Could Nash win another MVP this season?

AzStevenCal

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In all honesty, Nash shouldn't have been given the 2 MVP's he did get. A true MVP should also be able to play defense, Nash has never been able to shut down even the worst players in the NBA.

Sorry, I just don't buy that. Nowhere is it written that the MVP should be able to do anything specific. In the end, it's about winning and despite what the talking heads always say, offense also wins games. Nash isn't a great defender but he doesn't stand aside and let his player do whatever he wants either.

Most of the players that have won the award (especially in the ESPN generation) have done it on the strength of their offense. Nash might have been even less effective on defense than the others but his overall impact on team play was more than enough to make up for that.

A lot of the after-the-fact dismissals of Nash's awards are the result of his being the only MVP to not make the finals. But, despite the fact that this gets brought up often, the MVP title is still a regular season award. A regular season award that Nash deserved not once, but twice. He probably doesn't win at least one of those if not for the public backlash against Kobe but that's a different story.

Steve
 

Chaplin

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In all honesty, Nash shouldn't have been given the 2 MVP's he did get. A true MVP should also be able to play defense, Nash has never been able to shut down even the worst players in the NBA.

That's just bull. MVP doesn't mean "Best All-Around Player". It means "Most Valuable Player". Those 2 years he won it (and even arguably the next 2 after that), Nash was definitely the most valuable player or close to it.

And contrary to popular belief, although he's a terrible individual defender, he's actually a pretty good team defender.
 

BC867

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Not to say I disagree with you, but who exactly is a playoff caliber backup center? Brad Miller, maybe? Shaq or Kendrick Perkins I guess... Who else?
Siler, Dampier, Diogu, for example, if they get the minutes. And, of course, a couple of Power Forwards. Two big men on the floor most of the time.

Our current roster puts us in Sacramento's league. That's not in touch with the NBA.
 

Chaplin

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Siler, Dampier, Diogu, for example, if they get the minutes. And, of course, a couple of Power Forwards. Two big men on the floor most of the time.

Huh?? Dampier, maybe, but Diogu and Siler are "playoff caliber backup centers"? LOL Not even CLOSE. They are barely playoff caliber end-of-the-bench players!

And there's a reason why Diogu is no longer in the NBA right now--I think you've been living near ASU too long. ;)
 

Mainstreet

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Huh?? Dampier, maybe, but Diogu and Siler are "playoff caliber backup centers"? LOL Not even CLOSE. They are barely playoff caliber end-of-the-bench players!

And there's a reason why Diogu is no longer in the NBA right now--I think you've been living near ASU too long. ;)

I'm thinking Eric Boateng deserves a look as well. :)

Actually most of these players bring more to the table than Jaron Collins who was forced to start last season.

BC867 likes bigs. In this case I agree. The Suns need more bigs at PF/C. The Suns will clearly miss the absence of Amare and Amundson at PF.
 

Chaplin

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I'm thinking Eric Boateng deserves a look as well. :)

Actually most of these players bring more to the table than Jaron Collins who was forced to start last season.

BC867 likes bigs. In this case I agree. The Suns need more bigs at PF/C. The Suns will clearly miss the absence of Amare and Amundson at PF.

The question isn't whether we need bigs--that goes without saying (and especially since it's in response to BC, who only posts that we need bigs). The point was that he thinks we need a "playoff caliber" backup center, which in this day and age, doesn't really exist. I just can't believe he thinks Siler and Diogu are playoff caliber.
 

elindholm

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The point was that he thinks we need a "playoff caliber" backup center, which in this day and age, doesn't really exist. I just can't believe he thinks Siler and Diogu are playoff caliber.

BC's invariable position is that the Suns lack bigs because they haven't tried hard enough to get (or keep) them. When the evidence doesn't support that claim, he simply changes the evidence in order to support his theory. In this case, players like Siler and Diogu are elevated to "playoff caliber" on the sole virtue of having not been pursued by the Suns.
 

BC867

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In this case, players like Siler and Diogu are elevated to "playoff caliber" on the sole virtue of having not been pursued by the Suns.
Do you not believe that we would be more competitive in the playoffs with a balanced team of (even) mediocre C and PF coverage vs. a $hitload of Small Forwards trying to defend and out-rebound opposing teams?

I have felt for forty years that the Suns philosophy of "put your five best players on the court" vs. "put your best players at each position on the court" has been the reason for our never being strong in the post-season.

One Cinderella finals and one finals vs. Michael, role players and three rotating Centers is all we have to show for "elite" in four-plus decades.

If it did the job, we wouldn't be discussing it. Or looking at a roster of mostly wing players.
 

AzStevenCal

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Do you not believe that we would be more competitive in the playoffs with a balanced team of (even) mediocre C and PF coverage vs. a $hitload of Small Forwards trying to defend and out-rebound opposing teams?

I have felt for forty years that the Suns philosophy of "put your five best players on the court" vs. "put your best players at each position on the court" has been the reason for our never being strong in the post-season.

One Cinderella finals and one finals vs. Michael, role players and three rotating Centers is all we have to show for "elite" in four-plus decades.

If it did the job, we wouldn't be discussing it. Or looking at a roster of mostly wing players.

You have to ignore a lot of things along the way in order to make a statement like that. First off, until Dantoni I don't think we ever tried to put our 5 best out there. Secondly, why are you dismissing the years we trotted out real centers like Luc Longley and Big Jake? You don't win in this league because you have an average center, you win despite it.

Steve
 

Chaplin

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Do you not believe that we would be more competitive in the playoffs with a balanced team of (even) mediocre C and PF coverage vs. a $hitload of Small Forwards trying to defend and out-rebound opposing teams?

I have felt for forty years that the Suns philosophy of "put your five best players on the court" vs. "put your best players at each position on the court" has been the reason for our never being strong in the post-season.

One Cinderella finals and one finals vs. Michael, role players and three rotating Centers is all we have to show for "elite" in four-plus decades.

If it did the job, we wouldn't be discussing it. Or looking at a roster of mostly wing players.

Siler and Diogu aren't even mediocre players. We know your arguments, you've recited them for years and they never change. Except now, when you just want anybody to play that role. And make no mistake, just having a big body isn't enough--just having a poor backup center can hurt just as much as help.
 

Budden

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Better find a different assumption to work with. I didn't miss a minute of the first 3rd of last season.

;)

This is not the same team we watched last season. Perhaps it will all come together but right now, our second team defense is even worse than our first team defense has been historically. I don't think preseason games tell the whole story but the story it does tell is not pretty.

I agree that, in a few important ways, this is not the same team that we watched last season. Last season's team was pretty amazing - we swept the freakin San Antonio Spurs out of the playoffs and, although I think the Lakers were always going to find a way to win the series, actually had a shot at going to the Finals (the chances of Kobe Bryant shooting an airball in the final seconds of a game are virtually zero, and the likelihood that a Kobe Bryant miss from 3 feet behind the 3-point line was going to result in a long rebound is much higher than a short rebound that can easily be controlled by someone sprinting toward the short corner) - and for those reasons, the team isn't going to win an NBA championship this year. The prospects for success beyond this season are also much grimmer than they were at the end of last season on account of Kerr's departure (not only was Kerr an incredible GM, but even if Kerr was just a mediocre GM he probably still deserved a salary increase, because he was no longer a first-time GM with no experience or track record, making him fundamentally less risky or, defined another way, more valuable) and Admunson's departure and then to a lesser extent Amare's departure, all of which seem to imply that Sarver is unwilling to commit enough money in aggregate to build a team. It almost seems like he's building a diversified portfolio of players that will produce slightly above-average success with low volatility. In other words, in five seasons, he's trying to win 250 games in total by winning right around 50 games per season rather than winning 250 games by winning, for instance, 60, 63, 51, 42 and 34 games. Same amount of wins, but he isn't willing to put the team in a position where, 5 years from now the team might suck.

However, the preseason is indicative of nothing, except that maybe 1) the guys that are going to be cut or sent to the D-League from the Suns are worse than the guys from other teams, and 2) the role players from last season need to be just as willing and committed to being role players this year. That means Dudley, Dragic and Lopez need to be play with the same intensity on defense while carrying a little more of the offensive load. I know they have the physical ability to do this, but the fact that they haven't displayed a mental willingness to do this night in and night out during the preseason means nothing.

There's no denying that Nash had an incredible start last season but other than that you're rewriting history here. Both Stat and JR had good to great games during that stretch and were hardly the wastes you make them out to be. They frequently led the team in scoring during that 17 game stretch and one or the other of them accounted for 20 point games 17 times. Leandro also started out real strong until another injury struck.

Barbosa injured his wrist in September. He was sort of coming around before the ankle injury, but he wasn't the impact player that he had been in previous years. J. Rich was shooting the ball extremely well, but he wasn't yet a reliable second or third option. As for Amar'e, it was never an issue of how many points he scored, but rather how he was scoring his points. Even if his numbers were the same throughout the season - which they weren't - he didn't start demanding double or triple coverage until around the midpoint of the season, at which point he was seeing defensive attention that he had never seen before in his career, AND he was still getting 25+ points and 9 boards every game. From then on, our perimeter guys had an easier time getting open looks because teams had to pack it in to contain him. The point is, in the first third of the season, teams didn't have to pay so much attention to Amar'e, the pick-and-roll wasn't as potent as it once was because he was still adjusting to the goggles, and yet Frye, Dudley, J. Rich, Dragic, Nash and Hill were all averaging better than 40% from three.

Nash was the best overall player on the team at that point but at no time did he play to that level again for the rest of that season. Why should we all of a sudden expect him to return to that performance level?

We shouldn't expect him to return to that performance level. However, if we're going to have a discussion about whether Steve Nash could win the MVP this season or not, his level of performance should at least factor into the conversation. That was my point. This thread largely was focused on how Nash can't possibly win the award this year because of politics, "Nash-regret," or that the Suns aren't good enough all-around to win enough games for Nash to be in the discussion.

If your entire point is that if Nash played like he did at the start of last season and did it for a full season, he could win the MVP then I would only slightly disagree. No matter how well he plays, he's never winning another MVP in the NBA unless they add a senior citizen league.

I agree. It would take an absolutely remarkable performance from Nash to be the MVP of the league. I don't think he's good enough to pull it off, but I wouldn't completely put it past him.

There is too much "anti-Nash as MVP" sentiment out there for him to overcome it. The only possible way (again, IMO) is if he were to play all season like he started last year AND lead us to the NBA finals. He still wouldn't win it this year but it would give him an outside chance if he were to repeat this regular season performance the following year.

This whole "anti-Steve Nash as MVP" argument is misguided. While it's true that most NBA fans seem to have that sentiment, it has never had much of an effect on the awards/accolades that he has garnered. IMO, he deserved to win the MVP in his third year as a Sun in addition to the first two years, but it's not like the award just fell to Dirk Nowitzki because of some league-wide Steve Nash freeze-out. The Mavs won close to 70 games that season and Nowitzki's clutch play was the biggest reason for their success, so you can't fault anybody for voting for him over Nash, can you? And other than that season, what has transpired that would give you this idea that Nash can't win an MVP award because the league has decided that he's not good enough?
 

AzStevenCal

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This whole "anti-Steve Nash as MVP" argument is misguided. While it's true that most NBA fans seem to have that sentiment, it has never had much of an effect on the awards/accolades that he has garnered. IMO, he deserved to win the MVP in his third year as a Sun in addition to the first two years, but it's not like the award just fell to Dirk Nowitzki because of some league-wide Steve Nash freeze-out. The Mavs won close to 70 games that season and Nowitzki's clutch play was the biggest reason for their success, so you can't fault anybody for voting for him over Nash, can you? And other than that season, what has transpired that would give you this idea that Nash can't win an MVP award because the league has decided that he's not good enough?

Nash won the award twice because "we" weren't quite ready to crown Lebron and Kobe's image had been severely tarnished by the rape charges. That's not to say that Nash didn't deserve it, he did. However, he was never the best player in the game. And by that 3rd season he was no longer the best point guard let alone best player. The backlash against Nash as MVP didn't begin until AFTER he won the award and it didn't really grow legs until after his second MVP.

Today, you can't hardly watch an NBA game or NBA show/segment that talks about Nash that doesn't point out the negative stats involving him and the Finals. Those comments reinforce the perception that he's been overrated. There is also the perception that Nash won it because he is white and that would also work against him if he somehow miraculously played at the top of his game for a full season.

Anything is possible and if you answer the OP question from that perspective then yes, Nash could win MVP. However, if the slightest bit of reality enters the conversation then no, Nash cannot win MVP this year. I'm going to look awfully foolish if aliens abduct Kobe, Durant, Lebron, Amare, Wade, Dirk, Paul, Williams and Howard but short of that, I feel very safe in my declaration.

Steve
 

Chaplin

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This really isn't a difficult issue and in the long run doesn't need huge explanations. Steve Nash won't win the MVP again because he's not Kobe Bryant or Lebron James. The NBA won't name a 36-year-old point guard MVP. It just won't happen (barring of course we don't have the league's best record at the end of the season).
 

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If last season is any indication, Steve Nash's body holds at most for 20 games if he has to deliver MVP worthy performance consistently (36min, 18pt, 10ast). His breakdown after the first 20 games last season turned out to be blessing in disguise, which forced Gentry to limit his min and ball handling that freed Amare and JRich from also-run status.
 

Errntknght

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BC's invariable position is that the Suns lack bigs because they haven't tried hard enough to get (or keep) them. When the evidence doesn't support that claim, he simply changes the evidence in order to support his theory. In this case, players like Siler and Diogu are elevated to "playoff caliber" on the sole virtue of having not been pursued by the Suns.

I agree with BC that the Suns do not try hard enough to get bigs - and I'd add that they are not good at recognizing them either. The main evidence is that the Suns' frontcourts have been in the bottom tier of the league with agonizing consistency for the forty odd years I've been watching them.

You can also judge what kind of players a team is pursuing by looking at the lesser players the team brings in looking for that diamond in the rough. Marcin Gortat is an example of one of our failures - we sold the draft pick that was used to get him, though that certainly doesn't mean we'd have had any idea of using it on him. That royally ticked me off at the time and, of course, it wasn't because I knew much more than that Gortat was big and looked strong. If you want have some muscle in your frontcourt you 'waste' your second round picks on guys like that - year after year.

This year we did good in that regard, using two second round picks on Lawal and Jones(not Dwayne). We could probably picked a bigger stronger guy than Clark last year but thats a forgiveable mistake as he has the physical tools to be a solid frontcourt player in this league. I don't recall who we picked in the second round... probably sold or traded it. Robin was a good pick and I was tickled with it, though I was holding my breath when he appeared not to be able to hold onto a rebound. All in all, I'm somewhat hopeful the Suns have started working harder at getting some size and strength on the team, though we're in pitiful shape at the moment.
 

elindholm

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The main evidence is that the Suns' frontcourts have been in the bottom tier of the league with agonizing consistency for the forty odd years I've been watching them.

I don't agree with that. I think their frontcourts have, if you average over 40 years, been around the middle of the pack. They've never had an elite frontcourt, and they are particularly bad this year, but overall they haven't been especially weak. One need look only at the history of All-Star PFs on the team (Robinson, Lucas, Chambers, Barkley, Stoudemire) to see that they've had at least their share of frontcourt successes. We all know that they've never had a franchise center, but they have plenty of company in that regard.

You can also judge what kind of players a team is pursuing by looking at the lesser players the team brings in looking for that diamond in the rough. Marcin Gortat is an example of one of our failures - we sold the draft pick that was used to get him

They also sold the draft picks used to get Iguodala and Rondo. You've have to do some statistical analysis to determine whether they preferentially pass on project bigs, and my guess is that you'd find they don't.
 

BC867

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I like Bob Young's description of our team inbalance in his Heat Index column today on AzCentral.com and in the Republic.
3+3+3 do not = 4.

And his concurring with the prevailing opinion on ASFN.
Hedo Turkoglu might be better off as a sixth man than as a starter ... coach Alvin Gentry is planning to use him more with the second unit to allow him to be more of a playmaker.

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/sun...101021heat-index-phoenix-suns-may-fizzle.html
 

AzStevenCal

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Are you saying 3+3+3=9 . As in 9th seed?

Well, sure. If Hedo bounces back and Nash and Lopez both stay healthy we could possibly compete for the 9th seed. Granted, it's a long shot but I'm always looking for the positive side of things.

Steve
 

Errntknght

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I don't agree with that. I think their frontcourts have, if you average over 40 years, been around the middle of the pack. They've never had an elite frontcourt, and they are particularly bad this year, but overall they haven't been especially weak. One need look only at the history of All-Star PFs on the team (Robinson, Lucas, Chambers, Barkley, Stoudemire) to see that they've had at least their share of frontcourt successes. We all know that they've never had a franchise center, but they have plenty of company in that regard.



They also sold the draft picks used to get Iguodala and Rondo. You've have to do some statistical analysis to determine whether they preferentially pass on project bigs, and my guess is that you'd find they don't.

Come on Eric, Robinson, Lucas and Barkley were once upon a time All Stars that played for the Suns in the waning years of their careers and Chambers was bit earlier though I'm not sure he was an All Star when he played for the Suns. IIRC, he played C for us because, as usual, we didn't have one - just like with Amare. Did Amare ever make an AS team as a PF?

So far you're helping my argument.
 

Covert Rain

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I don't think Nash has a shot at MVP because I think the Suns are going to be mediocre to bad team IMO. I don't think guys win MVP's on those types of teams.
 

Chaplin

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I don't think Nash has a shot at MVP because I think the Suns are going to be mediocre to bad team IMO. I don't think guys win MVP's on those types of teams.

The point is he has a chance if he takes this mediocre to bad team and makes them a good to great team. That's what this whole thread is about.
 

AzStevenCal

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The point is he has a chance if he takes this mediocre to bad team and makes them a good to great team. That's what this whole thread is about.

You really believe that? Faced with the league-wide whisperings that the people (media types) who voted for Nash were unduly influenced by his skin color, I can't envision a scenario that allows for Nash to win it this year. I can, however, think of a scenario that gets him the award next year. It's predicated on Nash leading this team to the Finals and nothing short of that would ever enter him into consideration in the future, IMO.

I think the price of gas has a better chance of dropping to 30 cents a gallon than Nash has of winning the MVP this year and that's just considering a scenario where he actually deserves it. Add to that, my belief that we will finish somewhere between 10th and 14th in the west and his prospects go from zero to whatever is below that.

Steve
 

Covert Rain

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The point is he has a chance if he takes this mediocre to bad team and makes them a good to great team. That's what this whole thread is about.

Chap, Nash can't take a team that is bad to mediocre and make it a great team. He can take a midocre team and make them good or even take a good team and make them great. However, mediocre to bad...... to great? That proves what a pipe dream him getting the MVP really is.
 

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You really believe that? Faced with the league-wide whisperings that the people (media types) who voted for Nash were unduly influenced by his skin color, I can't envision a scenario that allows for Nash to win it this year. I can, however, think of a scenario that gets him the award next year. It's predicated on Nash leading this team to the Finals and nothing short of that would ever enter him into consideration in the future, IMO.

When you say that Nash would have to lead this team to the finals for him to be in the MVP conversation, what do you mean? I'm trying to reconcile this argument without throwing out the fact that MVP voting is held a month and a half before the Finals. In the last 7 years, the MVP has only led his team to the Finals one time - and even then, that team (the Lakers) lost to the Celtics.

I think the price of gas has a better chance of dropping to 30 cents a gallon than Nash has of winning the MVP this year and that's just considering a scenario where he actually deserves it. Add to that, my belief that we will finish somewhere between 10th and 14th in the west and his prospects go from zero to whatever is below that.

I could understand you saying the chance of gas dropping to 30 cents/gallon is higher than Nash winning MVP, but you believe that if Nash ends up actually deserving the award that there is a zero percent chance of him winning the award. I think Karl Malone won the award in 1996-97 even though MJ was probably more deserving, but other than that, I don't see an instance where you could put any deliberate consideration into this argument and still arrive at this conclusion.
 
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