The ONLY category that Indy has the best of the Bears in is the passing game.
Special teams? Bears in a landslide.
Defense? Bears in a landslide.
Run game? Bears by a comfortable margin.
Manning IS that good that he could open the game up on the bears, but 7 points is a lot. It could also be that the bears run a ball-control offense and pressure Manning into mistakes and the bears roll (see Saints game).
Jason:
For the next two weeks, all we're gonna hear will be opinions and analysis about the Colts and Bears. In the end, they'll have to play the game, and all the pontificating won't count for much. Good teams with bad quarterbacks have won it all before. And any team with a defense like the Bears' has a shot.
But the Colts had to beat the Ravens' top-ranked defense (#1 both yards- and points-per-game) on the road to advance, and came back from 18 points down against the Patriots (#2 ppg, #6 ypg) to seal the deal. So although Chicago has a solid, play-making defensive unit, it isn't like the Colts haven't ever faced one before.
You should also remember that the Colts' much-maligned run defense has played significantly better since getting FS Bob Sanders back from injury (as big a loss for them as Mike Brown has been for Chicago). Indy held the league's second-leading rusher, Kansas City's Larry Johnson, to 32 yards and a 2.5 average in eliminating the Chiefs on January 6, and kept both the Ravens (83 yds) and Patriots (93 yds) under 100 yards rushing. So there's a good chance that Rex Grossman will be asked to do more than not fumble or throw a pick.
And if they need Grossman to win the game for them, I don't like the Bears' chances. Colts by 10.
WC