Originally posted by Russ Smith
Because I believe in an open competition between McCown and either Manning or Ben, Blake would win the job in camp. Not to say he'd keep it all year, but I think he'd win the job in camp. Remember nobody EVER said Josh started the last 3 because he beat out Jeff, they all conceded he was starting to take a look at him. mac said it wasn't anything Blake did, Sullivan said it, Graves said it, even Josh said it. When you are 0-0 coming out of the preseason, it's going to be a lot harder for Josh to be the starter than we're you're 3-10.
Blake struggled mightily before being benched this past year, he's not as "exciting" as Josh, he doesn't move around as much, doesn't improvise as much. That said, he also dealt with a lot more adversity than Josh did since he started 13 games instead of 3 and he started the FIRST 13 games. When Sullivan was going through his on the job learning curve as OC, it was Blake who had to deal with it. Sure he takes part of the blame, but all the nonsense of getting plays in on time, plays that the defense knew from formation, WR's lined up incorrectly, injuries to WR's who were supposed to be starters, Shipp not playing etc. All of that impacted Blake alot more than it did josh because by the end of the year we'd sorted through most of that.
First 4 games Blake played fairly well, just had crucial mistakes at the worst possible times. He even played well in November statistically but realistically he wasn't moving the team or making big plays, he was playing like a QB who was afraid of making mistakes, and inevitably made them anyways. I think he simply had no faith in the system we were running, something he basically said when openly questioning the lack of deep balls etc.
That said I think with an experienced guy like Denny Green running the offense you'll see a lot better Jeff Blake this year, the guy that had a good TD to INT ratio most of his career before last year.
Josh certainly has the talent I just don't think he's experienced enough yet to run an offense for Denny Green when he has a veteran option like Blake. I do think ultimately Josh or the QB we draft if we do, will take the job, I've said all along Blake is the bridge to the next QB, I just don't think he'll lose the job in camp this year.
About the only way I see him NOT opening the season as the starter is if we're able to get good trade value for him. I think dumping him would be silly we'd take a caphit, get nothing in return, and the way the NFL is odds are someone this year is going to get a QB injured and having a guy like Blake to trade later would be valuable.