Are the Cardinals ‘close’ to turning a corner?

[ASUCHRIS]

And there’s no doubt we would have beaten Carolina had we not been without half our OL and our entire RB room.

Hilarious.

 

[Harry]

Hilarious.

But true

 

[ASUCHRIS]

But true

C'mon Harry - you know as well as anyone else that the NFL season is a grind, and players inevitably get injured. It wasn't just injuries - we were beaten handily by one of the worst teams in the league in a must win game.

 

[Stout]

Hilarious we are analyzing the 2025 schedule.

It is the way.

 

[Ouchie-Z-Clown]

That's fair! I think you should win 80% of your "should win" games, 50% of your "could win" games, and 20% of your "probably lose" games. Based on that, we hope to get 6.4 wins from the first category, 2.5 wins from the second, and 0.8 from the last. Add those up and you get to 9.7 wins. Round that up and you get to 10 wins and the playoffs.

It's gonna be tight, and I expect this team to be a little better in 2025 than they were in 2024. I also expect it to be easier to make the playoffs in the NFC next year. Three teams qualified from the NFC North, who happened to play the AFC South and NFC South. Guess what division plays that same schedule next year?

I don't think much of Tampa and Houston. I know they've made the playoffs twice, but they're also playing in the two weakest divisions in football. Tampa almost bottled it in Week 18.

While I think your logic is reasonable, that’s not what you posited in the post I quoted, right? You were projecting the win percentages of each category for 2024 onto the 2025 categories. Using that methodology it looks a lot bleaker.

I think next year is a total toss up. I think the right expectation for a third year regime is playoffs. But even though we hope for continued improvement/addition of talent, so does every other team. And thus far we haven’t seen monti add anyone that’s what we would call a stud. Tough to take a leap without that.