everyone that ever played sport at high level knows that if he isn't dumb enough. Often the right situation, the right surrounding and the right moment beats out skill. It shouldn't but most of the time at high level the difference between a win and a loss is a miss step that happend, a call not going your way, a ball that bounced funny and so on.Luck > skill
I have lost and won many games in different sports and allways it was like, first you need the skill to compete and then most of the time luck decides who wins. Clearly if the skill level of a whole team is supbar than luck doesn't happen to influence so much, but the NFL shows it every year the 0-x team beats a team that was supposed to be way better with some lucky bounces and plays.