You've been dissing Brown's advanced stats, but how do you factor in the difference based on QB play?
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...dave
You go to the year before, when Lamar Jackson was literally playing MVP-caliber football and Brown's advanced stats still sucked:
58th in DYAR (just ahead of Christian Kirk)
63rd in DVOA (well behind Kirk and actually negative)
Plus it's not all on the QB. Rashad Bateman outpaced Brown in advanced stats on half as many targets (46th in DYAR and 39th in DVOA -- both positive).
I agree that stating that Brown is going to put up significantly better stats than Kirk is a little far fetched. They are similar production players who do very different things in my opinion. Those differences are why I like the deal.
I also like that AJ Green can have a more age appropriate role which is why I don't believe that this really caps Rondale Moore who may also slated for a slight role change. Moore and Green at around 50% snaps isn't bad.
Maybe. Brown spent a full quarter of Baltimore's offensive snaps on the sideline last year and more than one in five the year before. I don't think this changes much from last season's rotations; I expect that Brown will get 100% of Kirk's snaps and Moore gets stuck being told "We have to find a way to get him the ball more" when he gets 60 targets next year.
I have real doubts that Marquise Brown can play outside in a more traditional (HA!) NFL offense. Lamar doesn't like to throw down the field outside the hashes much, so Brown was running a lot of in-breaking routes on the snaps he was in the slot. If Brown is playing Kirk's role, he's a slot receiver.
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I'm begging you, Cards Social Media, please stop trying to make "Bird City" happen.