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  1. TheCardinal

    3-Way Tie favors Cards

    It depends. If we lose our game, then we need the Rams to LOSE, otherwise we are eliminated (ignoring ties for now). If we win our game, then it is *probably* better for the Rams to WIN. The rationale is a bit convoluted, see below and decide for yourself. Both games are played at the same...
  2. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    The people at nflplayoffscenarios.com (who absolutely put me to shame with the work they put into the tie-breakers) have pointed out one more elimination scenario for us this week. Though highly unlikely, it is worth posting for the sake of completeness: Cards loss + Rams tie + Seahawks win/tie...
  3. TheCardinal

    3-Way Tie favors Cards

    You are correct in that should we win out, the Rams CANNOT win the West. Since we might still need their help to beat the Seahawks in the finale, it is important that the NFL doesn’t move their game to Sunday night since should we have gotten to 10-7 earlier in the day, the Rams might have no...
  4. TheCardinal

    3-Way Tie favors Cards

    No, we don’t control our own destiny for the division. If we win out, we still need help: Either the Seahawks lose any two ganes OR The Seahawks lose to the Rams AND the Rams beat the Jets.
  5. TheCardinal

    3-Way Tie favors Cards

    I would be surprised if either NFC West game got flexed if we are still alive for the division. You are correct in that it could give one team a competitive advantage. If all three enter the final week at 9-7, Seattle gets first crack at the division. If they lose, it's ours with a win. If...
  6. TheCardinal

    3-Way Tie favors Cards

    . . . almost. This works at 10-7, but NOT for ALL 9-8 ties. The three-way jump-Seattle thingy works only if the following conditions are met: A) We beat the Rams for the season sweep B) The Rams beat the Seahawks to sweep them (evening out the H2H at 2-2 across the board) C) We beat the 49ers...
  7. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    Despite their head-to-head sweep over us, there is a way we can overtake the Seahawks in a tie-breaker if the Rams are there as well. In a three-way tie where we swept the Rams, the Rams swept the Seahawks, and the Seahawks swept us, it would go to divisional record. If this is at 10-7, we...
  8. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    The tricky question is who to root for in the Rams/Jets game. If we are destined for 10-7, then a Rams win helps (keeps us alive should the Seahawks beat both the Vikings and Bears), and would not hurt us. However, if we lose any remaining game, a Rams win over the Jets eliminates us. Both...
  9. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    With Green Bay beating Seattle, we got a piece of the help we'll need to win the NFC West. Here is what we still can't control. IF WE FINISH 10-7: - Need Seattle to lose any two games (MIN/@CHI/@LAR) OR - Need Seattle to lose one game, IF that game is to the Rams AND the Rams beat the Jets...
  10. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    With the conclusion of the Sunday night game (GB/SEA), I can post what I believe to be our elimination scenarios for Week 16. We remain alive for a wildcard spot but would need to finish with a better record than Washington (and likely the NFC South runner-up as well). We would be eliminated...
  11. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    Corrected my earlier post. We could be eliminated from the NFC West title next week even with a win over CRL, if the Seahawks beat GB and MIN and the Rams lose to the Jets. We would need the Rams to be able to force the 3-way tie at 10-7.
  12. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    With the win over NE, the Cards stay alive for the wildcard, barely, needing to win out and have WSH lose out (one tie by either team would be OK), plus some other stuff. We will have at least one elimination scenario next week regardless of what Seattle does tonight. Also, I believe we stay...
  13. TheCardinal

    Post Seahawks Post any hopes at Playoffs thread

    We’re in such an awful position. If you are committed to the idea that our only realistic path to the division is to get to 10 wins, then you actually want to root for the Rams. If we win out, the Rams cannot win the West (with their presumed loss to us in Week 17, the best they could do is...
  14. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2024 Variety

    It’s about that time of the year again… However, I believe the Cardinals CANNOT be mathematically eliminated from playoff contention this upcoming week. They can be eliminated from the wild card race with a loss AND a Washington win. Even if Seattle wins (9-5) and the Cardinals lose (6-8) we...
  15. TheCardinal

    Post Seahawks Post any hopes at Playoffs thread

    A two-way tie with Seattle goes to the Seahawks on head-to-head. We can only beat Seattle in a tie-breaker at 10-7 if the Rams are also tied at 10-7, with the Cardinals having swept the Rams and the Rams having swept the Seahawks. Then it would come down to division record where the Seahawks...
  16. TheCardinal

    Cards Fans On The Road

    Almost played out that way in 2021. Made it to nearly every road, and crossed off JAX, CLE, and SEA. The other wins (LAR, CHI, TEN) were not first-time wins for me. I have a box of cigars that I’ve labeled with each team’s logo and smoke the one after the game if I attend the victory. It also...
  17. TheCardinal

    Cards Fans On The Road

    About two years ago, I calculated the odds of completing this, assuming every game is 50/50 and having another 32 years to travel (I’m in my mid-40s) — was something like 52/48 in favor of completing. However, since that time we have had losses at DEN, ATL, WSH, HOU, BUF, MIN, plus my missed...
  18. TheCardinal

    Cards Fans On The Road

    To be fair, the Cardinals’ poor records at the teams I’m missing predate my travels! I’m actually pretty shocked to have been able to cross off 19 of them, including our only win at Pittsburgh since 1969 and only win at Green Bay since 1947. Last road wins: Denver: never KC: never Houston...
  19. TheCardinal

    Cards Fans On The Road

    We have definitely crossed paths several times over the years! I have been to 95 games, 34-61 (plus ten pre-season games, 4-6). Two of these 105 games were at home, one neutral site (SB), and the rest all away. I’ve never flown, so every trip was done by car. Haven’t done any international...
  20. TheCardinal

    Cardinals at Seahawks gameday thread 11-24-24

    Seattle is currently in first place due to head-to-head tie breaker. Oddly enough, if the Rams WIN tonight, we move back into first place in the three-way tie, not that tie-breakers are all that important at this stage of the season (we still want the Rams to lose for obvious reasons). The bad...
  21. TheCardinal

    This team is GOOD!

    Crazy stat! The Cardinals actually lost that 10/31/26 game to Green Bay, 3-0 despite extending the non-TD streak. I wonder if Rodgers started? Had to look it up — that home streak without giving up a TD went six games, reaching back into 1925: 12/10/25: Milwaukee Badgers: 59-0 12/12/25...
  22. TheCardinal

    2024 schedule release

    Hoping to make it to Buffalo, Green Bay, Miami, Minnesota, plus home game against Chargers. Also, pre-season game in Indianapolis is just a short drive away.
  23. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    Mathematically eliminated with the loss to SF.
  24. TheCardinal

    OT: Other games 12-16/18-23

    With the Falcons and Packers having lost, the Cardinals avoid mathematical elimination this week with a win over SF.
  25. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The Falcons and Packers lost. The Cardinals have at least the received the minimum amount of help. If the Cardinals beat San Francisco, they avoid elimination for another week.

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