2015 will be a good year for movies

[Azlen]

Sure avatar bet--I say over $470...you take the under? How long do we give it to hit those numbers?

Just bumping this bet from a year or so ago. Does anyone now think that it won't get over $470 Domestic? It could get half of that on it's opening weekend.

 

[Cheesebeef]

Just bumping this bet from a year or so ago. Does anyone now think that it won't get over $470 Domestic? It could get half of that on it's opening weekend.

I might as well change my avatar now. Although, that is still a MASSIVE number to hit. But if Jurassic World could somehow bring in over 600 million, new Star Wars has to be able to bring home 470.

 

[Zeno]

I might as well change my avatar now. Although, that is still a MASSIVE number to hit. But if Jurassic World could somehow bring in over 600 million, new Star Wars has to be able to bring home 470.

I am gonna let you slide Cheesy, but if you are ever in Chicago you can buy me a drink.

They have already sold $100 million in advance ticket sales...

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/star-wars-force-awakens-advance-849156

 

[BillsCarnage]

Thing is Ep7 will likely have a longer run than JW since JW was a summer movie. I don't see any reason Ep7 can't surpass JW for its full release.

It'll likely set every record possible for the first 2wks since it's over most xmas breaks. After that I think it'll slow a little. I wouldn't be surprised to see it still playing my May the 4th or revenge of the 5th.

 

[Zeno]

Thing is Ep7 will likely have a longer run than JW since JW was a summer movie. I don't see any reason Ep7 can't surpass JW for its full release.

It'll likely set every record possible for the first 2wks since it's over most xmas breaks. After that I think it'll slow a little. I wouldn't be surprised to see it still playing my May the 4th or revenge of the 5th.

I thought I read it was already slated for an April DVD release...could be wrong though

 

[Cheesebeef]

Thing is Ep7 will likely have a longer run than JW since JW was a summer movie. I don't see any reason Ep7 can't surpass JW for its full release.

well, I'm not gonna make another bet because I've been wayyyyyyyyy off on almost everything so far, but I think it's going to be tough to have those same weekday legs after the first two weeks where kids go back to school as opposed to the legs that JW had all summer. I mean, the number JW ended with was so ridiculous that I still don't really understand how it got there, especially considering how mediocre I thought it was. So, if Star Wars is actually GOOD, it could blow past it... hell, if I know anymore.

It'll likely set every record possible for the first 2wks since it's over most xmas breaks. After that I think it'll slow a little. I wouldn't be surprised to see it still playing my May the 4th or revenge of the 5th.

I agree it'll crush everything in it's path the first two weeks, but not sure if it's still on screens come May. if it's GREAT, maybe, but a lot of it's legs will finally get cut out from under it by Bats v. Supes, which will dominate screens in late March and whatever legs are left will get completely cut off by May with Cap 3: Civil War.

 

[Cheesebeef]

I am gonna let you slide Cheesy, but if you are ever in Chicago you can buy me a drink.

They have already sold $100 million in advance ticket sales...

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/star-wars-force-awakens-advance-849156

haha... a bet's a bet! but i'll still buy you a drink if i'm ever in Chicago.

 

[BillsCarnage]

I might as well change my avatar now. Although, that is still a MASSIVE number to hit. But if Jurassic World could somehow bring in over 600 million, new Star Wars has to be able to bring home 470.

So JW hit $1billion world wide in 13 days, the fastest ever. Speculation now is that Force will beat that.

Domestic opening weekend is now predicted at $250-265 mill. Over the holiday break it should hit $450-500mil domestically would be my guess.

Can it hit $1billion domestically??

This won't suffer a drop off like JW or Ultron.

 

[Brian in Mesa]

Star Wars: The Force Awakens blasts off with a record $120.5 million

http://www.comingsoon.net/movies/ne...-with-record-1205-million#8CkS17B1oRPHuYft.99

Playing in 4,134 theaters domestically, Star Wars: The Force Awakens has posted an estimated $120.5 million its first day, including $57 million in Thursday evening previews, making it the highest single day on record and the first film to break the $100 million mark in a single day. The previous one-day record was set in n July 2011 by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 with $91.1 million. Walt Disney
image: http://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/icon1.png

Pictures is forecasting an opening weekend near $220 million for the Lucasfilm release, which will break the opening weekend record of $208.8 million set by Jurassic World in June.

Audiences gave the film an A CinemaScore, including an A+ among women and younger audiences, which combined with its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score should provide enormous momentum through the weekend and the run.

 

[BillsCarnage]

Yeah estimates have come down today. Yesterday was higher.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4133&p=.htm

Yesterday

As we speculated yesterday, should Force Awakens open with $100 million on Friday (including Thursday previews) and then drop similarly to Age of Ultron it would be looking at a $226.5 million opening. The film's opening, however, looks as if it could go as high as $120 million and if that ends up being the case attempting to predict where it will end up becomes futile, though a final three-day total north of $250 million would seem almost a certainty. At that point it may even challenge the largest weekend of all time (top 12 gross) of $266 million all on its own

Today

Deathly Hallows - Part 2 dropped 53.4% on its second day and another 15.8% on Sunday. Using those numbers, Force Awakens would take in another $56.1 million on Saturday and $47.28 million on Sunday for an opening weekend around $223.9 million. Given the excitement surrounding the film it would seem reasonable to expect a slightly stronger hold on Sunday and an opening somewhere closer to $230-235 million.

Won't know for sure til Monday

 

[BillsCarnage]

Officially a hair under $248mil domestically. Also, knocked JW from highest global opening weekend. Glad to see that.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4134&p=.htm

 

[Cheesebeef]

they're estimating this sucker will gross 565 million... BY SUNDAY! That's the 4th largest grossing film of all time... IN NINE DAYS. And I thought 470 million was way out of reach... talk about being WAYYYYYYYYYYYYY off!

 

[BillsCarnage]

they're estimating this sucker will gross 565 million...

I predicted that. After seeing the movie it was obvious.

 

[Azlen]

From the Hollywood Reporter.

At this rate, there’s no saying how high the Star Wars reboot will ultimately fly. Domestically, it’s now assured of eclipsing Avatar ($760.5 million) to become the top-grossing title of all time. Some even believe it will top out north of $1 billion in North America.

 

[Cheesebeef]

I lost this bet in 8 days. That's insane.

 

[BillsCarnage]

From the Hollywood Reporter.

At this rate, there’s no saying how high the Star Wars reboot will ultimately fly. Domestically, it’s now assured of eclipsing Avatar ($760.5 million) to become the top-grossing title of all time. Some even believe it will top out north of $1 billion in North America.

It'll have a drop off in the first half of January (back to school), but then everyone in school will talk about it and it'll climb up again.

Then towards the end of release you'll see ads for something like, "Only two weeks left to see Star Wars on the big screen...." and there will be a spike again. No reason it can't top $1bill domestically. Avatar's $3.7bill total might be hard to eclipse, but I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen.

 

[Zeno]

I lost this bet in 8 days. That's insane.

LOL

Now to find a suitable avatar pic. Maybe Jar Jar Binks...or a nice Jake Lloyd

 

[Cheesebeef]

It'll have a drop off in the first half of January (back to school), but then everyone in school will talk about it and it'll climb up again.

Then towards the end of release you'll see ads for something like, "Only two weeks left to see Star Wars on the big screen...." and there will be a spike again. No reason it can't top $1bill domestically. Avatar's $3.7bill total might be hard to eclipse, but I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen.

I think it's got a great shot to get to 1 billion domestically... but I'll be surprised if it ever shoots back up again, weekend to weekend. I can see that happening over MLK weekend because all the previous weekend's movies usually have a jump for the holiday, but there's a bunch of big movies coming out early in the year. None of which will likely overtake Star Wars at the top spot for a while, but they'll start to eat bit by bit into it's ridiculous numbers it's posting now. I think we'll see a small, but steady decline (like this weekend from last weekend, which was down 38%... it could be steady for another weekend, but I'm guessing it probably drops another 25% next weekend because it's another 3 day... which would still be an OUTRAGEOUS weekend number at over 100 million).

then again, I thought this wouldn't hit 470 million.

 

[Zeno]

It will be interesting to see how next Decembers Star Wars movie does (Rogue One), it is one of the spinoff so outside of the episodes. i wouldn't expect it to even approach TFA but it should do fairly well.

I was sort of surprised they didn't have a short teaser ready for release with Episode 7. To try to up the interest.

 

[Cheesebeef]

It will be interesting to see how next Decembers Star Wars movie does (Rogue One), it is one of the spinoff so outside of the episodes. i wouldn't expect it to even approach TFA but it should do fairly well.

I was sort of surprised they didn't have a short teaser ready for release with Episode 7. To try to up the interest.

yeah, I'm pretty curious to see how the one-offs function... and if Star Wars every Xmas starts to water down the product/box office receipts. I mean, this one is making so much damn money because a) people love it and b) because people have been DYING to know what happened to Luke, Leia and Han for almost 30 years.

will this be a case of too much of a good thing? only time will tell.

 

[Zeno]

I lost this bet in 8 days. That's insane.

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Does this work? 4 weeks of Jar Jar

 

[AZCrazy]

Comparing movies gross receipts across decades is apples to oranges. I saw Star Wars in '77 and paid $2.75. Is there a public measure of how many total tickets were sold?

 

[Zeno]

Comparing movies gross receipts across decades is apples to oranges. I saw Star Wars in '77 and paid $2.75. Is there a public measure of how many total tickets were sold?

There is an adjusted gross on Box Office Mojo, that puts Gone With the Wind #1 all time...Star Wars: A New Hope is #2.

 

[PDXChris]

Do all of Star Wars ticket sales count for 2015? Or do they cut it off on the last day of the year?

 

[Stout]

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Does this work? 4 weeks of Jar Jar

Ouch!