 7 of the last 9 games with this roster---and with the luxury this time around of having a full off-season training regimen---that the Cardinals can continue to build on continuity and momentum.
Only time will tell whether this was the best and correct strategy---
A tantalizing reality in contrast is that New England Patriots, fresh off their 5th Super Bowl appearance in the last decade---found the means to sign 12 new free agents, in addition to their annual manipulation of the NFL Draft to the point where this year, after the Cardinals pick at #13, the Patriots have 4 of the next 49 picks---thus the Patriots will have already selected 4 players before the Cardinals pick again at #80...unless, of course, the Patriots elect to trade one or two of the picks for future 1st and 2nd rounders.
Another tantalizing reality is that despite the focus on keeping their own players---it looks like the Cardinals are heading into the draft still very unsettled at the starting RT, #2 WR, and SOLB positions.
I guess the most significant question is---do the coaches already believe they have answers (short and/or long term) at those positions? For example, are the coaches seriously considering starting D'Anthony Batiste at tackle or guard (switching Snyder to T), starting Andre Roberts or Early Doucet at #2 WR, and starting Stewart Bradley at SOLB (or switching Sam Acho over with O'Brien Schofield starting at the WOLB)?
The Cardinals typically do not like to start rookies---and realistically only the #13 pick is going to have a decent chance to start...and possibly the #80.
So what do you think the Cardinals' rationale is?
Here's a position by position hunch:
QB: While this is being billed as an open competition, the financial commitment the Cardinals have made to Kevin Kolb would suggest that he will be the starter. If he falters early in the year as he did last year---how many games would it take before he gets the hook? Hopefully this time around Kolb gets the team off to a great start and the situation is moot---but, on the other hand if Kolb falters, let's hope the team isn't 1-6 again before a change is made.
Draft considerations: late round pick or UCFA...or so one would think.
RB: Status quo all the way.
Draft considerations: mid to late round pick, if at all?
FB: Status quo.
Draft considerations: very doubtful.
WR: It's interesting that on the first day of free agency the Cardinals were hosting WR Chaz Schilens---to no avail---and there has been no interest in any other free agent. Perhaps, the attempt to add Schilens was out of concern for possibly losing Early Doucet---and once Doucet re-signed the need was satisfied.
However, I believe that because the Cardinals have made little effort to try to sign a legit #2 WR this off-season, this puts a WR squarely in play at #13 (Michael Floyd, Kendall Wright or Stephen Hill) or if not there certainly at #80 (A.J. Jenkins, Ryan Broyles, T.Y. Hilton, Jeff Fuller, Marvin McNutt, Nick Toon, Dwight Jones, Greg Childs, Marvin Jones, etc.).
T: I think the Cardinals do not intend to move Levi Brown to RT...and never have. He is staying at LT where he showed significant improvement the second half of last season---and they are paying him as such. The plan at this point seems very simple---and it is a give away---we are either going to see one of the following three players taken at #13: RG David DeCastro, Stanford, RT Riley Reiff, Iowa or RG/RT Cordy Glenn, Georgia...and this is probably the order of preference. if DeCastro is the pick, Adam Snyder kicks out to RT---Reiff would start at RT with Snyder remaining at RG---and with Glenn the coaches could see where he most naturally fits, either at RG or at RT and put Snyder next to him in either case.
Yet---what if the Cardinals take WR Michael Floyd at #13?---then the #80 pick HAS to be a guard or tackle for the right side (Amini Silatolu, Midwestern St., Brandon Brooks, Miami (OH), Brandon Washington, Miami, James Brown, Troy, Zebrie Sanders, Florida St., Jeff Allen, Illinois, Bobbie Massie, Mississippi, Matt McCants, UAB, Mitchell Schwartz, California, Brandon Mosely, Auburn, Kelechi Osemele, Iowa St., Nate Potter, Boise St., Levy Adcock, Oklahoma St.)
TE: Status quo.
Draft considerations: Only TE Coby Fleener, if the coaches feel he is the game changer they need---but they would have to trade down from #13 one would assume.
NT: Status Quo.
Draft considerations: little to none.
DE: Status Quo, especially if they re-sign Vonnie Holliday, to keep their 3 man sub package of Nick Eason, David Carter and Vonnie Holliday. And if Holliday elects to retire, the coaches like Ronald Talley.
Draft considerations: possibly a late round pick to develop on the PS.
ILB: Status Quo. It is significant that the Cardinals are sticking with Stewart Bradley---and they continue to like Paris Lenon as the starter. This, imo, rules out Luke Keuchly at #13 due to other priorities, even though he may be the BPA if he is still on the board.
Draft considerations: I think that if Emmanuel Acho or James-Michael Johnson is on the board at #151 (5th round)...the Cardinals could make a move there---but not before.
OLB: The Cardinals are going to make one of their first three picks (#13, #80, #112) on an OLB. If Melvin Ingram, South Carolina is surprisingly still on the board at #13---he's the one pass rusher they would take there---but ONLY if DeCastro and/or Floyd have been taken.
The most likely scenario is with the #112 pick. They picked a 4th round gem in Sam Acho last year and used the 4th round pick on O'Brien Schofield the year before and i see them trying to doing it again. The sleepers I see here are Jaquies Smith, 6-3, 255, Missouri or Jake Bequette, 6-4, 264, Arkansas.
The Wild Card is Shea McLellin, 6-3, 248, Boise St. But, he is quickly moving up draft boards so much so that Mel Kiper in his 4.0 Mock today has McLellin going to the Patriots at #27---and I could see them making that pick because McLellin is relentless.
CB: Status quo now that William Gay has been signed.
Draft consideration: mid to late round is possible.
S: Status quo if the Cardinals sign James Sanders, which I think they will. This likely rules out Mark Barron at #13---but you never know because if there is player on defense in this draft who epitomizes what Ray Horton wants it's Barron.
ST: Status quo, with Feely, Leach and Zastudil re-signed.
Draft consideration: possibly a punter like Bryan Anger, California with one of the two 6th round picks, who would have a legitimate chance to unseat Zastudil.
Summary:
Cardinals' Board at #13:
1. David DeCastro, G, Stanford
2. Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
3. Melvin Ingram, OLB, South Carolina.
One of these three will be the newest Cardinal.
If DeCastro is the pick:
Cardinals' Board at #80:
1. Shea McLellin, OLB, Boise St.
2. Juron Criner, WR, Arizona
3. A.J. Jenkins, Illinois
If Floyd is the pick:
At #80:
1. Shea McLellin, OLB, Boise St.
2. Bobbie Massey, RT, Misissippi
3. James Brown, G/T, Troy
4. Jeff Allen, G/T, Illinois
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