LVCARDFREAK
In the league 20 years!
Faithful said:Stop playing it cheap and pay the man. This is the NFL not some NYC company and not Madden 2004.
Thats all well and good, but there is a small thing in the NFL called the salary cap
Faithful said:Stop playing it cheap and pay the man. This is the NFL not some NYC company and not Madden 2004.
RugbyMuffin said:1. He was an QB at Florida State, so he knows defenses better than any WR out there.
2. He is as big, and tough as a running back. That quick screen for 5 yards a pop is not a gimme. Bryant Johnson, nor Fitz is gonna juke there way through a defense.
3. He is a top ten NFL WR.
Complementary!? Are you feeling okay today K9?kerouac9 said:Again, Anquan is a great complementary player, but you can't run an offense or a passing game around him.
LoyaltyisaCurse said:Complementary!? Are you feeling okay today K9?
kerouac9 said:This has been my take since this time last season, when 3/4 of the board was ready to back the Brinks truck up into Anquan's driveway. Anquan meant a lot to this franchise and its fans last year, but this season he was pretty average for a starting WR.
There are WRs that you can build your team and offense around: Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, Terrell Owens, Marvin Harrison, Steve Smith, Torry Holt. Players that teams have to double every play and always know where they are on the field. They do 40% of their damage before the ball is even in the air. Anquan isn't one of those players.
I don't even think that Anquan is in the second tier of WRs. Guys like Javon Walker, Joe Horn, Eric Moulds, Hines Ward, Santana Moss, Darrell Jackson, and Rod Smith. Guys that DCs don't stay up at night worrying about, but can gouge you and win the occaisional game for you if you forget about them, and sometimes even if you don't.
If Anquan can only be most effective out of the slot, let him leave as a free agent when his contract is up. That's what third-round guys like Josh Reed and Antwaan Randle El are for. Let someone else overpay for them. Check out FootballOutsiders.com's rankings of WRs in 2004 and 2003, and you'll see Anquan's name far down the list. The guy gets a lot of chances, and makes the most of them, but the conventional wisdom that Anquan gets all these first downs and is the man that moves the chains is pretty unfounded.
And he still doesn't score enough TDs.
Russ Smith said:Oops, meant to add, if your point on first downs is you only get one for a 50 yard TD catch wheras Quan will get 3 on a 50 yard TD drive, that point is lost by simply looking at the YPC numbers. Smith gets more long TD's but not that much, he has 8 40 yard plus catches in his 47 game career, Quan had 6 last season in 16 games.
kerouac9 said:Again, I think that if Quan's contributions as a chain-mover were true, they'd show up in his DPAR (72) or DVOA (72) rankings. They don't. Quan got A TON of chances last season. He made the most of them. He got fewer chances this season, and did basically the same. This is like arguing about Marcel Shipp not being very good. Take all the stats that you like, but 0 TDs are 0 TDs, and 1 TD in 60-odd catches is 1 TD. If Anquan needs pinpoint Jeff Blake accuracy to succeed (for YAC purposes), is he really a Top 10 NFL WR?
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kerouac9 said:Players that had more passes thrown to them than Anquan Boldin in 2003 (165):
Torry Holt: 183 (12 TDs)
Randy Moss: 172 (18 TDs)
Anquan had more balls thrown to him last year than Marvin Harrison, but a number of players (besides Harrison) notched 10 or more TDs in fewer chances, like Chad Johnson (11 in 154), Hines Ward (10 in 156), Santana Moss (11 in an astounding 117), Chris Chambers (12 in 130), Joe Horn (10 in 130).
Russ Smith said:But you're looking at a guy who was clearly playing well below 100%. now if what we saw this year is Quan from now on, I agree with you, but I don't think there's any reason to think that, the surgery he had this year wasn't really the kind you expect to limit a player permanently.
I would assume his performance will improve next year.
he was also playing a new position, one that took away some of his strengths, playing with a new QB, and playing in an offense designed to feature Larry Fitzgerald. Quan had EIGHT TD catches in his only healthy year. You have to consider circumstances too.
For example, would you still consider Portis an elite RB? Afterall his DVOA rank is 40th, hell his teammate Betts is 20th, Lamont Jordan is 1st. As you can see the DVOA numbers are less accurate for players who didn't play a full season. Quan played enough that his are more accurate than Jordan or Betts but the point is Portis was 6th last year(Onterrio Smith 1st) and 40th this year. he didn't get any worse, he simply went from one of the best running situations in football, to one of the worst. If they trade Portis back to Denver next season, he'll be right back up there at the top.
If Quan ever gets to play with a real NFL starting QB, and IF he can stay healthy, his numbers will get a lot better than they were this year.
you're using the DVOA numbers for Quan but his DPAR numbers are better, he was 15th last year and 68th this year.
I agree with you Quan is not a top 5 Wr like some folks seem to think, but his numbers in 2003 even using football outsiders were MUCH better than Fitz in 2004 and 2004 was a huge year for passing offense. So if he's using Fitz' contract as a model, unfortunately for graves and Bidwill he matches up very well.
Russ Smith said:But you're looking at a guy who was clearly playing well below 100%. now if what we saw this year is Quan from now on, I agree with you, but I don't think there's any reason to think that, the surgery he had this year wasn't really the kind you expect to limit a player permanently.
I would assume his performance will improve next year.
he was also playing a new position, one that took away some of his strengths, playing with a new QB, and playing in an offense designed to feature Larry Fitzgerald. Quan had EIGHT TD catches in his only healthy year. You have to consider circumstances too.
For example, would you still consider Portis an elite RB? Afterall his DVOA rank is 40th, hell his teammate Betts is 20th, Lamont Jordan is 1st. As you can see the DVOA numbers are less accurate for players who didn't play a full season. Quan played enough that his are more accurate than Jordan or Betts but the point is Portis was 6th last year(Onterrio Smith 1st) and 40th this year. he didn't get any worse, he simply went from one of the best running situations in football, to one of the worst. If they trade Portis back to Denver next season, he'll be right back up there at the top.
If Quan ever gets to play with a real NFL starting QB, and IF he can stay healthy, his numbers will get a lot better than they were this year.
you're using the DVOA numbers for Quan but his DPAR numbers are better, he was 15th last year and 68th this year.
I agree with you Quan is not a top 5 Wr like some folks seem to think, but his numbers in 2003 even using football outsiders were MUCH better than Fitz in 2004 and 2004 was a huge year for passing offense. So if he's using Fitz' contract as a model, unfortunately for graves and Bidwill he matches up very well.
Russ Smith said:To me that number is only important if you believe that by throwing the ball that much to Quan, we were HURTING the overall scoring offense by denying others more passes. Anybody really believe we'd have scored more in 2003 by throwing the ball to Gilmore and Bryant Johnson more? Quan scored a TD every 2 games, the other guys had a rate higher than that but TD per catch just doesn't seem all that insightful to me. Do you think Patrick Hape is the best TE in football? he had 4 td's this year, on 8 catches.
AS the team around Quan gets better, I would expect the attempts to him to come down, and the success % to go up. When teams can't afford to key on Quan, he'll get open easier. We have ample proof of this just go back to the ONE game in 2003 where he wasn't keyed on, Detroit, 10 catches 217 yards and 2 TDs.
I'm not arguing he's better than Moss, but his rookie year was MUCH better than Fitz' and he's making far less money.
ASUCHRIS said:Excellent point Russ, once again proving the stats can be misleading. All I know is, every game that Anquan has played, I have begged for them to throw him the ball because he is essentially unguardable. I don't know how many of the games you have watched Kerouac, but every game he makes catches in horrible traffic, with Josh throwing the ball all over the place. He is definitely one of the best in the league at using his body to shield against defenders, and with a better QB, and being healthy, I believe he is a top tier wr.
kerouac9 said:I've watched almost all of the games, ASU. But all the WRs on the team were catching the ball under the same circumstances, and they're all bunched together in the ranks. If Anquan was so much better, why wasn't there any separation between him and the other two?
I'm glad that you "believe" that Q is a top-tier WR. I just don't think that faith is good enough to hammer our cap for the next five years or so.
kerouac9 said:Randy Moss scored 13 TDs on only 89 passes this year. He's unbelieveable.
spanky1 said:Boldin and the domino effect.....part II,
The NFL is going to have to get involved with this type of stuff......otherwise things are going to get way out of control. My suggestion:
a) the league disallows contract hold outs.......for every day a player holds out, it costs him part of his salary and another day gets added to the length of the contarct at the other end. In other words.......no ticky, no laundry.
Russ Smith said:Spanky would you also suggest that the NFL forbid cutting players with years left on their signed contract?
It's a 2 way street. People keep saying Quan signed the contract it's his fault if he's not happy. That's completely untrue. The NFL draft determines your slot, your slot determines your pay. Quan couldn't have said you know I really am better than Bryant Johnson I want more than him, he'd have never signed if he did that. He couldn't have said 4 years at this price is too long give me a 2 year deal, teams don't do that with high picks the contracts are almost always 4 or 5 years.
Quan had virtually NO option but to sign the deal he did and move forward. The Cards can structure the contract so that if quan's knees are a problem, we're not killed, we don't have to give him 20 million upfront. Fitz' deal is loaded with incentives, we can do that with Quan's too, we won't, too much competition would be a morale issue, but we could do it.
Everyone complains about the player wanting a new deal but has no problem with the team dumping the player under contract, we have entire threads about which players under contract we should cut.
GreenCard said:Sign or trade him before the draft because I love Mike Williams and the super stud from Mich. and really hate unhappy players on my team.Thank God I talked Santa into a#11 instead of a#81.
Red Dawn said:You would have to show them the money, too. Quan deserves the quan, I hope the deal gets done. If we dont pay him, someone else will. I had a feeling as soon as the numbers came out on Fitz's contract that this situation would rear its ugly head.
jstadvl said:Give him a very good siging bonus, make the rest of his contract based on the healthy knee situation. In other words, if it's an injury other than the knee-the Cards take care of him, if it's the knee again, we still take care of him but at a lower price. I doubt he'd go for that.
Me personally, I think the guy is worth the money. I also think it's just matter of being shown the team knows his value and respects that.
I don't think he'll hold out, and i believe if his guaranteed money is reasonable, he'll sign quickly. That,and the conditions surrounding it, will be the issue.
chickenhead said:Quan deserves as much as Fitz. They must have seen this coming when they paid Fitzgerald what they did. They had to pay him what they did because they made him the #3 pick in the draft. I still like the pick, but it's too bad that top 5 money causes such problems.
john h said:I do not think it is a matter of what he is worth on the open market but what is he worth to the Cards. If you sign him to big $ their will be consequences such as not signing other players. Management just has to decide what is more important. Keeping Quan or missing out on some other players in FA they need. Qual may well be worth much more to a team in bad need of a good receiver. We can actually afford to lose one of our receivers if we can fill one of those critical needs with a good player like signing a Berry quality at RB or on the OL. Decision time is upon us. Someone said he may be angling for a trade and is pissed. I would not disagree with that. If that is so they should move on it now so that he does not muddle up next season. They should sit down with him and his agent and ask point blank what do they really want? Do not ***** foot around on this.