Wow... that's not at all how probabilities work.
A team that's a 51% or even a 90% favorite in 17 games is not "likely" to go 17-0. Given their method of predicting win percentages for each game, a more appropriate prediction for the whole season would be 9.3 wins and 7.6 losses (with a little rounding error, and their apparent 4% likelihood of a tie in any given game).
Makes for good clickbait though, i guess.
...dave
A team that's a 51% or even a 90% favorite in 17 games is not "likely" to go 17-0. Given their method of predicting win percentages for each game, a more appropriate prediction for the whole season would be 9.3 wins and 7.6 losses (with a little rounding error, and their apparent 4% likelihood of a tie in any given game).
Makes for good clickbait though, i guess.
...dave
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