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  1. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    Vikings lose in Cincinnati. The Cardinals' path to the playoffs is marginally improved. Updated elimination scenarios for Week 15: A) Cardinals loss -OR- B) Rams win + Packers win -OR- C) Rams win + Saints win + Falcons win + Bears win
  2. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    Looks like they’ve updated the Week 15 scenarios at nflplayoffscenarios.com. There was one more elimination scenario that I missed (other than the ones requiring ties): Rams win + Saints win + Falcons win + Bears win. This would imply losses by the Vikings and Packers (which would meet other...
  3. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    CORRECTION: Scenario E (Vikings win + Bears win + Falcons win + Buccaneers win + Giants win) would NOT mathematically eliminate the Cardinals since the Giants and Rams could play to a draw in Week 17. The Cardinals would be 7-10 with the Giants and Rams both at 6-10-1. Without even having...
  4. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The official ones aren't out yet (there are actually some people that work through all the potential tied games as well -- pure insanity even by my standards!). Our elimination scenarios with the Packers beating the Giants were pretty straightforward. I worked out the scenarios with the...
  5. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    Scenario D: Vikings win (8) + Bears win (6) + Falcons win (7) + Packers win (7) + Saints win (7). This Vikings would take one of the two remaining spots with their 8th win. Since the Rams would then have to lose out, this gives an additional win to the Saints (8), who would then have to win...
  6. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The Packers' loss to the Giants on Monday night gives the Cardinals a few more outs in their quest for the Super Bowl. But by opening up a few additional pathways to the playoffs (the Cardinals could still mathematically even get the 6-seed) this has led to an ugly convoluted knot of potential...
  7. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    Rams lose to Baltimore, so the Cardinals survive mathematical elimination this week. Week 15 scenarios forthcoming. . .
  8. TheCardinal

    OT: Other games 12-10/11-23

    Rams lose. The Cardinals stay mathematically alive into Week 15 regardless of the Packers’ or Vikings’ outcomes.
  9. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The Cardinals have avoided mathematical playoff elimination with their win over Pittsburgh. However, elimination still looms and will catch Arizona if either of the following happen in Week 14: 1) Rams win + Packers win -OR- 2) Rams win + Packers tie + Vikings win/tie The first Green Bay...
  10. TheCardinal

    Who will be in DC for the opener?

    Looking forward to it.
  11. TheCardinal

    Who will be in DC for the opener?

    Will be in DC for the game as well. Planning on five road trips this season (CLE/HOU/PIT/CHI are the other four) and don’t expect to see any wins.
  12. TheCardinal

    2023 Schedule Planning

    I think it might have been in St Louis… no victory cigar yet for me in Baltimore — have to make the return trip in 2027.
  13. TheCardinal

    2023 Schedule Planning

    Pittsburgh, Houston, and Washington are the “cigar games” that I plan on attending — opponents I have yet to see the Cardinals beat on the road. I also expect to make it to Chicago. Cleveland and maybe Philly if they fall on the right weekends and things line up. A home game is not totally out...
  14. TheCardinal

    Why we shouldn't tank (good reason)

    I’ve got your back for two of the remaining games. I’ll be cheering in-person at Denver as well as Atlanta two weeks later. You’re on your own for the other games, however.
  15. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios

    With Seattle’s loss to SF, three of the elimination scenarios are off the board. Going into Sunday, the Cardinals will be mathematically eliminated in Week 15 with: ARI loss -OR- ARI tie + NYG/WSH tie Another way to look at this weekend’s games would be the SURVIVAL scenarios. To roll this...
  16. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios

    With the loss to New England, the Cardinals will be officially eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15 with: ARI loss -OR- SEA win + WSH win* -OR- SEA win + NYG win* -OR- ARI tie + SEA win/tie -OR- ARI tie + NYG/WSH tie *The Giants and Commanders play each other next Sunday night, so if...
  17. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    Very true. With the Giants’ loss (and even before Seattle lost), we were guaranteed to be mathematically alive at kickoff next week in Denver, regardless of what Seattle did, what we’ll do tomorrow night, or what Seattle does Thursday. The 49ers’ win against TB, however, does officially...
  18. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    Even if we somehow finish 9-8, I would score our playoff chances much lower, closer to 5%. Just quickly running through the numbers, if we were to win out, I believe we would need THREE of the following FOUR: - SEA to lose 3 of 4 (SF, KC, NYJ, LAR) - WSH/NYG winner to lose last three (WSH plays...
  19. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    The Giants did lose, so that means we’ll have a fresh set of elimination scenarios for Week 15 regardless of what else happens this week.
  20. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    It seems like we need you to attend more home games! My only trip there was in 2016 when we still had a pretty good home record, I just picked a bad week to go (Rams). My road record was similarly horrible, though my luck has turned around since the win at Green Bay in 2018. Since that game...
  21. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    I’ve never seen them win at home (0-1), so technically I score it as missing 15. Many of the other ones I’m missing are not for lack of trying! We’ve never won at the Texans (0-2), Chiefs (0-5-1), and Broncos (0-5). Our last win at Pittsburgh (1969) was before the merger, our last wins at...
  22. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    The Atlanta game was at home. We were division winners and got the 4-seed, hosting the 5th-seeded Falcons even though they had the better record.
  23. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    Those are the two games I hope we win since I’ll be traveling to both. I’ve seen the Cardinals win at 17 different teams, with 15 more to go to complete the league, and these two are on that list. We have never won at Denver and last won at Atlanta at the end of the 1993 season.
  24. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    Even with winning out at 9-8, it is extraordinarily unlikely that the Cardinals would qualify for the playoffs. This thread is just to note what has to happen for things to become “official.”
  25. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    I do, though at this point I keep it alive mostly just as a historical repository.

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