Chopper0080
2021 - Prove It
some baseline assumptions that inform my POV:
1. I think NFL years/carries is the better metric in determining when a RBs production starts to go south. I think the NIU redshirt freshman year + this years lost season extends his productivity into his 8th season, or age 31 (he turns 32 in December of the last year of an extended contract). This is the key one -- I beleive he has at least 4 and likely 5 productive seasons ahead of him.
2. 2018 likely doesnt matter as its a rebuilding year. There are more holes than money, and, pending FAs dont line up with the holes. 2018 is the year when a bunch of young players are brought in and you find the 3-5 that can play.
Cap space in 2019, and 2020/2021 really is where i want cap space. Its also a year where i would prefer not having perhaps the teams best offensive player not showing up until the tuesday before the season opener.
3. I think with Bell and Gurley getting new deals, the RB franchise number likely goes up from where you have it. Its $12 from this last year.
If we don't get the QB right in 2018 or 2019, it doesn't make any sense to pay DJ the franchise tag in 2019 or 2020. You are really undervaluing the need to improve our roster ASAP to maximize on ages of Patrick Peterson and Chandler Jones.
I can buy an argument that if the Cardinals do not spend money on other pieces this offseason, under spend on QB, and have an extra 7 mil available, it can make sense to give DJ a contract this year. However, it the Cardinals have an extra 7 mil laying around after two years of missing the playoffs, the quality of our GM will probably be brought to the forefront.