Wild Card Tie-Breaker Scenarios

[TheCardinal]

Interestingly, the Rams' only path to MISS the playoffs would be for:

LAR with 2 losses (9-7)
TB wins at least once (at least 10 wins)
CHI wins both games (9-7)
ARI finishes EXACTLY at 9-7 with loss to SF and win to LAR

With the 9-7 tie (CHI/ARI/LAR), we would be ahead of the Rams, covering them up. We would then lose the tie-breaker to CHI giving them the 6-seed, then take the 7-seed for ourselves, leaving the Rams out. However, if we were to beat SF and go 10-6, the final wild-card would go to LAR over CHI on H2H.

Not yet confirmed, but I suspect the Rams would clinch the playoffs if we BEAT the 49ers next week, among other possibilities.

 

[ajcardfan]

We need SEA to beat LA next week. then GB will have reason to win week 17.

Or, GB can lose to Tenn. Right?

 

[TheCardinal]

Or, GB can lose to Tenn. Right?

Yes. The tie-breakers actually get a bit messy should GB lose to TEN, but YES, that is the bottom line.

Green Bay loss OR Seattle win, in Week 16, to force an effort by GB in Week 17.

 

[ajcardfan]

Yes. The tie-breakers actually get a bit messy should GB lose to TEN, but YES, that is the bottom line.

Green Bay loss OR Seattle win, in Week 16, to force an effort by GB in Week 17.

I like Tennessee's chances to win that game.

 

[dscher]

When you’re in control of your own destiny you’ve earned the right to not look in the rear view mirror. Focus on the 49ers .

Bingo

 

[Cheesebeef]

Yes. The tie-breakers actually get a bit messy should GB lose to TEN, but YES, that is the bottom line.

Green Bay loss OR Seattle win, in Week 16, to force an effort by GB in Week 17.

Man we need that bad. I don’t see any way we beat the Rams and I just want to extend football with juice for as long as we can living through this crap storm in the world.

 

[Buckybird]

It sure does appear to me that the only way we get into the playoffs is to win out & finish 10-6.

Let’s be real about this. The Jags aren’t beating the Bears & have no interest in competing with anyone now, which puts the Bears at 8 wins. The Packers are most likely going to have to lose to Tennessee next Sunday night to avoid a week 17 game against the Bears that means nothing to them.

just my 2 cents on what we're in for. A tough task imo. Let’s beat the Niners because they’re still scraping their asses off & playing hard

As Russ said a few weeks back, this season sure does feel like 1984 all over again. I sure don’t hope our season comes down to a long FG because I have no confidence in Nugent making anything over 40 yards. Hope Neil O’SHANKOGHUE doesn’t tear its ugly head once again lol

 

[JosiahLee]

It’s actually terrifying to know Chicago holds all tie breakers over us. That means even if we can find a way to win against the 9ers (Division games are NEVER easy) We will likely new going into the Rams game with a must win mentality.

 

[Buckybird]

The Saints have no gimmies against the Vikes. Let’s hope they win.

Most likely the Cards will have to win out. Ugh. The Lambs losing to the Jets didn’t help our cause

We may have to win out. Chicago goes to Jax and should win. The upside is the saints should win next week meaning the pack would want to win in the last game against the bears to get the lone bye in the nfc.

 

[DVontel]

It sure does appear to me that the only way we get into the playoffs is to win out & finish 10-6.

Let’s be real about this. The Jags aren’t beating the Bears & have no interest in competing with anyone now, which puts the Bears at 8 wins. The Packers are most likely going to have to lose to Tennessee next Sunday night to avoid a week 17 game against the Bears that means nothing to them.

just my 2 cents on what we're in for. A tough task imo. Let’s beat the Niners because they’re still scraping their asses off & playing hard

As Russ said a few weeks back, this season sure does feel like 1984 all over again. I sure don’t hope our season comes down to a long FG because I have no confidence in Nugent making anything over 40 yards. Hope Neil O’SHANKOGHUE doesn’t tear its ugly head once again lol

Such weird timing to say this when the hapless Jets went into LA & beat the Rams.

 

[GatorAZ]

Such weird timing to say this when the hapless Jets went into LA & beat the Rams.

Players don’t want to be part of 0-16. Jags got their win out of the way early lol.

 

[jmt]

They are the Bears though.

 

[Buckybird]

Such weird timing to say this when the hapless Jets went into LA & beat the Rams.

What Gator said. Jax will get smoked

 

[AZ Native]

The Saints have no gimmies against the Vikes. Let’s hope they win.

Most likely the Cards will have to win out. Ugh. The Lambs losing to the Jets didn’t help our cause

My neighbor a Bear's fan says they can lose to anyone. We'll see.

 

[Buckybird]

My neighbor a Bear's fan says they can lose to anyone. We'll see.

Says a Cardinals fan. Lol.
Jerry we’re the same way

 

[TheCardinal]

Also:

If the Cardinals win out to go 10-6, we’d be no worse than the 6-seed, catching either LA or SEA for second-place in the West. If TB then loses at least once, we’d be the 5-seed (or could instead still catch New Orleans as a wild-card, though that is a longer-shot).

 

[football karma]

let me see if i got this right-

Cardinal Fan Rooting Interests next week in order of importance:

obvs: Cards over SF

then:

JAX over CHI

then:

NO over MIN
DET over TB
TEN over GB

LA over SEA

i think that last one can go either way, but if the Cards need to beat the Rams the final week, then i want LA coming off a win with the playoffs clinched

 

[Harry]

I posted this on a thread Sunday. If the Pack wins next week, they will likely rest their best players against the Bears. That means the Bears likely win out. The only way the Cards make the playoffs is to win out themselves, which means beating the Rams. Since the Cards look like they bring a knife to a gunfight every time they play the Rams, things don’t look good. It also concerns me that the Cards might look ahead to that game and get knocked off by the Niners. The Cards will need to up their game if they’re going to extend their season.

 

[Buckybird]

Exactly what I said last night. It’s going to be a tough road.

Oh, how those 3 games we could’ve won come back to haunt us. The Pats game, clearly sticks in my gut. Ugh. No way we should’ve lost that game

 

[TaylorSwift]

This team should have never been in this position to begin with. But when you have a young coach, you gotta expect these sorts of grinds, hopefully they pull through.

 

[football karma]

if NO and/or SEA wins next week

GB cant afford to lose against CHI because they would lose the playoff bye

 

[CanadianCardsFan]

if NO and/or SEA wins next week

GB cant afford to lose against CHI because they would lose the playoff bye

Correct... There could be more to it, but I believe it boils down to this:

Packers Win Conference and Bye:
GB Beats Ten
GB Beats Chi

Saints Win Conference and Bye:
Saints Beat Min
Saints Beat Car
GB Loses to one of Ten or Chi

Seahawks Win Conference and Bye:
Seahawks Beat Rams
Seahawks Beat SF
Saints Lose to one of Min or Car
Packers Lose to one of Ten or Chi

 

[Shane]

Cardinals can’t blame anyone for not making it but themselves.... Should have beat the Lions, Dolphins and Pats and they choked. It’s nobodies fault but our OWN.

 

[MadCardDisease]

Cardinals can’t blame anyone for not making it but themselves.... Should have beat the Lions, Dolphins and Pats and they choked. It’s nobodies fault but our OWN.

So true!

 

[WhyAlwaysMe]

Correct... There could be more to it, but I believe it boils down to this:

Packers Win Conference and Bye:
GB Beats Ten
GB Beats Chi

Saints Win Conference and Bye:
Saints Beat Min
Saints Beat Car
GB Loses to one of Ten or Chi

Seahawks Win Conference and Bye:
Seahawks Beat Rams
Seahawks Beat SF
Saints Lose to one of Min or Car
Packers Lose to one of Ten or Chi

Correct. We are all Saints fans on Christmas! As long as Nola wins Friday, the Packers have to try to beat the Bears in Week17. We are still in good shape.