Final record predictions

[AZfaninMN]

What makes them not as good as their records?

Cleveland has all 3 of their losses by 10 or more points including 32 and 31 point losses. The Raiders have a poor defense and Carr outside of his 2 games vs the chiefs has been mediocre at best. Despite beating us, Miami and Tua haven’t looked the part. I know the old saying is “you are what your record says you are” but IMO none of these teams will make the playoffs.

edit: 1 has to make the playoffs because of the new 7 team format, my guess is Miami.

 

[WhyAlwaysMe]

A bit off topic, but are you assuming a 3 point edge for home teams?? Thus far this season, home teams have won by an average of 0.5 points.

Interestingly, aside from the pandemic, HFA has been declining over the last few years:

2016: 3.1
2017: 2.7
2018: 2.0
2019: 0.3 (!)

...dave

Yes, I was. That’s interesting.

Looks like the Patriots are getting 1.5pts this week